EUR/JPY – 4H – SELL
SELL
74%
▲ Bullish 26% (11.26)
▼ Bearish 74% (32.12)
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Signal evolution
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | CCI OB Exit | indicator | 2.56 |
| ▲ | WILLR OB Exit | indicator | 2.39 |
| ▲ | Trendline Break Up | trendline | 2.28 |
| ▲ | CTI OB Exit | indicator | 2.08 |
| ▼ | SMI Signal Cross Down | indicator | 1.95 |
| ▼ | TSI Signal Cross Down | indicator | 1.79 |
| ▼ | Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%) | fibonacci | 1.79 |
| ▲ | DX Trend Strong | indicator | 1.56 |
| ▼ | DPO Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.53 |
| ▼ | ER Level Cross Down | indicator | 1.51 |
| ▼ | Trendline Retreat Down | trendline | 1.47 |
| ▼ | KDJ Cross Down | indicator | 1.46 |
| ▼ | CMO Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.43 |
| ▼ | RSI Midline Cross Down | indicator | 1.43 |
| ▼ | ERI BEAR Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.41 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.36 |
| ▼ | BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down | indicator | 1.30 |
| ▼ | Resistance Level Retreat Down | sr | 1.29 |
| ▼ | TSI Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.27 |
| ▼ | KELTNER MID Cross Down | indicator | 1.27 |
| ▼ | HMA Direction Down | indicator | 1.24 |
| ▼ | STOCH KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.23 |
| ▼ | Three Inside Down | candlestick | 1.23 |
| ▼ | MACD Signal Cross Down | indicator | 1.11 |
| ▼ | MOM Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.10 |
| ▼ | ROC Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.10 |
| ▼ | ROCR Cross Down | indicator | 1.10 |
| ▼ | TTM TREND Trend Down | indicator | 1.09 |
| ▼ | BIAS Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.03 |
| ▲ | AROON Strong Uptrend | indicator | 1.02 |
| ▲ | AROON Cross Up | indicator | 1.01 |
| ▲ | AROONOSC Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.01 |
| ▼ | Belt Hold Bearish | candlestick | 0.62 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNVery strong trend
30MDOWNSolid trend
1HDOWNTrend forming
2HDOWNChoppy / sideways
4HDOWNChoppy / sideways
8HDOWNChoppy / sideways
12HDOWNChoppy / sideways
1DDOWNChoppy / sideways
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Strong bearish signal on EUR/JPY 4H with 74% probability, driven by a wide range of technical indicators.
- Trend is bearish across all timeframes, but higher timeframes are choppy, suggesting a short-term move rather than a major trend change.
- Watch the 184.91900 support — a break below could open further downside; a move above 185.98100 resistance would invalidate the signal.
The EUR/JPY 4H signal is overwhelmingly bearish, with a SELL direction backed by a 74% probability and moderate strength. The confluence of signals — Trendline Break Up, Trendline Retreat Down, AROON Cross Up, AROON Strong Uptrend, AROONOSC Zero Cross Up, BOP Zero Cross Down, CCI OB Exit, CMO Zero Cross Down, plus over 25 additional signals across trendline, indicator, candlestick, support/resistance, and Fibonacci groups — indicates a strong bearish momentum shift. The AROON readings suggest a fresh uptrend in the indicator, but the price action is breaking down, which often signals a trend reversal or continuation of a larger downtrend. The BOP and CMO zero-cross downs confirm selling pressure, while the CCI exit from overbought territory points to fading bullish momentum.
Trend alignment across timeframes is consistently bearish, though the strength diminishes on higher timeframes. The 15m and 30m charts show solid to very strong bearish trends, while the 4H, 8H, 12H, and 1D are choppy/sideways with a bearish bias. This suggests the current move is likely a short-term correction within a broader consolidation, but the direction is clear. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 185.98100, which now acts as a ceiling, and the nearest support at 184.91900, which is the immediate downside target. A break below support could accelerate the decline, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.
Trend alignment across timeframes is consistently bearish, though the strength diminishes on higher timeframes. The 15m and 30m charts show solid to very strong bearish trends, while the 4H, 8H, 12H, and 1D are choppy/sideways with a bearish bias. This suggests the current move is likely a short-term correction within a broader consolidation, but the direction is clear. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 185.98100, which now acts as a ceiling, and the nearest support at 184.91900, which is the immediate downside target. A break below support could accelerate the decline, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.
Catalysts
- ▼ Confluence of multiple signal groups (trendline, indicator, candlestick, support/resistance, Fibonacci) all pointing to bearish momentum.
- ▼ Consistent bearish trend across all timeframes, with the strongest momentum on lower timeframes confirming the immediate direction.
- ▼ Key bearish indicators like BOP zero-cross down and CMO zero-cross down confirm selling pressure, while CCI OB exit signals fading bullish momentum.
Risk Factors
- ▲ Higher timeframes (4H and above) are choppy/sideways, which could limit the follow-through of the bearish move and lead to range-bound price action.
- ▲ The nearest resistance at 185.98100 is close to current levels; a break above this level would invalidate the bearish signal and could trigger a short squeeze.
- ▲ The AROON indicators show an uptrend in the indicator itself, which may conflict with the price downtrend and suggest a potential reversal if price follows the indicator.
Symbol
EUR/JPY
Timeframe
4H
Direction
SELL
Probability
74%
Strength
MODERATE
Date
2026-09-02 04:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 185.98100 | 2026-08-28 |
| R2 | 186.01500 | 2026-08-21 |
| R3 | 187.46700 | 2026-07-29 |
| S1 | 184.91900 | 2026-08-31 |
| S2 | 183.92300 | 2026-08-19 |
| S3 | 183.15100 | 2026-08-12 |
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