AUD/JPY 30M SELL

· 37 minutes ago
SELL
100%
▼ SELL
VERY STRONG
Scalping
Prognose: 61% historisch
⚡ Confluence +11%
▲ Bullish 0% (0.00) ▼ Bearish 100% (30.12)
AUD/JPY  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

Signals Fired Category Weight
Trendline Break Down trendline 2.44
EMA Retreat Down indicator 2.28
KAMA Retreat Down indicator 2.11
STOCH OS Exit indicator 2.10
ALMA Retreat Down indicator 1.98
DEMA Retreat Down indicator 1.76
MIDPOINT Retreat Down indicator 1.72
MAMA PRICE Retreat Down indicator 1.70
Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (24%) fibonacci 1.63
MIDPRICE Retreat Down indicator 1.52
STOCHF KD Cross Down indicator 1.34
HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down indicator 1.29
BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.28

Trend Context

15M
DOWNVery strong trend
30M
DOWNVery strong trend
1H
DOWNVery strong trend
2H
DOWNSolid trend
4H
DOWNSolid trend
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
DOWNTrend forming
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bearish confluence across multiple indicators and timeframes.
  • Trend is consistently bearish from 15m up to 2h, with higher timeframes confirming.
  • Watch resistance at 113.96900; a break above would invalidate the bearish setup.
  • No nearest support defined, so manage risk with a clear invalidation level.
The AUD/JPY 30-minute chart has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a Trendline Break Down and reinforced by multiple moving-average retreats (DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MAMA Price) plus momentum indicators (BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCH OS Exit, STOCHF KD Cross Down). This confluence points to a strong and broad-based selling pressure, with the trend consistently bearish across all shorter timeframes from 15-minute up to 2-hour, all scoring 4/5 or 3/5. The higher timeframes (4h to 12h) also show solid or forming bearish trends, confirming the direction, while the daily chart remains choppy, suggesting the move is more of a swing than a long-term shift.

Given the very strong trend score (93% probability) and the alignment across timeframes, the path of least resistance is lower. The nearest resistance at 113.96900 is the key level to watch; a break back above it would signal a potential reversal or at least a pause in the bearish momentum. Since no nearest support is provided, traders should focus on the recent lows or psychological levels as potential targets. The signal is robust, but the lack of a defined support level adds uncertainty regarding the depth of the move.
Catalysts
  • Trendline Break Down combined with multiple moving-average retreats signals strong downward momentum.
  • Momentum indicators (BOP, STOCH, STOCHF) all aligned bearish, reinforcing the sell signal.
  • Trend scores across 15m, 30m, 1h, and 2h are all very strong (4/5) or solid (3/5), showing broad alignment.
  • Higher timeframes (4h, 8h, 12h) also bearish, supporting the continuation of the move.
Risk Factors
  • Daily chart is choppy/sideways (1/5), which could limit the depth of the move.
  • No nearest support level defined, making it hard to gauge potential downside targets.
  • If price breaks back above resistance at 113.96900, the bearish signal would be invalidated.
  • Overbought/oversold conditions may lead to a pullback or consolidation before further downside.
Symbol AUD/JPY
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Probability 100%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-09-03 07:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 113.96900 2026-09-02
R2 114.15600 2026-09-02
R3 114.66700 2026-09-02

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