GBP/JPY – 30M – BUY
BUY
66%
▲ Bullish 66% (42.72)
▼ Bearish 34% (21.99)
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Signal evolution
Events for GBP/JPY
Full calendar- TodayJPYExports YoY (Jul)●●○Previous 19.3in 10h
- TodayJPYBalance of Trade (Jul)●●○Previous -406.9in 10h
- TomorrowGBPCBI Industrial Trends Orders (Aug)●●○Previous -45in 21h
All times UTC.
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | Triple Top | chart_pattern | 3.52 |
| ▼ | Double Top | chart_pattern | 3.33 |
| ▲ | Double Top Retreat Up | chart_pattern | 3.14 |
| ▼ | Trendline Break Down | trendline | 2.72 |
| ▲ | Triple Top Retreat Up | chart_pattern | 2.72 |
| ▲ | Trendline Retreat Up | trendline | 2.62 |
| ▼ | SMA CROSS 20 50 Death Cross | indicator | 2.60 |
| ▲ | Support Level Retreat Up | sr | 2.51 |
| ▲ | KAMA Retreat Up | indicator | 2.49 |
| ▲ | EMA 200 Retreat Up | indicator | 2.44 |
| ▲ | Fibonacci Break UpTrend (24%) | fibonacci | 2.37 |
| ▲ | SMA 200 Retreat Up | indicator | 2.32 |
| ▲ | CCI OS Exit | indicator | 2.10 |
| ▲ | STOCHF KD Cross Up | indicator | 1.99 |
| ▲ | BOP Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.91 |
| ▼ | STOCH KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.63 |
| ▲ | Spinning Top Bullish | candlestick | 1.08 |
| ▲ | Bullish Harami | candlestick | 1.07 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNTrend forming
30MDOWNChoppy / sideways
1HDOWNChoppy / sideways
2HUPTrend forming
4HUPChoppy / sideways
8HUPTrend forming
12HUPTrend forming
1DDOWNTrend forming
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- A cluster of bullish signals fired on the 30M chart, including trendline breaks and retreat patterns, pointing to a potential upward move.
- Higher timeframes (2H and above) are bullish, while lower timeframes are bearish, suggesting the trend is still forming.
- Watch the nearest resistance at 216.171 and support at 215.915; a break above resistance could confirm the bullish bias.
- The signal has a 71% probability, but strength is moderate, so caution is advised.
The GBP/JPY 30-minute signal is a BUY with moderate strength, driven by a cluster of bullish triggers: a downward trendline break and subsequent retreat up, double and triple top retreats up, a BOP zero cross up, and a CCI oversold exit. These signals collectively suggest that selling pressure is exhausting and buyers are stepping in, with the retreat patterns indicating that previous resistance levels are being defended. The confluence across candlestick, trendline, indicator, chart pattern, support/resistance, and Fibonacci groups adds weight to the bullish case.
Across timeframes, the picture is mixed but leans bullish on higher timeframes. The 2H, 4H, 8H, and 12H are all bullish, albeit with low trend scores, while the 15M, 30M, and 1H are bearish. This suggests that the immediate trend is still weak, but the longer-term bias is turning up. The key levels to watch are resistance at 216.171 and support at 215.915. A break above resistance could confirm the bullish reversal, while a loss of support would invalidate the signal.
Across timeframes, the picture is mixed but leans bullish on higher timeframes. The 2H, 4H, 8H, and 12H are all bullish, albeit with low trend scores, while the 15M, 30M, and 1H are bearish. This suggests that the immediate trend is still weak, but the longer-term bias is turning up. The key levels to watch are resistance at 216.171 and support at 215.915. A break above resistance could confirm the bullish reversal, while a loss of support would invalidate the signal.
Catalysts
- ▲ Multiple bullish patterns (double/triple top retreats up) and trendline breaks align, increasing the reliability of the signal.
- ▲ BOP zero cross up and CCI oversold exit indicate improving momentum and potential buying pressure.
- ▲ Higher timeframe bullish trends (2H, 4H, 8H, 12H) support the bullish case, even though they are still forming.
- ▲ The signal is supported by a confluence of signal groups (candlestick, trendline, indicator, chart pattern, support/resistance, Fibonacci).
Risk Factors
- ▼ Lower timeframes (15M, 30M, 1H) are bearish, which could override the bullish signal if selling persists.
- ▼ The 1D timeframe is bearish, suggesting a longer-term downtrend that may cap upside.
- ▼ Momentum is moderate, so the move may lack strength; a failure to break resistance could lead to a pullback.
- ▼ If price falls below the nearest support at 215.915, the bullish signal would be invalidated.
Symbol
GBP/JPY
Timeframe
30M
Direction
BUY
Probability
66%
Strength
MODERATE
Date
2026-08-19 02:30
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 216.17100 | 2026-08-18 |
| R2 | 216.21400 | 2026-08-18 |
| S1 | 215.91500 | 2026-08-18 |
| S2 | 215.75900 | 2026-08-18 |
| S3 | 215.40200 | 2026-08-17 |
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