EUR/JPY – 1H – SELL
SELL
87%
▲ Bullish 13% (3.58)
▼ Bearish 87% (24.85)
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Signal evolution
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | Trendline Break Down | trendline | 2.21 |
| ▲ | SMI Signal Cross Up | indicator | 2.18 |
| ▼ | SMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.00 |
| ▼ | EMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.99 |
| ▼ | Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%) | fibonacci | 1.85 |
| ▼ | STOCHF KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.55 |
| ▼ | VORTEX Cross Down | indicator | 1.55 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.43 |
| ▲ | KDJ Cross Up | indicator | 1.40 |
| ▼ | COPPOCK Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.20 |
| ▼ | BIAS Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.03 |
| ▼ | Bearish Engulfing | candlestick | 0.74 |
| ▼ | Last Engulfing Bottom | candlestick | 0.68 |
| ▼ | Last Engulfing Top | candlestick | 0.68 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNTrend forming
30MDOWNTrend forming
1HDOWNSolid trend
2HDOWNVery strong trend
4HDOWNVery strong trend
8HDOWNSolid trend
12HDOWNTrend forming
1DDOWNTrend forming
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- A dense cluster of bearish signals fired on the 1H, including trendline break, moving average retreats, and multiple zero-cross downs.
- Bearish trend is confirmed across all timeframes, with very strong trend scores on 2H and 4H.
- Key levels: nearest resistance at 185.746 and nearest support at 180.517; a break above resistance would invalidate the bearish signal.
- A KDJ Cross Up and lower timeframe trend formation (15m, 30m) suggest potential for short-term pullbacks.
The EUR/JPY 1H chart has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a Trendline Break Down, multiple zero-cross downs (BOP, BIAS, COPPOCK), EMA and SMA Retreat Downs, and a STOCHF KD Cross Down, all aligning with a very strong 87% probability SELL. The bearish trend is confirmed across all timeframes, with the 2H and 4H charts showing very strong trend scores (4/5), and the 1H at solid (3/5). The consistent bearish alignment from 15m up to 1D suggests a well-established downtrend, with the nearest resistance at 185.746 and nearest support at 180.517 providing the immediate range to watch.
The confluence of trendline, indicator, and moving average signals points to a strong bearish momentum, but the presence of a KDJ Cross Up (a bullish signal) and the lower timeframe (15m, 30m) still in 'trend forming' stage (2/5) suggest some caution. The nearest resistance at 185.746 is a key level to monitor; a break above it would invalidate the bearish setup. Conversely, a move towards the nearest support at 180.517 could confirm the downside continuation. Traders should watch for price action around these levels and any shift in higher timeframe momentum.
The confluence of trendline, indicator, and moving average signals points to a strong bearish momentum, but the presence of a KDJ Cross Up (a bullish signal) and the lower timeframe (15m, 30m) still in 'trend forming' stage (2/5) suggest some caution. The nearest resistance at 185.746 is a key level to monitor; a break above it would invalidate the bearish setup. Conversely, a move towards the nearest support at 180.517 could confirm the downside continuation. Traders should watch for price action around these levels and any shift in higher timeframe momentum.
Catalysts
- ▼ Strong alignment of bearish trend across all timeframes, with very strong trend scores on 2H and 4H.
- ▼ Confluence of multiple signal types (indicator, trendline, moving averages) all pointing in the same direction.
- ▼ Trendline Break Down and EMA/SMA Retreat Downs confirm downside momentum.
- ▼ High probability (87%) and very strong signal strength.
Risk Factors
- ▲ A KDJ Cross Up indicates a potential short-term bullish reversal, which could lead to a pullback.
- ▲ Lower timeframes (15m, 30m) are still in 'trend forming' stage, suggesting the bearish trend may not be fully matured.
- ▲ A break above the nearest resistance at 185.746 would invalidate the bearish setup.
- ▲ Watch for fading momentum on the 1H if price approaches support, as a bounce could occur.
Symbol
EUR/JPY
Timeframe
1H
Direction
SELL
Probability
87%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-09-04 19:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 185.74600 | 2026-09-02 |
| R2 | 185.98100 | 2026-08-28 |
| S1 | 180.51700 | 2026-09-03 |