EUR/JPY – 12H – SELL
SELL
82%
▲ Bullish 18% (3.05)
▼ Bearish 82% (14.17)
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Signal evolution
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | Trendline Break Down | trendline | 2.06 |
| ▼ | ALMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.91 |
| ▼ | MAMA PRICE Retreat Down | indicator | 1.86 |
| ▲ | STOCH KD Cross Up | indicator | 1.74 |
| ▼ | T3 Retreat Down | indicator | 1.47 |
| ▼ | Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%) | fibonacci | 1.08 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.07 |
| ▼ | Bearish Harami | candlestick | 0.86 |
| ▼ | Hanging Man | candlestick | 0.78 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNChoppy / sideways
30MDOWNTrend forming
1HDOWNSolid trend
2HDOWNVery strong trend
4HDOWNVery strong trend
8HDOWNSolid trend
12HDOWNSolid trend
1DDOWNTrend forming
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- A suite of bearish signals—trendline break, Fibonacci break, and multiple indicator retreats—all point to continued downside in EUR/JPY.
- The bearish trend is confirmed across multiple timeframes, with the strongest momentum on the 2H and 4H charts.
- Watch the 185.981 resistance as the key invalidation level; a break above it would signal a potential reversal.
- The 179.364 support is the immediate downside target; a break below could open the door to further losses.
The EUR/JPY 12H chart is flashing a dense cluster of bearish signals, all converging on the same direction. A Trendline Break Down has been confirmed, signaling that the prevailing uptrend structure has been violated. This is reinforced by a Fibonacci Break Down through the 24% retracement level, which suggests that the pullback has extended beyond a normal correction and is now a potential trend reversal. The momentum indicators corroborate this: the BOP Zero Cross Down shows selling pressure is dominating, while the MAMA, T3, and ALMA Retreat Downs all indicate price is pulling back from recent highs, with moving averages turning lower. The Bearish Harami candlestick pattern adds a final layer of confirmation, showing indecision and a potential shift in control from buyers to sellers.
Across timeframes, the bearish alignment is compelling. The 2H and 4H charts show 'very strong' bearish trends (4/5), and the 1H, 8H, and 12H charts all show 'solid' bearish trends (3/5). This multi-timeframe confluence suggests the selling pressure is not isolated but part of a broader downtrend. The 15M and 30M are also bearish, though choppier, indicating short-term consolidation within the larger move. The nearest resistance at 185.981 is the immediate hurdle for any bounce; a break above it would weaken the bearish case. The nearest support at 179.364 is the primary downside target, and a break below it would likely accelerate the decline. The overall picture is one of strong bearish momentum with clear levels to watch.
Across timeframes, the bearish alignment is compelling. The 2H and 4H charts show 'very strong' bearish trends (4/5), and the 1H, 8H, and 12H charts all show 'solid' bearish trends (3/5). This multi-timeframe confluence suggests the selling pressure is not isolated but part of a broader downtrend. The 15M and 30M are also bearish, though choppier, indicating short-term consolidation within the larger move. The nearest resistance at 185.981 is the immediate hurdle for any bounce; a break above it would weaken the bearish case. The nearest support at 179.364 is the primary downside target, and a break below it would likely accelerate the decline. The overall picture is one of strong bearish momentum with clear levels to watch.
Catalysts
- ▼ Multi-timeframe confluence: bearish trends on 1H through 12H charts, with very strong momentum on 2H and 4H.
- ▼ Confluence of pattern breaks: Trendline Break Down and Fibonacci Break Down (24%) reinforce each other.
- ▼ Bearish Harami candlestick pattern adds a classic reversal signal to the technical mix.
- ▼ Momentum indicators (BOP, MAMA, T3, ALMA) all align to show sustained selling pressure.
Risk Factors
- ▲ The 15M and 30M charts are choppy/sideways, which could lead to short-term consolidation or a pullback before the next leg down.
- ▲ The 1D chart is only 'trend forming' (2/5), meaning the daily trend is not yet fully bearish and could still reverse.
- ▲ A break above the 185.981 resistance level would invalidate the bearish setup and could trigger a short squeeze.
- ▲ The signal strength is very high (86%), but overbought conditions in the short term could lead to a temporary bounce.
Symbol
EUR/JPY
Timeframe
12H
Direction
SELL
Probability
82%
Strength
STRONG
Date
2026-09-04 12:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 185.98100 | 2026-08-28 |
| R2 | 186.01500 | 2026-08-21 |
| R3 | 187.46700 | 2026-07-29 |
| S1 | 179.36400 | 2026-08-03 |
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