USD/JPY – 30M – SELL
SELL
95%
▲ Bullish 5% (3.07)
▼ Bearish 95% (64.05)
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Signal evolution
Events for USD/JPY
Full calendar- TodayUSDEIA Crude Oil Stocks Change (Aug/14)●●●in 2h
- TodayUSDEIA Gasoline Stocks Change (Aug/14)●●○in 2h
- TodayUSDFOMC Minutes●●●in 5h
All times UTC.
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (50%) | fibonacci | 2.01 |
| ▼ | Trendline Retreat Down | trendline | 1.98 |
| ▼ | Resistance Level Retreat Down | sr | 1.95 |
| ▼ | MA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.84 |
| ▼ | DEMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.73 |
| ▼ | MACD Signal Cross Down | indicator | 1.52 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.44 |
| ▼ | CMO Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.39 |
| ▼ | RSI Midline Cross Down | indicator | 1.39 |
| ▼ | CCI Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.23 |
| ▼ | BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down | indicator | 1.05 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNChoppy / sideways
30MDOWNChoppy / sideways
1HDOWNChoppy / sideways
2HDOWNChoppy / sideways
4HDOWNTrend forming
8HDOWNSolid trend
12HDOWNSolid trend
1DDOWNSolid trend
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Strong bearish signal cluster on USD/JPY 30M with multiple indicators aligning downward.
- Trend is bearish across all timeframes, with higher timeframes showing solid trends.
- Key support at 159.42400; a break could lead to further downside.
- Resistance at 159.77400 is the invalidation level; price reclaiming it would negate the signal.
The USD/JPY 30-minute chart has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals, including Trendline Retreat Down, BOP Zero Cross Down, CCI Zero Cross Down, CMO Zero Cross Down, MACD Signal Cross Down, RSI Midline Cross Down, BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down, and DEMA Retreat Down, among others. This confluence indicates strong selling pressure and momentum shifting downward. The trend is consistently bearish across all timeframes, with shorter timeframes choppy but the higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H, 1D) showing solid or forming trends, reinforcing the bearish bias.
Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 159.77400 and support at 159.42400. A break below support could accelerate the decline, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the bearish setup. The alignment across multiple timeframes and the sheer number of signals suggest a high-probability move, but the choppy nature of lower timeframes warrants caution.
Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 159.77400 and support at 159.42400. A break below support could accelerate the decline, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the bearish setup. The alignment across multiple timeframes and the sheer number of signals suggest a high-probability move, but the choppy nature of lower timeframes warrants caution.
Catalysts
- ▼ Confluence of over a dozen bearish signals from trendline, indicator, support/resistance, and Fibonacci groups.
- ▼ Consistent bearish trend across all timeframes, with higher timeframes (4H and above) showing solid trend formation.
- ▼ Momentum indicators (CCI, CMO, RSI, MACD) all crossing below key levels, confirming downward momentum.
Risk Factors
- ▲ Lower timeframes (15m-2h) are choppy/sideways, which could lead to false breakouts or whipsaws.
- ▲ If price reclaims resistance at 159.77400, the bearish signal would be invalidated.
- ▲ Overbought conditions may be stretched, but the strong trend suggests continuation; still, a sharp reversal is possible if news sentiment shifts.
Symbol
USD/JPY
Timeframe
30M
Direction
SELL
Probability
95%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-08-19 00:30
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 159.77400 | 2026-08-18 |
| S1 | 159.42400 | 2026-08-18 |
| S2 | 159.26800 | 2026-08-18 |
| S3 | 158.84000 | 2026-08-17 |