EUR/USD 2H SELL

· 42 minutes ago
SELL
70%
▼ SELL
MODERATE
Intraday
Prognose: 31% historisch
⚡ Confluence +14%
▲ Bullish 30% (8.84) ▼ Bearish 70% (20.60)
EUR/USD  ·  2H
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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/USD

Full calendar
  • TodayEURInflation Rate YoY (Jul)●●●Forecast 2.9%Previous 2.8%in 6h
  • TodayEURInflation Rate MoM (Jul)●●●Forecast 0.2%Previous -0.1%in 6h
  • TodayEURCore Inflation Rate YoY (Jul)●●●Forecast 2.5%Previous 2.4%in 6h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

Signals Fired Category Weight
DX Trend Strong indicator 1.72
STOCHF KD Cross Down indicator 1.60
BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.51
MA Retreat Down indicator 1.50
MIDPOINT Retreat Down indicator 1.48
HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down indicator 1.45
AROON Cross Up indicator 1.44
AROONOSC Zero Cross Up indicator 1.44
MIDPRICE Retreat Down indicator 1.44
CMO Zero Cross Down indicator 1.42
RSI Midline Cross Down indicator 1.42
DEMA Retreat Down indicator 1.42
MOM Zero Cross Up indicator 1.41
ROC Zero Cross Up indicator 1.41
ROCR Cross Up indicator 1.41
MAMA PRICE Retreat Down indicator 1.38
Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (79%) fibonacci 1.35
Bearish Harami candlestick 1.08
Shooting Star candlestick 1.08

Trend Context

15M
UPChoppy / sideways
30M
UPChoppy / sideways
1H
UPChoppy / sideways
2H
UPSolid trend
4H
UPSolid trend
8H
UPSolid trend
12H
UPSolid trend
1D
UPSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • The SELL signal is a short-term counter-trend move against a broader bullish trend.
  • Momentum indicators (BOP, CMO, MOM, ROC) have turned bearish, but AROON shows bullish crossovers, adding confusion.
  • Watch the support at 1.15114; a break below it would confirm the bearish case, while a bounce could invalidate it.
  • The higher timeframes (2H to 1D) are all bullish, so this sell signal may be a pullback opportunity rather than a reversal.
The EUR/USD 2H signal is a SELL with 70% probability, driven by a cluster of momentum and trend indicators that have crossed to the downside, including BOP Zero Cross Down, CMO Zero Cross Down, and DX Trend Strong. However, the broader timeframes remain bullish, with solid trends on the 2H through 1D timeframes. This creates a divergence: the immediate momentum is turning bearish within a larger uptrend. The AROON Cross Up and AROONOSC Zero Cross Up suggest short-term bullish momentum, which conflicts with the bearish signals, indicating the market may be in a consolidation or correction phase rather than a reversal.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 1.16137 and support at 1.15114. A break below support would confirm the bearish signal and could lead to further downside, while a hold above support might indicate the pullback is shallow. The alignment across timeframes is not fully bearish; only the 2H and below show any bearish tendency, and even then, the 15m to 1h are bullish but choppy. This mixed picture suggests the SELL signal may be a counter-trend opportunity, which carries higher risk. Traders should monitor whether price respects the support level and whether momentum indicators continue to weaken.
Catalysts
  • Multiple momentum indicators (BOP, CMO, MOM, ROC) have crossed below zero, signaling bearish pressure.
  • DX Trend Strong indicates a strong trend, which could amplify the move if the bearish momentum persists.
  • The presence of Fibonacci and candlestick patterns suggests confluence at key levels, potentially supporting a move lower.
  • The signal fires on the 2H timeframe, which is a solid trend timeframe, giving it some validity.
Risk Factors
  • The bullish trend across all higher timeframes (2H to 1D) contradicts the bearish signal, increasing the chance of a false breakdown.
  • Aroon indicators are bullish (Cross Up and OSC Zero Cross Up), which could indicate that the bearish momentum is not strong enough to overcome the prevailing uptrend.
  • The nearest support at 1.15114 is only about 100 pips away; a quick bounce from there could invalidate the sell signal.
  • The 15m to 1h timeframes are bullish but choppy, suggesting that the market may be indecisive, and the sell signal could be a whipsaw.
Symbol EUR/USD
Timeframe 2H
Direction SELL
Probability 70%
Strength MODERATE
Date 2026-08-19 02:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 1.16137 2026-08-17
S1 1.15114 2026-08-13
S2 1.14999 2026-08-03
S3 1.14548 2026-07-31

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