USD/JPY 2H SELL

· 5 hours ago
SELL
96%
▼ SELL
VERY STRONG
Intraday
Prognose: 61% historisch
⚡ Confluence +60%
▲ Bullish 4% (4.15) ▼ Bearish 96% (96.93)
USD/JPY  ·  2H
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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

Signals Fired Category Weight
Trendline Break Up trendline 2.76
Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (79%) fibonacci 2.32
Trendline Break Down trendline 2.23
Resistance Level Retreat Down sr 2.22
DEMA Retreat Down indicator 2.00
ADX Trend Weak indicator 1.86
BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down indicator 1.73
AROON Strong Downtrend indicator 1.72
STOCHF KD Cross Down indicator 1.71
HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down indicator 1.71
AROON Cross Down indicator 1.68
AROONOSC Zero Cross Down indicator 1.68
BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.56
KST Signal Cross Down indicator 1.49
KELTNER MID Cross Down indicator 1.47
MIDPOINT Retreat Down indicator 1.45
RSX Midline Cross Down indicator 1.29
TTM TREND Trend Down indicator 1.26

Trend Context

15M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
30M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1H
DOWNTrend forming
2H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
4H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
8H
UPTrend forming
12H
UPSolid trend
1D
DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bearish momentum on the 2H chart, with multiple indicators aligning for a sell.
  • Nearest support at 158.877 is the immediate downside target; watch for a break.
  • Resistance at 160.198 is the key invalidation level for the bearish setup.
  • Mixed higher-timeframe trends (8h/12h bullish) warrant caution; watch for pullbacks.
The USD/JPY 2H signal is strongly bearish, firing a cluster of momentum and trend indicators including AROON Cross Down, AROONOSC Zero Cross Down, BOP Zero Cross Down, and STOCHF KD Cross Down, alongside trendline breaks in both directions and an ADX reading indicating weak trend strength. The confluence of these signals points to a shift in momentum to the downside, with the price likely to test the nearest support at 158.877. The bearish alignment across the 15m, 30m, 1h, 2h, 4h, and 1d timeframes supports the sell bias, although the 8h and 12h timeframes remain bullish, suggesting potential pullbacks or a larger consolidation.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 160.198 and support at 158.877. A break below support could accelerate the decline, while a move back above resistance would invalidate the bearish setup. The mixed higher-timeframe trend (8h/12h bullish) adds complexity, so traders should monitor price action at these levels for confirmation or reversal signals.
Catalysts
  • Confluence of multiple bearish signals (AROON, BOP, STOCHF) across momentum and trend groups.
  • Trendline breaks in both directions suggest a shift in market structure to the downside.
  • Bearish alignment across most timeframes (15m to 4h and 1d) supports the sell signal.
  • ADX indicating weak trend strength may precede a new downtrend as momentum builds.
Risk Factors
  • Higher timeframes (8h and 12h) remain bullish, which could lead to a bounce or reversal.
  • A move above resistance at 160.198 would invalidate the bearish signal.
  • Weak ADX suggests the current trend may lack strength, increasing the risk of a sideways chop.
  • Choppy price action on multiple timeframes could lead to false breakouts.
Symbol USD/JPY
Timeframe 2H
Direction SELL
Probability 96%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-08-31 16:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 160.19800 2026-08-28
S1 158.87700 2026-08-26
S2 158.35100 2026-08-21
S3 158.02100 2026-08-20

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