EUR/JPY – 30M – BUY

2026-08-19 20:00 UTC · 1 hour ago

BUY

81%

▲ BUY

STRONG

Scalping

Prognose: 46% historisch

▲ Bullish 81% (29.60) ▼ Bearish 19% (7.16)

Loading…

Signal evolution

Events for EUR/JPY

Full calendar

23:50TodayJPYExports YoY (Jul)●●○Previous 19.3in 5h
23:50TodayJPYBalance of Trade (Jul)●●○Previous -406.9in 5h
04:30TomorrowEURUnemployment Rate (Jul)●●●Forecast 3.9%Previous 3.8%in 9h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	Trendline Break Up	trendline	2.40
▼	Trendline Break Down	trendline	2.39
▲	SMA CROSS 20 50 Golden Cross	indicator	2.24
▼	BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down	indicator	2.02
▲	Fibonacci Break UpTrend (24%)	fibonacci	2.00
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.79
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.65
▲	Support Level Retreat Up	sr	1.64
▲	DEMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.59
▲	EMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.58
▲	MAMA PRICE Retreat Up	indicator	1.50
▲	MIDPOINT Retreat Up	indicator	1.46
▲	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up	indicator	1.41
▲	KAMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.36
▲	MA Retreat Up	indicator	1.35
▲	MIDPRICE Retreat Up	indicator	1.32
▲	Bullish Engulfing	candlestick	0.73

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bullish reversal signals are firing on the 30-minute chart, but the higher timeframes remain bearish, so this may be a counter-trend bounce.
The confluence of trendline breaks, momentum crossovers, and moving-average retreats gives the signal high probability (89%) and very strong strength.
Watch the nearest resistance at 184.906 and support at 184.468; a break of resistance confirms bullish momentum, while a break of support invalidates the signal.
Given the bearish higher timeframe trend, traders should be cautious about the duration and magnitude of any upside move.

The EUR/JPY 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bullish signals, including Trendline Break Up, BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCHF KD Cross Up, and multiple retreat-up signals from DEMA, EMA, and HT TRENDLINE. These signals collectively suggest that the recent bearish momentum is stalling and a bullish reversal is underway on the 30-minute timeframe. The confluence of trendline breaks, momentum oscillators, and moving-average retreats points to a strong probability (89%) of upward continuation, with very strong signal strength.

However, the broader trend across all higher timeframes (15m to 1d) remains bearish, though the 30-minute and 1-hour timeframes show the most developed bearish trends (scores of 3/5 and 2/5, respectively). This creates a conflicting picture: the short-term bullish signals are fighting against a longer-term bearish backdrop. The nearest resistance at 184.906 and support at 184.468 are key levels to watch. A break above resistance would confirm the bullish reversal, while a loss of support would invalidate the signal and likely resume the broader downtrend.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple bullish signals firing simultaneously (trendline breaks, BOP cross, STOCHF cross, DEMA/EMA retreats) show strong short-term momentum.
▲ The 30-minute trend score is the highest among all timeframes (3/5), indicating the most developed trend on that timeframe.
▲ The retreat-up signals from DEMA, EMA, and HT TRENDLINE suggest that price is bouncing off key moving averages, providing dynamic support.
▲ The signal's high probability (89%) and very strong strength reflect a high degree of confluence among indicators.

Risk Factors

▼ The bearish trend across all higher timeframes (15m to 1d) could overwhelm the short-term bullish reversal, leading to a failed bounce.
▼ The nearest resistance at 184.906 is close, and a failure to break above it could stall the rally and trigger a reversal.
▼ The 30-minute trend score of 3/5 is not extremely strong, and the 15-minute and 2-hour timeframes are choppy, suggesting a lack of consistent trend.
▼ If price breaks below the nearest support at 184.468, the bullish signal is invalidated and the broader downtrend is likely to resume.