EUR/JPY – 30M – SELL
SELL
65%
▲ Bullish 35% (7.98)
▼ Bearish 65% (14.58)
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Signal evolution
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | Trendline Break Up | trendline | 2.46 |
| ▲ | Falling Wedge | chart_pattern | 2.36 |
| ▼ | KAMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.95 |
| ▼ | EMA 50 Retreat Down | indicator | 1.86 |
| ▼ | ICHIMOKU TK Cross Down | indicator | 1.85 |
| ▼ | SMA 50 Retreat Down | indicator | 1.84 |
| ▼ | Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%) | fibonacci | 1.64 |
| ▼ | CCI Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.63 |
| ▲ | HT SINE Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.60 |
| ▼ | Resistance Level Retreat Down | sr | 1.59 |
| ▼ | BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down | indicator | 1.50 |
| ▼ | HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down | indicator | 1.47 |
| ▼ | MOM Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.41 |
| ▼ | ROC Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.41 |
| ▼ | ROCR Cross Down | indicator | 1.41 |
| ▼ | STOCHF KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.37 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.25 |
| ▼ | CMO Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.17 |
| ▼ | RSI Midline Cross Down | indicator | 1.17 |
| ▼ | KELTNER MID Cross Down | indicator | 0.95 |
| ▼ | DPO Zero Cross Down | indicator | 0.93 |
| ▼ | Long Line Bearish | candlestick | 0.89 |
| ▼ | Last Engulfing Bottom | candlestick | 0.85 |
| ▼ | Last Engulfing Top | candlestick | 0.84 |
| ▼ | Bearish Engulfing | candlestick | 0.80 |
| ▼ | BIAS Zero Cross Down | indicator | 0.76 |
| ▼ | QSTICK Zero Cross Down | indicator | 0.75 |
| ▼ | TTM TREND Trend Down | indicator | 0.65 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNChoppy / sideways
30MDOWNTrend forming
1HDOWNSolid trend
2HDOWNVery strong trend
4HDOWNVery strong trend
8HDOWNSolid trend
12HDOWNSolid trend
1DDOWNTrend forming
Analysis
The EUR/JPY 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals: a Trendline Break Up, a Falling Wedge, and a cross-down of the BOP, CCI, CMO, MOM, ROC, and ROCR indicators. Together with over 20 additional bearish signals across chart patterns, Fibonacci, trendline, support/resistance, and candlestick groups, this forms a high-probability (87%), very-strong confluence that the pair is about to continue its downward path. The breakout from a falling wedge, a classic bearish continuation pattern, alongside negative momentum zero-line crosses, points to renewed selling pressure in the short term.
The broader trend alignment reinforces the bearish case. The same analysis timeframe (30m) shows a clear bearish trend, and higher timeframes—from 1h to 12h—also exhibit solid to very strong bearish trends, with the 1d timeframe just beginning its bearish descent. This multi-timeframe harmony indicates that the selloff is being driven by larger forces. The nearest resistance sits at 181.49000, and the nearest support is at 180.22700. With the price currently below the broken wedge and a cluster of momentum indicators turning down, a retest of that support level seems likely, while a sustained move above the resistance would invalidate the bearish scenario.
The broader trend alignment reinforces the bearish case. The same analysis timeframe (30m) shows a clear bearish trend, and higher timeframes—from 1h to 12h—also exhibit solid to very strong bearish trends, with the 1d timeframe just beginning its bearish descent. This multi-timeframe harmony indicates that the selloff is being driven by larger forces. The nearest resistance sits at 181.49000, and the nearest support is at 180.22700. With the price currently below the broken wedge and a cluster of momentum indicators turning down, a retest of that support level seems likely, while a sustained move above the resistance would invalidate the bearish scenario.
Catalysts
- ▼ Trendline Break Up on the 30m chart signals the start of a downtrend (or reversal of a short-term uptrend) and opens a path for sellers.
- ▼ Falling Wedge at the 30m is a classic bearish continuation pattern, pushing price to new lows.
- ▼ Momentum indicators (MOM, ROC, ROCR, CMO, BOI) all cross below their zero lines, confirming that bearish momentum has taken control.
- ▼ Trend strength is robust across medium to higher timeframes (2h, 4h at 4/5, 1h and 8h at 3/5), providing a solid backdrop for the sell.
Risk Factors
- ▲ The 15m chart is only bearish with a choppy/sideways condition (1/5), which could indicate that the immediate, near-term downside is not as strong as the longer play and might lead to dispensable whipsaws.
- ▲ The nearest resistance is only 181.4900; a break above this level would negate the bearish setup and might trigger short covering that pushes the counter back to highs.
- ▲ With a 12% probability of the trend failing, the momentum could stall and revisit the breakout as a support, or even form a Bullish reversal candlestick pattern before the expected continuation.
- ▲ Overbought momentum crosses can lead to chop at key levels; a rise in other timeframes, such as a 1D trend only forming, could cap the downside if that trend turns up gradually.
Symbol
EUR/JPY
Timeframe
30M
Direction
SELL
Probability
65%
Strength
WEAK
Date
2026-09-07 06:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 181.49000 | 2026-09-04 |
| R2 | 181.95300 | 2026-09-04 |
| R3 | 185.74600 | 2026-09-02 |
| S1 | 180.22700 | 2026-09-04 |
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