GBP/JPY – 1H – SELL
SELL
97%
▲ Bullish 3% (1.52)
▼ Bearish 97% (49.47)
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Signal evolution
Events for GBP/JPY
Full calendar- TodayJPYExports YoY (Jul)●●○Previous 19.3in 10h
- TodayJPYBalance of Trade (Jul)●●○Previous -406.9in 10h
- TomorrowGBPCBI Industrial Trends Orders (Aug)●●○Previous -45in 21h
All times UTC.
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | Double Top | chart_pattern | 1.99 |
| ▼ | DEMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.77 |
| ▼ | MA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.74 |
| ▼ | Trendline Break Down | trendline | 1.73 |
| ▼ | Trendline Retreat Down | trendline | 1.72 |
| ▼ | Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (50%) | fibonacci | 1.67 |
| ▼ | STOCHF KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.65 |
| ▼ | EMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.60 |
| ▼ | Resistance Level Retreat Down | sr | 1.51 |
| ▼ | HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down | indicator | 1.45 |
| ▼ | HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down | indicator | 1.41 |
| ▼ | MAMA PRICE Retreat Down | indicator | 1.37 |
| ▲ | BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up | indicator | 1.35 |
| ▼ | MIDPOINT Retreat Down | indicator | 1.35 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.29 |
| ▼ | MIDPRICE Retreat Down | indicator | 1.05 |
| ▼ | Hanging Man | candlestick | 0.98 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNTrend forming
30MDOWNChoppy / sideways
1HDOWNChoppy / sideways
2HUPTrend forming
4HUPChoppy / sideways
8HUPTrend forming
12HUPTrend forming
1DDOWNTrend forming
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Multiple bearish signals on 1H suggest strong short-term selling pressure.
- Price is retreating from resistance and has broken a trendline, supporting a move lower.
- Watch the nearest support at 215.75900; a break below could extend the decline.
- Higher timeframes are still bullish, so this may be a corrective move within a larger uptrend.
The 1H GBP/JPY chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a Trendline Retreat Down, Trendline Break Down, Double Top, BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up, DEMA Retreat Down, and EMA Retreat Down, among others. This confluence of trendline, candlestick, indicator, chart pattern, support/resistance, and Fibonacci signals points to a strong bearish momentum on the short-term timeframe. The price is retreating from a resistance area and has broken a key trendline, suggesting that the recent bullish correction may be over. The nearest support at 215.75900 is the immediate downside target, while resistance at 216.21400 caps any upside recovery.
Across timeframes, the picture is mixed but leans bearish in the short term. The 15m, 30m, and 1H timeframes are all bearish, though the 30m and 1H are choppy/sideways, indicating that the bearish move is not yet fully developed. Meanwhile, higher timeframes (2H, 4H, 8H, 12H) are still bullish, which could provide a counter-trend headwind. The daily timeframe is bearish, aligning with the 1H signal. This mixed alignment suggests that the bearish move may be part of a larger correction within an overall bullish trend, but the immediate momentum favors the downside. Traders should watch for a break below the support to confirm the trend, and a move above resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.
Across timeframes, the picture is mixed but leans bearish in the short term. The 15m, 30m, and 1H timeframes are all bearish, though the 30m and 1H are choppy/sideways, indicating that the bearish move is not yet fully developed. Meanwhile, higher timeframes (2H, 4H, 8H, 12H) are still bullish, which could provide a counter-trend headwind. The daily timeframe is bearish, aligning with the 1H signal. This mixed alignment suggests that the bearish move may be part of a larger correction within an overall bullish trend, but the immediate momentum favors the downside. Traders should watch for a break below the support to confirm the trend, and a move above resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.
Catalysts
- ▼ Confluence of signals across trendline, pattern, and indicator groups.
- ▼ Bearish alignment on 15m, 30m, and 1H timeframes.
- ▼ Double Top pattern and trendline break provide technical confirmation.
- ▼ Daily timeframe also bearish, supporting the 1H signal.
Risk Factors
- ▲ Higher timeframes (2H, 4H, 8H, 12H) are still bullish, which could limit downside.
- ▲ Choppy/sideways trends on 30m and 1H may indicate weak momentum.
- ▲ A break above resistance at 216.21400 would invalidate the bearish setup.
- ▲ The signal is based on 1H; if the 4H trend turns bearish, the move could be stronger, but if the 4H remains bullish, the decline may be shallow.
Symbol
GBP/JPY
Timeframe
1H
Direction
SELL
Probability
97%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-08-19 02:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 216.21400 | 2026-08-18 |
| S1 | 215.75900 | 2026-08-18 |
| S2 | 215.40200 | 2026-08-17 |
| S3 | 214.87400 | 2026-08-14 |
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