EUR/USD 1H SELL

· 12 hours ago
SELL
92%
▼ SELL
VERY STRONG
Intraday
Prognose: 61% historisch
⚡ Confluence +60%
▲ Bullish 8% (1.62) ▼ Bearish 92% (17.53)
EUR/USD  ·  1H
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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/USD

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Signals Fired

Signals Fired Category Weight
KAMA Retreat Down indicator 1.48
EMA Retreat Down indicator 1.47
MA Retreat Down indicator 1.47
BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.46
MOM Zero Cross Down indicator 1.46
ROC Zero Cross Down indicator 1.46
ROCR Cross Down indicator 1.46
HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down indicator 1.46
DEMA Retreat Down indicator 1.44
MIDPOINT Retreat Down indicator 1.44
MAMA PRICE Retreat Down indicator 1.43
Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (38%) fibonacci 1.43
MIDPRICE Retreat Down indicator 1.42
HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down indicator 1.40
Northern Doji candlestick 1.21
Bearish Harami Cross candlestick 0.88

Trend Context

15M
UPChoppy / sideways
30M
UPChoppy / sideways
1H
UPChoppy / sideways
2H
UPSolid trend
4H
UPSolid trend
8H
UPSolid trend
12H
UPSolid trend
1D
UPSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bearish signal on 1H with 95% probability, backed by multiple momentum and trend indicators.
  • Higher timeframes (2H-1D) are bullish, so this is a counter-trend move; expect potential bounce at support.
  • Key levels: resistance at 1.16137, support at 1.15661; watch for a break below support for confirmation.
  • Signal is very strong, but conflicting higher timeframes warrant caution for aggressive entries.
The 1H EUR/USD signal is strongly bearish, with a 95% probability and very strong strength, driven by a cascade of momentum and trend-following indicators all crossing zero or retreating downward. This includes BOP, MOM, ROC, ROCR, DEMA, EMA, HT TRENDLINE, and KAMA, among others, signaling a broad-based loss of bullish momentum and a potential shift to a downtrend on the 1H timeframe. The confluence of these signals, spanning indicator, candlestick, and Fibonacci groups, suggests a high-probability short-term reversal.

However, the higher timeframes (2H through 1D) remain in solid bullish trends, creating a conflicting backdrop. The 1H signal is a counter-trend move against the larger bullish structure. The key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 1.16137, which could act as a ceiling if price retraces, and the nearest support at 1.15661, which is the immediate downside target. A break below this support could open the door for further declines, but the bullish higher timeframes may limit the downside.
Catalysts
  • Multiple momentum indicators (BOP, MOM, ROC, ROCR) all crossing zero downward, confirming bearish momentum.
  • Trend-following indicators (DEMA, EMA, HT TRENDLINE, KAMA) retreating downward, aligning with the bearish move.
  • Signal strength is 'very strong' with 95% probability, indicating high confluence across signal groups.
  • Fibonacci and candlestick patterns add to the confluence, supporting the bearish outlook.
Risk Factors
  • Higher timeframes (2H-1D) are bullish, which could limit downside and cause a reversal.
  • The 1H signal is counter-trend; if the bullish higher timeframe resumes, the sell signal may fail.
  • Watch for a break above resistance at 1.16137, which would invalidate the bearish thesis.
  • Choppy/sideways conditions on lower timeframes (15m-1H) could lead to false signals or whipsaws.
Symbol EUR/USD
Timeframe 1H
Direction SELL
Probability 92%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-08-19 02:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 1.16137 2026-08-17
S1 1.15661 2026-08-18
S2 1.15114 2026-08-13

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