USD/JPY – 30M – BUY
BUY
100%
▲ Bullish 100% (36.74)
▼ Bearish 0% (0.00)
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Signal evolution
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | Trendline Break Up | trendline | 2.63 |
| ▲ | SMI Signal Cross Up | indicator | 1.98 |
| ▲ | Fibonacci Break UpTrend (24%) | fibonacci | 1.91 |
| ▲ | SMA 200 Retreat Up | indicator | 1.84 |
| ▲ | Support Level Retreat Up | sr | 1.82 |
| ▲ | EMA 200 Retreat Up | indicator | 1.75 |
| ▲ | STOCHF KD Cross Up | indicator | 1.72 |
| ▲ | Trendline Retreat Up | trendline | 1.69 |
| ▲ | BOP Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.56 |
| ▲ | AO Saucer Bullish | indicator | 1.53 |
| ▲ | KDJ Cross Up | indicator | 1.52 |
| ▲ | WILLR OS Exit | indicator | 1.44 |
| ▼ | ER Level Cross Down | indicator | 1.39 |
| ▲ | TTM TREND Trend Up | indicator | 1.20 |
| ▲ | Bullish Engulfing | candlestick | 1.11 |
| ▲ | ERI BULL Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.09 |
| ▼ | DX Trend Weak | indicator | 0.91 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNSolid trend
30MDOWNTrend forming
1HDOWNTrend forming
2HUPTrend forming
4HUPChoppy / sideways
8HUPTrend forming
12HUPSolid trend
1DDOWNSolid trend
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- A dense cluster of bullish signals on the 30m chart suggests a bounce is underway, with trendline breaks and moving-average retreats aligning.
- The trend is mixed across timeframes: short-term bearish but longer-term bullish, so this is a counter-trend trade within a broader range.
- Watch the 160.195 resistance and 159.291 support as the key levels that will determine the next move.
The USD/JPY 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bullish signals, led by a Trendline Break Up and Trendline Retreat Up, alongside a BOP Zero Cross Up and a STOCHF KD Cross Up. These are reinforced by retreats off the EMA 200 and SMA 200, indicating that the recent pullback has found support at a key moving-average confluence. The WILLR exiting oversold territory further confirms that downside momentum has stalled, and the DX Trend Weak signal suggests the prevailing bearish trend is losing steam, opening the door for a counter-trend bounce.
However, the multi-timeframe picture is mixed. While the 2h, 4h, 8h, and 12h timeframes are bullish, the 15m, 30m, 1h, and 1d timeframes remain bearish. This creates a conflict: the immediate trend is down, but the longer-term structure is turning up. The signal is therefore best viewed as a tactical long within a larger consolidation. Key levels to watch are resistance at 160.195 and support at 159.291. A break above resistance would confirm the bullish reversal, while a loss of support would invalidate the setup and likely resume the broader downtrend.
However, the multi-timeframe picture is mixed. While the 2h, 4h, 8h, and 12h timeframes are bullish, the 15m, 30m, 1h, and 1d timeframes remain bearish. This creates a conflict: the immediate trend is down, but the longer-term structure is turning up. The signal is therefore best viewed as a tactical long within a larger consolidation. Key levels to watch are resistance at 160.195 and support at 159.291. A break above resistance would confirm the bullish reversal, while a loss of support would invalidate the setup and likely resume the broader downtrend.
Catalysts
- ▲ Strong confluence of signals across candlestick, trendline, fibonacci, indicator, and support/resistance groups.
- ▲ Price holding above the EMA 200 and SMA 200 suggests a solid base for the bounce.
- ▲ Higher timeframes (2h and above) are bullish, providing a tailwind for the move.
- ▲ The DX Trend Weak signal indicates the bearish trend is losing momentum, favoring a reversal.
Risk Factors
- ▼ The 1-day timeframe is bearish and strong, which could overpower the shorter-term bullish signal.
- ▼ The 15m, 30m, and 1h timeframes are bearish, so the bounce may be short-lived if it fails to break resistance.
- ▼ If price breaks below 159.291 support, the bullish setup is invalidated and a deeper decline could follow.
- ▼ The mixed trend across timeframes increases the risk of choppy, sideways action rather than a clean directional move.
Symbol
USD/JPY
Timeframe
30M
Direction
BUY
Probability
100%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-08-31 08:30
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 160.19500 | 2026-08-31 |
| R2 | 160.19800 | 2026-08-28 |
| S1 | 159.29100 | 2026-08-28 |
| S2 | 159.23600 | 2026-08-27 |
| S3 | 159.11300 | 2026-08-27 |
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