USD/JPY 30M BUY

· 15 hours ago
BUY
100%
▲ BUY
VERY STRONG
Scalping
Prognose: 61% historisch
⚡ Confluence +60%
▲ Bullish 100% (36.74) ▼ Bearish 0% (0.00)
USD/JPY  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

Signals Fired Category Weight
Trendline Break Up trendline 2.63
SMI Signal Cross Up indicator 1.98
Fibonacci Break UpTrend (24%) fibonacci 1.91
SMA 200 Retreat Up indicator 1.84
Support Level Retreat Up sr 1.82
EMA 200 Retreat Up indicator 1.75
STOCHF KD Cross Up indicator 1.72
Trendline Retreat Up trendline 1.69
BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.56
AO Saucer Bullish indicator 1.53
KDJ Cross Up indicator 1.52
WILLR OS Exit indicator 1.44
ER Level Cross Down indicator 1.39
TTM TREND Trend Up indicator 1.20
Bullish Engulfing candlestick 1.11
ERI BULL Zero Cross Up indicator 1.09
DX Trend Weak indicator 0.91

Trend Context

15M
DOWNSolid trend
30M
DOWNTrend forming
1H
DOWNTrend forming
2H
UPTrend forming
4H
UPChoppy / sideways
8H
UPTrend forming
12H
UPSolid trend
1D
DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A dense cluster of bullish signals on the 30m chart suggests a bounce is underway, with trendline breaks and moving-average retreats aligning.
  • The trend is mixed across timeframes: short-term bearish but longer-term bullish, so this is a counter-trend trade within a broader range.
  • Watch the 160.195 resistance and 159.291 support as the key levels that will determine the next move.
The USD/JPY 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bullish signals, led by a Trendline Break Up and Trendline Retreat Up, alongside a BOP Zero Cross Up and a STOCHF KD Cross Up. These are reinforced by retreats off the EMA 200 and SMA 200, indicating that the recent pullback has found support at a key moving-average confluence. The WILLR exiting oversold territory further confirms that downside momentum has stalled, and the DX Trend Weak signal suggests the prevailing bearish trend is losing steam, opening the door for a counter-trend bounce.

However, the multi-timeframe picture is mixed. While the 2h, 4h, 8h, and 12h timeframes are bullish, the 15m, 30m, 1h, and 1d timeframes remain bearish. This creates a conflict: the immediate trend is down, but the longer-term structure is turning up. The signal is therefore best viewed as a tactical long within a larger consolidation. Key levels to watch are resistance at 160.195 and support at 159.291. A break above resistance would confirm the bullish reversal, while a loss of support would invalidate the setup and likely resume the broader downtrend.
Catalysts
  • Strong confluence of signals across candlestick, trendline, fibonacci, indicator, and support/resistance groups.
  • Price holding above the EMA 200 and SMA 200 suggests a solid base for the bounce.
  • Higher timeframes (2h and above) are bullish, providing a tailwind for the move.
  • The DX Trend Weak signal indicates the bearish trend is losing momentum, favoring a reversal.
Risk Factors
  • The 1-day timeframe is bearish and strong, which could overpower the shorter-term bullish signal.
  • The 15m, 30m, and 1h timeframes are bearish, so the bounce may be short-lived if it fails to break resistance.
  • If price breaks below 159.291 support, the bullish setup is invalidated and a deeper decline could follow.
  • The mixed trend across timeframes increases the risk of choppy, sideways action rather than a clean directional move.
Symbol USD/JPY
Timeframe 30M
Direction BUY
Probability 100%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-08-31 08:30
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 160.19500 2026-08-31
R2 160.19800 2026-08-28
S1 159.29100 2026-08-28
S2 159.23600 2026-08-27
S3 159.11300 2026-08-27

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