AUD/JPY – 30M – SELL
SELL
100%
▲ Bullish 0% (0.00)
▼ Bearish 100% (30.12)
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Signal evolution
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | Trendline Break Down | trendline | 2.44 |
| ▼ | EMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.28 |
| ▼ | KAMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.11 |
| ▲ | STOCH OS Exit | indicator | 2.10 |
| ▼ | ALMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.98 |
| ▼ | DEMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.76 |
| ▼ | MIDPOINT Retreat Down | indicator | 1.72 |
| ▼ | MAMA PRICE Retreat Down | indicator | 1.70 |
| ▼ | Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (24%) | fibonacci | 1.63 |
| ▼ | MIDPRICE Retreat Down | indicator | 1.52 |
| ▼ | STOCHF KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.34 |
| ▼ | HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down | indicator | 1.29 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.28 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNVery strong trend
30MDOWNVery strong trend
1HDOWNVery strong trend
2HDOWNSolid trend
4HDOWNSolid trend
8HDOWNTrend forming
12HDOWNTrend forming
1DDOWNChoppy / sideways
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Strong bearish confluence across multiple indicators and timeframes.
- Trend is consistently bearish from 15m up to 2h, with higher timeframes confirming.
- Watch resistance at 113.96900; a break above would invalidate the bearish setup.
- No nearest support defined, so manage risk with a clear invalidation level.
The AUD/JPY 30-minute chart has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a Trendline Break Down and reinforced by multiple moving-average retreats (DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MAMA Price) plus momentum indicators (BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCH OS Exit, STOCHF KD Cross Down). This confluence points to a strong and broad-based selling pressure, with the trend consistently bearish across all shorter timeframes from 15-minute up to 2-hour, all scoring 4/5 or 3/5. The higher timeframes (4h to 12h) also show solid or forming bearish trends, confirming the direction, while the daily chart remains choppy, suggesting the move is more of a swing than a long-term shift.
Given the very strong trend score (93% probability) and the alignment across timeframes, the path of least resistance is lower. The nearest resistance at 113.96900 is the key level to watch; a break back above it would signal a potential reversal or at least a pause in the bearish momentum. Since no nearest support is provided, traders should focus on the recent lows or psychological levels as potential targets. The signal is robust, but the lack of a defined support level adds uncertainty regarding the depth of the move.
Given the very strong trend score (93% probability) and the alignment across timeframes, the path of least resistance is lower. The nearest resistance at 113.96900 is the key level to watch; a break back above it would signal a potential reversal or at least a pause in the bearish momentum. Since no nearest support is provided, traders should focus on the recent lows or psychological levels as potential targets. The signal is robust, but the lack of a defined support level adds uncertainty regarding the depth of the move.
Catalysts
- ▼ Trendline Break Down combined with multiple moving-average retreats signals strong downward momentum.
- ▼ Momentum indicators (BOP, STOCH, STOCHF) all aligned bearish, reinforcing the sell signal.
- ▼ Trend scores across 15m, 30m, 1h, and 2h are all very strong (4/5) or solid (3/5), showing broad alignment.
- ▼ Higher timeframes (4h, 8h, 12h) also bearish, supporting the continuation of the move.
Risk Factors
- ▲ Daily chart is choppy/sideways (1/5), which could limit the depth of the move.
- ▲ No nearest support level defined, making it hard to gauge potential downside targets.
- ▲ If price breaks back above resistance at 113.96900, the bearish signal would be invalidated.
- ▲ Overbought/oversold conditions may lead to a pullback or consolidation before further downside.
Symbol
AUD/JPY
Timeframe
30M
Direction
SELL
Probability
100%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-09-03 07:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 113.96900 | 2026-09-02 |
| R2 | 114.15600 | 2026-09-02 |
| R3 | 114.66700 | 2026-09-02 |
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