EUR/USD – 1H – BUY
BUY
67%
▲ Bullish 67% (19.28)
▼ Bearish 33% (9.52)
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Signal evolution
Events for EUR/USD
Full calendar- TodayUSDEIA Crude Oil Stocks Change (Aug/14)●●●in 2h
- TodayUSDEIA Gasoline Stocks Change (Aug/14)●●○in 2h
- TodayUSDFOMC Minutes●●●in 5h
All times UTC.
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | EMA 200 Retreat Up | indicator | 2.03 |
| ▲ | SMA 200 Retreat Up | indicator | 2.01 |
| ▼ | APO Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.82 |
| ▲ | CCI OS Exit | indicator | 1.80 |
| ▲ | STOCH KD Cross Up | indicator | 1.58 |
| ▲ | BOP Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.46 |
| ▼ | Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (38%) | fibonacci | 1.43 |
| ▲ | Inverted Hammer | candlestick | 0.93 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNChoppy / sideways
30MUPChoppy / sideways
1HUPChoppy / sideways
2HUPSolid trend
4HUPSolid trend
8HUPSolid trend
12HUPSolid trend
1DUPSolid trend
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Strong bullish signal on 1H with 81% probability, backed by multiple indicators and a candlestick pattern.
- Higher timeframes (2H to 1D) are all bullish and solid, supporting the 1H bullish bias.
- Watch for a break above 1.16137 resistance; a move below 1.15661 support would invalidate the signal.
- The Inverted Hammer at support adds a bullish reversal confirmation.
The 1H EUR/USD signal is strongly bullish (81% probability, strong strength), backed by a cluster of indicator, candlestick, and Fibonacci signals. The APO Zero Cross Down and BOP Zero Cross Up indicate a shift in momentum and buying pressure, while the CCI OS Exit and STOCH KD Cross Up confirm oversold conditions turning upward. The EMA 200 Retreat Up and SMA 200 Retreat Up suggest price is pulling back to rising long-term moving averages, which often act as dynamic support. The Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (38%) points to a shallow retracement within a larger uptrend, and the Inverted Hammer candlestick pattern at the support zone adds a bullish reversal signal.
Across timeframes, the trend is bullish and solid from 2H up to 1D, with only the 15M showing bearish choppiness. This alignment supports the bullish bias. Key levels to watch: nearest resistance at 1.16137 and nearest support at 1.15661. A break above resistance could open the path to further upside, while losing support would invalidate the signal. The confluence of multiple indicators and the higher-timeframe trend strength make this a high-probability setup, but traders should monitor momentum for any signs of fading.
Across timeframes, the trend is bullish and solid from 2H up to 1D, with only the 15M showing bearish choppiness. This alignment supports the bullish bias. Key levels to watch: nearest resistance at 1.16137 and nearest support at 1.15661. A break above resistance could open the path to further upside, while losing support would invalidate the signal. The confluence of multiple indicators and the higher-timeframe trend strength make this a high-probability setup, but traders should monitor momentum for any signs of fading.
Catalysts
- ▲ Trend alignment across timeframes: bullish from 2H to 1D, with solid trend scores (3/5).
- ▲ Confluence of signals: APO, BOP, CCI, STOCH, EMA/SMA retreats, and Fibonacci all point bullish.
- ▲ Inverted Hammer candlestick at support suggests a reversal from oversold conditions.
- ▲ EMA 200 and SMA 200 retreat up indicate price is bouncing off dynamic support.
Risk Factors
- ▼ The 15M timeframe is bearish and choppy, which could cause short-term pullbacks.
- ▼ If price breaks below 1.15661 support, the bullish setup is invalidated.
- ▼ Momentum could fade if the CCI and STOCH fail to hold above their oversold exits.
- ▼ Resistance at 1.16137 is nearby and may cap upside without a strong breakout.
Symbol
EUR/USD
Timeframe
1H
Direction
BUY
Probability
67%
Strength
MODERATE
Date
2026-08-19 00:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 1.16137 | 2026-08-17 |
| S1 | 1.15661 | 2026-08-18 |
| S2 | 1.15114 | 2026-08-13 |