USD/CHF – 1H – SELL
SELL
90%
▲ Bullish 10% (1.53)
▼ Bearish 90% (13.31)
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Signal evolution
Events for USD/CHF
Full calendar- TomorrowCHFBalance of Trade (Jul)●●○Forecast CHF4.1BPrevious CHF3.8Bin 9h
- TomorrowUSDPhiladelphia Fed Manufacturing Index (Aug)●●○Forecast 25Previous 41.4in 16h
- TomorrowUSDInitial Jobless Claims (Aug/15)●●●Forecast 201in 16h
All times UTC.
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | Resistance Level Retreat Down | sr | 2.41 |
| ▼ | Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (38%) | fibonacci | 2.08 |
| ▲ | STOCHF KD Cross Up | indicator | 2.01 |
| ▼ | Trendline Retreat Down | trendline | 1.81 |
| ▼ | DEMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.76 |
| ▼ | STOCHRSI KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.75 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.45 |
| ▼ | MIDPRICE Retreat Down | indicator | 1.45 |
| ▼ | EMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.40 |
| ▼ | MIDPOINT Retreat Down | indicator | 1.35 |
| ▼ | KAMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.33 |
| ▼ | HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down | indicator | 1.28 |
| ▼ | MACD Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.25 |
| ▼ | MA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.16 |
| ▼ | Bearish Engulfing | candlestick | 1.11 |
| ▼ | APO Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.10 |
| ▲ | DX Trend Strong | indicator | 1.08 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNSolid trend
30MDOWNTrend forming
1HDOWNChoppy / sideways
2HDOWNTrend forming
4HDOWNTrend forming
8HDOWNChoppy / sideways
12HDOWNChoppy / sideways
1DDOWNChoppy / sideways
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Strong bearish confluence on the 1H chart with multiple momentum and trend indicators aligned.
- All timeframes from 15m to 1D are bearish, though higher timeframes are choppy/sideways.
- Watch nearest support at 0.80717 for a potential breakdown; nearest resistance at 0.81310 is the invalidation zone.
- The very strong trend score (94% probability) suggests high confidence in the bearish move, but beware of choppy conditions.
The USD/CHF 1H chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by Trendline Retreat Down, APO Zero Cross Down, and BOP Zero Cross Down, alongside a very strong DX trend score and MACD Zero Cross Down. This confluence of momentum, trend, and volatility indicators points to sustained downward pressure, with the retreat from the trendline acting as a fresh bearish trigger. The bearish alignment across all monitored timeframes—from 15m to 1D—reinforces the conviction behind the sell signal, even though the higher timeframes (1H, 8H, 12H, 1D) are described as choppy or sideways, suggesting the downtrend is still in its early stages.
Key levels to watch are nearest resistance at 0.81310 and nearest support at 0.80717. A break below support could accelerate the bearish move, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the short-term bearish setup. The presence of multiple signal groups (indicator, fibonacci, candlestick, trendline, sr) adds to the technical confluence, but traders should remain cautious of the choppy higher-timeframe conditions, which may lead to false breakouts or range-bound trading.
Key levels to watch are nearest resistance at 0.81310 and nearest support at 0.80717. A break below support could accelerate the bearish move, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the short-term bearish setup. The presence of multiple signal groups (indicator, fibonacci, candlestick, trendline, sr) adds to the technical confluence, but traders should remain cautious of the choppy higher-timeframe conditions, which may lead to false breakouts or range-bound trading.
Catalysts
- ▼ Multiple bearish signals fired simultaneously, including Trendline Retreat Down, APO Zero Cross Down, and MACD Zero Cross Down.
- ▼ Strong DX trend score indicates a well-established downtrend on the 1H timeframe.
- ▼ Bearish alignment across all timeframes, from 15m to 1D, supports the continuation of the downtrend.
- ▼ Confluence from multiple signal groups (indicator, fibonacci, candlestick, trendline, sr) adds to the technical case.
Risk Factors
- ▲ Higher timeframes (1H, 8H, 12H, 1D) are choppy/sideways, which could lead to false signals or range-bound price action.
- ▲ The STOCHF KD Cross Up signal suggests short-term oversold conditions may trigger a bounce.
- ▲ A break above the nearest resistance at 0.81310 would invalidate the bearish setup.
- ▲ Momentum could fade if the price fails to break below the nearest support at 0.80717.
Symbol
USD/CHF
Timeframe
1H
Direction
SELL
Probability
90%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-08-19 09:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 0.81310 | 2026-08-18 |
| R2 | 0.81467 | 2026-08-13 |
| S1 | 0.80717 | 2026-08-17 |
| S2 | 0.80561 | 2026-08-07 |
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