USD/CHF 1H SELL

· 14 hours ago
SELL
95%
▼ SELL
VERY STRONG
Intraday
Prognose: 61% historisch
⚡ Confluence +60%
▲ Bullish 5% (3.04) ▼ Bearish 95% (57.64)
USD/CHF  ·  1H
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Signal evolution

Events for USD/CHF

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Signals Fired

Signals Fired Category Weight
Resistance Level Retreat Down sr 2.36
CCI OB Exit indicator 2.14
Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (50%) fibonacci 2.01
DI CROSS Cross Down indicator 1.83
Trendline Retreat Down trendline 1.74
STOCH KD Cross Down indicator 1.72
DM CROSS Cross Down indicator 1.61
MOM Zero Cross Down indicator 1.38
ROC Zero Cross Down indicator 1.38
ROCR Cross Down indicator 1.38
Falling Window candlestick 0.81

Trend Context

15M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
30M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNTrend forming
8H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
12H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A cluster of bearish momentum and trend signals aligns on the 1H chart, pointing to a short-term sell opportunity.
  • All timeframes are bearish, but most show choppy/sideways action, indicating limited trend strength.
  • Watch the 0.80717 support: a break could extend downside, while a move above 0.81467 resistance would invalidate the bearish case.
  • The signal strength is very strong, but the lack of a clear trend on higher timeframes warrants caution.
The USD/CHF 1H chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a Trendline Retreat Down, CCI OB Exit, DI Cross Down, DM Cross Down, MOM Zero Cross Down, ROC Zero Cross Down, ROCR Cross Down, and STOCH KD Cross Down. This confluence of momentum and trend indicators points to a strong short-term bearish impulse, with the trendline retreat suggesting that price has rejected a descending trendline from above. The broad alignment across timeframes—all bearish, albeit with choppy/sideways action on most—reinforces the downside bias, though the weak trend scores (1/5) on many timeframes indicate that the move may lack sustained follow-through.

Key levels to monitor are the nearest resistance at 0.81467 and support at 0.80717. A break below support could open the door for further downside, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the bearish setup. The very strong signal strength (94% probability) suggests high conviction, but traders should be cautious of the choppy conditions that have characterized recent price action.
Catalysts
  • Multiple momentum indicators (MOM, ROC, ROCR) crossing below zero confirms strong downside momentum.
  • DI and DM crosses down signal a bearish directional shift, supported by the trendline retreat.
  • CCI exiting overbought territory suggests selling pressure is building.
  • The 2H and 4H timeframes are showing trend formation, adding weight to the bearish outlook.
Risk Factors
  • Most timeframes (15m, 30m, 1h, 8h, 12h, 1d) are bearish but choppy/sideways, indicating weak trend strength that could lead to false breakouts.
  • The nearest resistance at 0.81467 is a key level; a break above it would invalidate the bearish signal.
  • Momentum signals may be overextended after a sharp move, increasing the risk of a pullback.
  • The 1D timeframe shows only a 1/5 trend score, suggesting the long-term trend is not firmly bearish, which could limit downside potential.
Symbol USD/CHF
Timeframe 1H
Direction SELL
Probability 95%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-08-19 00:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.81467 2026-08-13
S1 0.80717 2026-08-17
S2 0.80561 2026-08-07

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