USD/CHF – 1H – BUY

2026-08-31 11:00 UTC · 16 hours ago

BUY

100%

▲ BUY

VERY STRONG

Intraday

Prognose: 61% historisch

⚡ Confluence +60%

▲ Bullish 100% (53.42) ▼ Bearish 0% (0.00)

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	CCI OS Exit	indicator	2.68
▲	WILLR OS Exit	indicator	2.63
▲	Trendline Break Up	trendline	2.53
▲	SMA 50 Retreat Up	indicator	2.32
▲	EMA 200 Retreat Up	indicator	2.29
▲	MA Retreat Up	indicator	2.23
▲	Trendline Retreat Up	trendline	2.21
▲	Fibonacci Break UpTrend (24%)	fibonacci	2.13
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.95
▼	CHOP Choppy	indicator	1.92
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.79
▲	CTI OS Exit	indicator	1.71
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.61
▲	BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Up	indicator	1.47
▲	KELTNER MID Cross Up	indicator	1.42
▲	Above The Stomach	candlestick	1.24
▲	Tweezers Bottom	candlestick	1.11

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

UPTrend forming

DOWNTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

12H

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A very strong bullish signal has fired on the 1H chart, backed by trendline breaks and multiple oscillator crossovers.
The short-term trend is up across several timeframes, but the 1H, 12H, and 1D trends are still bearish, making this a counter-trend move.
Key levels to watch: resistance at 0.80987 and support at 0.80318.
The confluence of signals suggests a high-probability long, but the bearish higher timeframes warrant caution.

The USD/CHF 1H signal is overwhelmingly bullish, with a 94% probability and very strong strength, driven by a confluence of technical events. The breakout and successful retest of a trendline, combined with multiple oscillator exits from oversold conditions (CCI, Williams %R) and a bullish cross on the Stochastic Fast, point to a shift in short-term momentum. The price crossing above the middle Bollinger Band and the EMA 200 retreating upward further confirm the bullish bias, suggesting buyers are gaining control after a period of consolidation.

However, the higher timeframe picture is mixed. While the 15m, 30m, 2h, 4h, and 8h charts are all bullish, the 1h, 12h, and 1d charts remain bearish. This indicates the current bullish signal is a counter-trend move within a larger downtrend. The immediate upside target is the nearest resistance at 0.80987, with support at 0.80318 serving as the key invalidation level. The signal's strength suggests a high-probability bounce, but traders should be aware that the higher timeframe downtrend may limit upside potential and increase the risk of a reversal near resistance.

Catalysts

▲ Strong confluence of bullish signals: trendline break and retest, multiple oversold exits, and a bullish crossover on the Stochastic Fast.
▲ Bullish trend alignment across the 15m, 30m, 2h, 4h, and 8h timeframes.
▲ Price holding above the middle Bollinger Band and the EMA 200 retreating upward support the bullish momentum.
▲ Very high signal probability (94%) and strength rating (very strong).

Risk Factors

▼ The 1H, 12H, and 1D timeframes are still bearish, which could cap upside and lead to a reversal.
▼ The nearest resistance at 0.80987 may act as a strong barrier, especially if the higher timeframe downtrend resumes.
▼ The choppy/sideways trends on several timeframes (15m, 2h, 4h) suggest a lack of clear direction, which could lead to false breakouts.
▼ A break below the nearest support at 0.80318 would invalidate the bullish signal and could trigger a sharper selloff.