USD/CAD – 2H – BUY
BUY
81%
▲ Bullish 81% (27.92)
▼ Bearish 19% (6.60)
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Signal evolution
Events for USD/CAD
Full calendar- TodayUSDEIA Crude Oil Stocks Change (Aug/14)●●●in 47m
- TodayUSDEIA Gasoline Stocks Change (Aug/14)●●○in 47m
- TodayUSDFOMC Minutes●●●in 4h
All times UTC.
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | Trendline Break Up | trendline | 2.88 |
| ▼ | Trendline Break Down | trendline | 2.73 |
| ▲ | MIDPOINT Retreat Up | indicator | 2.53 |
| ▲ | MIDPRICE Retreat Up | indicator | 2.43 |
| ▲ | HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up | indicator | 2.40 |
| ▲ | KAMA Retreat Up | indicator | 2.30 |
| ▲ | EMA Retreat Up | indicator | 2.25 |
| ▲ | MAMA PRICE Retreat Up | indicator | 2.14 |
| ▲ | MA Retreat Up | indicator | 2.12 |
| ▲ | DEMA Retreat Up | indicator | 2.08 |
| ▲ | STOCH OB Exit | indicator | 1.83 |
| ▲ | Fibonacci Retreat UpTrend (79%) | fibonacci | 1.76 |
| ▲ | BOP Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.54 |
| ▼ | BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down | indicator | 1.54 |
| ▼ | DX Trend Weak | indicator | 1.43 |
| ▲ | Bullish Meeting Lines | candlestick | 1.32 |
| ▼ | Thrusting | candlestick | 0.70 |
Trend Context
15MUPTrend forming
30MUPTrend forming
1HUPTrend forming
2HUPSolid trend
4HDOWNSolid trend
8HDOWNSolid trend
12HDOWNSolid trend
1DDOWNSolid trend
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Strong bullish signal on the 2H chart with multiple confirmations.
- Lower timeframes are turning bullish, supporting the move.
- Resistance at 1.39581 is the immediate upside target; support at 1.38444 is the invalidation level.
- Higher timeframes are bearish, so this may be a counter-trend move within a larger downtrend.
The USD/CAD 2H signal is strongly bullish (85% probability, very strong), driven by a confluence of trendline breaks, momentum shifts (BOP zero cross up), and retreating moving averages (DEMA and EMA retreat up), alongside candlestick and Fibonacci patterns. The immediate 2H trend is solidly bullish (3/5), and lower timeframes (15m to 1H) are all turning bullish, suggesting a building upward momentum. However, the higher timeframes (4H to 1D) remain bearish, creating a conflict that could limit upside or lead to a retracement.
Key levels to watch are resistance at 1.39581 and support at 1.38444. A break above resistance would confirm the bullish momentum, while a drop below support would invalidate the signal. The alignment of multiple signals on the 2H chart provides strong short-term bullish evidence, but traders should be cautious of the bearish higher timeframe context.
Key levels to watch are resistance at 1.39581 and support at 1.38444. A break above resistance would confirm the bullish momentum, while a drop below support would invalidate the signal. The alignment of multiple signals on the 2H chart provides strong short-term bullish evidence, but traders should be cautious of the bearish higher timeframe context.
Catalysts
- ▲ Trendline breaks (both up and down) indicate a shift in momentum.
- ▲ BOP zero cross up confirms buying pressure.
- ▲ DEMA and EMA retreat up suggest trend continuation.
- ▲ Multiple signal groups (candlestick, Fibonacci, trendline, indicator) align.
Risk Factors
- ▼ Higher timeframes (4H to 1D) are bearish, which could cap upside or reverse the move.
- ▼ If price fails to hold above support at 1.38444, the signal is invalidated.
- ▼ Stochastic oscillator exit from overbought may indicate a pullback.
- ▼ Momentum could fade if the bullish move is not sustained on the 1H and 2H charts.
Symbol
USD/CAD
Timeframe
2H
Direction
BUY
Probability
81%
Strength
STRONG
Date
2026-08-19 00:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 1.39581 | 2026-08-13 |
| R2 | 1.40374 | 2026-08-06 |
| R3 | 1.40799 | 2026-08-04 |
| S1 | 1.38444 | 2026-08-17 |
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