EUR/CAD – 2H – SELL

2026-08-25 16:00 UTC · 25 minutes ago

SELL

89%

▼ SELL

VERY STRONG

Intraday

Prognose: 40% historisch

⚡ Confluence +24%

▲ Bullish 11% (2.97) ▼ Bearish 89% (24.40)

Loading…

Signal evolution

Signals Fired

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	Trendline Break Up	trendline	2.97
▼	Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%)	fibonacci	2.25
▼	T3 Break Down	indicator	2.19
▼	TEMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.09
▼	MACD Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.99
▼	SAR Flip Bearish	indicator	1.91
▼	CCI Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.59
▼	BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down	indicator	1.45
▼	MOM Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.32
▼	ROC Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.32
▼	ROCR Cross Down	indicator	1.32
▼	DX Trend Weak	indicator	1.28

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNTrend forming

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

UPChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish signal on 2H with 89% probability, driven by multiple momentum and trendline breaks.
Short-term timeframes (15m, 30m) are bearish, but higher timeframes remain bullish, indicating a potential pullback.
Key support at 1.60536 is the immediate downside target; resistance at 1.62476 is the invalidation level.
Momentum divergence across timeframes suggests caution—this may be a counter-trend move.

The 2H EUR/CAD signal is strongly bearish, with a very strong probability of 89%. The confluence of a Trendline Break Up, CCI Zero Cross Down, MACD Signal Cross Down, and multiple momentum indicators (MOM, ROC, ROCR) crossing below zero, along with a break below the middle Bollinger Band, points to a clear shift in short-term momentum. The signal groups (trendline, indicator, fibonacci) reinforce the bearish case, suggesting that the recent upward trendline has been broken and that momentum has turned lower.

However, the broader trend picture is mixed. While the 15m and 30m timeframes are bearish, the 1H through 1D timeframes remain bullish, though only with a trend strength of 2/5 or lower (choppy/sideways on higher timeframes). This suggests the bearish signal is a counter-trend move within a larger bullish structure. The key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 1.62476 and the nearest support at 1.60536. A break below support would confirm the bearish move, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the signal.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of multiple momentum indicators (MACD, CCI, MOM, ROC) all crossing down simultaneously.
▼ Trendline break on the 2H chart adds technical confirmation to the bearish momentum.
▼ Fibonacci levels likely align with the support zone, adding significance to the downside target.
▼ Short-term timeframes (15m, 30m) already bearish, suggesting early trend formation.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (1H and above) are still bullish, which could limit downside or trigger a reversal.
▲ Trend strength is weak across all timeframes (2/5 or lower), indicating choppy conditions and potential false signals.
▲ A reclaim of the 1.62476 resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.
▲ If support at 1.60536 holds, the signal may fail to follow through.