USD/JPY – 1H – BUY

2026-08-31 18:00 UTC · 5 hours ago

BUY

98%

▲ BUY

VERY STRONG

Intraday

Prognose: 61% historisch

⚡ Confluence +60%

▲ Bullish 98% (69.49) ▼ Bearish 2% (1.18)

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	Ascending Channel	chart_pattern	3.83
▲	Trendline Break Up	trendline	2.96
▲	SMA 200 Retreat Up	indicator	2.31
▲	Trendline Retreat Up	trendline	2.28
▲	MIDPRICE Retreat Up	indicator	2.27
▲	Support Level Retreat Up	sr	2.22
▲	EMA 200 Retreat Up	indicator	2.11
▲	Fibonacci Break UpTrend (24%)	fibonacci	1.92
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.88
▼	MACD Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.76
▼	TSI Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.53
▼	KST Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.50
▼	HMA Direction Down	indicator	1.30
▲	Bullish Harami	candlestick	1.06
▲	Spinning Top Bullish	candlestick	0.93

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

12H

UPSolid trend

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bullish 1H signals are firing, but higher timeframe trends are mixed — daily is bearish, 12H is bullish.
Watch the 160.19800 resistance and 159.23600 support as key levels for confirmation or invalidation.
The cluster of bullish signals (trendline, channel, EMA/SMA retreats) suggests a potential upward move on the 1H chart.
Lower timeframes (15M-4H) are bearish and choppy, so the bullish signal may face near-term headwinds.

The 1H USD/JPY signal is firing a cluster of bullish triggers — a trendline break and retreat to the upside, an ascending channel, a BOP zero cross up, and retreats up from the EMA 200, MIDPRICE, and SMA 200 — all pointing to renewed upward momentum in the near term. However, the higher timeframe picture is mixed: the 8H and 12H trends are bullish, with the 12H showing a solid trend, which lends some support to the move. Yet the 15M through 4H timeframes remain bearish and choppy, and the daily trend is bearish and solid, creating conflicting signals.

Key levels to watch are resistance at 160.19800 and support at 159.23600. A break above resistance would confirm the bullish reversal, while a loss of support would invalidate the setup. The confluence of multiple bullish signals on the 1H chart, combined with the higher timeframe bullish bias on 8H/12H, suggests the pair may be attempting a bottom, but traders should be cautious given the bearish daily trend and the choppy lower timeframes.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple bullish signals on the 1H chart (trendline break, ascending channel, BOP zero cross up, EMA/SMA retreats) provide strong confluence.
▲ Higher timeframe trends on 8H and 12H are bullish, with the 12H showing a solid trend, supporting the upside move.
▲ The retreat up from the EMA 200 and SMA 200 suggests the pair is finding support at key moving averages.
▲ The ascending channel pattern indicates a series of higher lows and higher highs, reinforcing bullish momentum.

Risk Factors

▼ The daily trend is bearish and solid, which could cap upside or lead to a reversal.
▼ Lower timeframes (15M-4H) are bearish and choppy, so the bullish signal may be early or fail to follow through.
▼ If price breaks below the nearest support at 159.23600, the bullish setup would be invalidated.
▼ The MACD zero cross down is a bearish signal that could offset some of the bullish momentum.