USD/JPY – 12H – SELL

SELL 2× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-09-03 12:00 UTC 18 days ago

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (4 Sep 2026, 00:00 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	MIDPRICE Break Down	indicator	2.83
▼	MIDPOINT Break Down	indicator	2.80
▼	MAMA PRICE Break Down	indicator	2.65
▼	DEMA Break Down	indicator	2.59
▼	ALMA Break Down	indicator	2.40
▼	HMA Break Down	indicator	2.00
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.94
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	1.94
▼	Trendline Retreat Downstate only	trendline	1.87
▼	Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (24%)state only	fibonacci	1.68
▲	ER Level Cross Up	indicator	1.63
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	1.61
▼	AO Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.55
▼	MAMA Cross Down	indicator	1.45
▼	COPPOCK Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.43
▼	FISHER Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.37
▼	SMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.36
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.35
▼	SQUEEZE Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.28
▼	HT SINE Cross Down	indicator	1.20
▲	KDJ OS Entry	indicator	1.11
▲	CTI OS Entry	indicator	1.01

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNExtremely strong trend

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A massive bearish signal cluster on the 12H chart points to strong selling pressure.
All timeframes are aligned bearish, with the 1H showing an extremely strong trend.
Watch the nearest support at 155.22400 for a potential break; resistance at 159.77400 is the invalidation area.
The high probability (94%) and very strong strength suggest the bearish move is likely to continue.

The USD/JPY 12H signal has fired a dense cluster of bearish indicators, including Trendline Retreat Down, DEMA Break Down, EMA Retreat Down, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down, KAMA Retreat Down, MA Retreat Down, MAMA Cross Down, and MAMA PRICE Break Down, alongside 14 additional signals from indicator, fibonacci, and trendline groups. This confluence suggests a strong bearish momentum shift on the 12H chart, with price retreating from a trendline and breaking below multiple moving averages, confirming that sellers are in control. The alignment across timeframes reinforces the bearish view: all timeframes from 15m to 1d are bearish, with the 1H showing an extremely strong trend (5/5) and the 2H very strong (4/5), while the 12H itself is still in a trend-forming phase, implying that the move may have room to develop.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 159.77400 and nearest support at 155.22400. A sustained break below the support would confirm the continuation of the downtrend, while a reclaim of the resistance would invalidate the bearish setup. Given the very strong probability (94%) and strength, the path of least resistance is lower, but traders should monitor for any signs of exhaustion or reversal at these levels.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of multiple bearish signals across indicator, fibonacci, and trendline groups.
▼ Strong trend alignment across all timeframes, with the 1H at 5/5 strength.
▼ Break below key moving averages (DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MA) and MAMA cross down.

Risk Factors

▲ The 12H trend is still forming (2/5), so the bearish move may lack full confirmation on the signal timeframe.
▲ A reclaim of the resistance at 159.77400 would invalidate the bearish setup.
▲ Momentum could fade if price stalls near support, leading to a consolidation or reversal.

Symbol USD/JPY

Timeframe 12H

Direction SELL

Conviction 93%

Strength VERY STRONG

Date 2026-09-03 12:00

cat_ Forex Forex