AUD/JPY – 1D – BUY

2026-09-04 00:05 UTC · 22 hours ago

BUY

70%

▲ BUY

MODERATE

Position

▲ Bullish 70% (10.28) ▼ Bearish 30% (4.46)

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	2.28
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	2.02
▲	WILLR OS Exit	indicator	1.98
▼	TSI Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.73
▲	HT TRENDMODE Mode to Trend	indicator	1.53
▼	VORTEX Cross Down	indicator	1.47
▲	DPO Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.45
▲	Fibonacci Retreat UpTrend (50%)	fibonacci	1.40
▼	ERI BULL Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.27

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bullish signals on the daily chart suggest a potential bounce, but the bearish trend on higher timeframes (2H, 4H, 8H) limits upside confidence.
Key resistance at 114.65800 is the first target; a break above could signal a stronger reversal, while support at 109.23100 is the invalidation zone.
The mix of momentum oscillators (STOCHF, WILLR) and trend indicators (HT TRENDMODE, DPO) points to a possible shift from oversold conditions, but strength is only moderate.
Given the conflicting timeframes, treat this as a counter-trend opportunity until price action confirms a breakout above resistance.

The AUD/JPY daily chart has fired a cluster of bullish signals despite the broader bearish trend across most timeframes. The BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCHF KD Cross Up, and WILLR OS Exit all point to a potential short-term bounce from oversold conditions, while the HT TRENDMODE shift to Trend and DPO Zero Cross Up suggest a possible trend reversal. However, the signal strength is moderate at 69%, and the bearish alignment on the 2H, 4H, and 8H timeframes (with very strong trend scores) indicates that any upside may be corrective rather than a full reversal. The key resistance level at 114.65800 is the immediate hurdle; a break above this could confirm the bullish momentum, while the nearest support at 109.23100 is the critical level to watch for invalidation. The confluence of Fibonacci levels and these indicator signals adds weight, but traders should be cautious given the conflicting higher timeframe trends.

Catalysts

▲ Oversold conditions on the daily chart, as indicated by WILLR OS Exit and STOCHF KD Cross Up, support a bullish bounce.
▲ The HT TRENDMODE shift to Trend and DPO Zero Cross Up suggest early signs of trend reversal on the daily timeframe.
▲ Fibonacci confluence with the signal groups adds technical weight to the bullish case.
▲ The BOP Zero Cross Up indicates improving buying pressure, which could fuel upward momentum.

Risk Factors

▼ The bearish trend on 2H, 4H, and 8H timeframes (with very strong trend scores) could overpower the daily bullish signals, leading to a failed bounce.
▼ A break below the nearest support at 109.23100 would invalidate the bullish setup and likely resume the broader downtrend.
▼ The ERI BULL Zero Cross Down and TSI Signal Cross Down are bearish signals that could indicate fading momentum despite the daily oversold bounce.
▼ The moderate strength (69%) and choppy daily trend (1/5) suggest limited conviction; a lack of follow-through above resistance could lead to sideways consolidation.