GBP/JPY 4H SELL

· 36 minutes ago
SELL
83%
▼ SELL
STRONG
Swing
Prognose: 36% historisch
▲ Bullish 17% (7.25) ▼ Bearish 83% (36.12)
GBP/JPY  ·  4H
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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

Signals Fired Category Weight
Trendline Break Down trendline 2.40
BBANDS LOWER Break Down indicator 2.22
CTI OB Exit indicator 2.06
ICHIMOKU Cloud Bearish indicator 2.02
SAR Flip Bearish indicator 1.92
KST Signal Cross Down indicator 1.68
Resistance Level Retreat Down sr 1.64
Double Bottom Retreat Down chart_pattern 1.56
HT SINE Cross Up indicator 1.48
Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%) fibonacci 1.48
Trendline Retreat Down trendline 1.47
WILLR OS Entry indicator 1.43
EMA Retreat Down indicator 1.43
DEMA Retreat Down indicator 1.38
SMI Signal Cross Down indicator 1.38
FISHER Zero Cross Down indicator 1.33
STOCHRSI KD Cross Down indicator 1.29
KAMA Retreat Down indicator 1.25
QSTICK Zero Cross Down indicator 1.23
DX Trend Strong indicator 1.22
BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.16
AROON Strong Downtrend indicator 1.07
HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down indicator 1.05
ZSCORE Extreme Low indicator 1.05
MA Retreat Down indicator 1.04
MOM Zero Cross Down indicator 0.99
ROC Zero Cross Down indicator 0.99
ROCR Cross Down indicator 0.99
Last Engulfing Bottom candlestick 0.99
Bearish Engulfing candlestick 0.93
Last Engulfing Top candlestick 0.81
Belt Hold Bearish candlestick 0.78
Tweezers Top candlestick 0.74

Trend Context

15M
DOWNVery strong trend
30M
DOWNSolid trend
1H
DOWNTrend forming
2H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
4H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
8H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
12H
UPChoppy / sideways
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bearish confluence with 33 signals, led by trendline break and momentum crossovers.
  • Short-term timeframes (15m-1h) back the sell, but higher timeframes are choppy—trend may be fragile.
  • Watch support at 216.074; a break confirms downside, while resistance at 216.997 is the invalidation zone.
The GBP/JPY 4H signal set is overwhelmingly bearish, with 33 distinct signals firing across trendline, indicator, candlestick, support/resistance, chart pattern, and Fibonacci groups. The core drivers are a trendline retreat and subsequent break down, reinforced by a Double Bottom Retreat Down pattern, AROON strong downtrend, and multiple momentum oscillators (BOP, DX, MOM, ROC) all crossing below zero. This confluence suggests sellers are in control and downside momentum is building, with the 83% probability and strong strength rating reflecting broad alignment across signal types.

Across timeframes, the bearish bias is consistent but with varying conviction. The 15m and 30m charts show solid to very strong downtrends, while the 1h is forming a trend. However, the 4H and higher timeframes (2h, 8h, 1d) are choppy/sideways, and the 12h is actually bullish, albeit weak. This indicates the immediate momentum is bearish, but the larger picture lacks clear directional commitment. Key levels to watch are resistance at 216.997 and support at 216.074; a break below support would confirm the bearish move, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the setup.
Catalysts
  • Broad signal alignment across six groups (trendline, indicator, candlestick, SR, chart pattern, Fibonacci) reinforces bearish conviction.
  • Momentum oscillators (BOP, MOM, ROC) all crossing zero downward signal accelerating selling pressure.
  • AROON strong downtrend and DX trend strength confirm the trend is not just price action but backed by volatility.
  • Lower timeframe trends (15m/30m) are strong, providing near-term follow-through.
Risk Factors
  • Higher timeframes (12h) are bullish, creating potential for a counter-trend bounce that could stall the selloff.
  • The 4H and 8H are choppy/sideways, meaning the bearish signal may lack sustained momentum and could fade.
  • If price reclaims resistance at 216.997, the bearish setup is invalidated, and shorts should be covered.
  • The trend strength is weak on the 1H and above, suggesting the move may be a pullback within a larger range rather than a new downtrend.
Symbol GBP/JPY
Timeframe 4H
Direction SELL
Probability 83%
Strength STRONG
Date 2026-09-02 04:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 216.99700 2026-08-28
R2 217.46400 2026-08-25
R3 218.67600 2026-07-30
S1 216.07400 2026-08-31
S2 214.82400 2026-08-19
S3 214.53200 2026-08-12

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