EUR/JPY 12H SELL

· 22 hours ago
SELL
82%
▼ SELL
STRONG
Position
Prognose: 64% historisch
▲ Bullish 18% (3.05) ▼ Bearish 82% (14.17)
EUR/JPY  ·  12H
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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

Signals Fired Category Weight
Trendline Break Down trendline 2.06
ALMA Retreat Down indicator 1.91
MAMA PRICE Retreat Down indicator 1.86
STOCH KD Cross Up indicator 1.74
T3 Retreat Down indicator 1.47
Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%) fibonacci 1.08
BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.07
Bearish Harami candlestick 0.86
Hanging Man candlestick 0.78

Trend Context

15M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
30M
DOWNTrend forming
1H
DOWNSolid trend
2H
DOWNVery strong trend
4H
DOWNVery strong trend
8H
DOWNSolid trend
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A suite of bearish signals—trendline break, Fibonacci break, and multiple indicator retreats—all point to continued downside in EUR/JPY.
  • The bearish trend is confirmed across multiple timeframes, with the strongest momentum on the 2H and 4H charts.
  • Watch the 185.981 resistance as the key invalidation level; a break above it would signal a potential reversal.
  • The 179.364 support is the immediate downside target; a break below could open the door to further losses.
The EUR/JPY 12H chart is flashing a dense cluster of bearish signals, all converging on the same direction. A Trendline Break Down has been confirmed, signaling that the prevailing uptrend structure has been violated. This is reinforced by a Fibonacci Break Down through the 24% retracement level, which suggests that the pullback has extended beyond a normal correction and is now a potential trend reversal. The momentum indicators corroborate this: the BOP Zero Cross Down shows selling pressure is dominating, while the MAMA, T3, and ALMA Retreat Downs all indicate price is pulling back from recent highs, with moving averages turning lower. The Bearish Harami candlestick pattern adds a final layer of confirmation, showing indecision and a potential shift in control from buyers to sellers.

Across timeframes, the bearish alignment is compelling. The 2H and 4H charts show 'very strong' bearish trends (4/5), and the 1H, 8H, and 12H charts all show 'solid' bearish trends (3/5). This multi-timeframe confluence suggests the selling pressure is not isolated but part of a broader downtrend. The 15M and 30M are also bearish, though choppier, indicating short-term consolidation within the larger move. The nearest resistance at 185.981 is the immediate hurdle for any bounce; a break above it would weaken the bearish case. The nearest support at 179.364 is the primary downside target, and a break below it would likely accelerate the decline. The overall picture is one of strong bearish momentum with clear levels to watch.
Catalysts
  • Multi-timeframe confluence: bearish trends on 1H through 12H charts, with very strong momentum on 2H and 4H.
  • Confluence of pattern breaks: Trendline Break Down and Fibonacci Break Down (24%) reinforce each other.
  • Bearish Harami candlestick pattern adds a classic reversal signal to the technical mix.
  • Momentum indicators (BOP, MAMA, T3, ALMA) all align to show sustained selling pressure.
Risk Factors
  • The 15M and 30M charts are choppy/sideways, which could lead to short-term consolidation or a pullback before the next leg down.
  • The 1D chart is only 'trend forming' (2/5), meaning the daily trend is not yet fully bearish and could still reverse.
  • A break above the 185.981 resistance level would invalidate the bearish setup and could trigger a short squeeze.
  • The signal strength is very high (86%), but overbought conditions in the short term could lead to a temporary bounce.
Symbol EUR/JPY
Timeframe 12H
Direction SELL
Probability 82%
Strength STRONG
Date 2026-09-04 12:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 185.98100 2026-08-28
R2 186.01500 2026-08-21
R3 187.46700 2026-07-29
S1 179.36400 2026-08-03

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