EUR/JPY 4H SELL

· 23 hours ago
SELL
68%
▼ SELL
MODERATE
Swing
Prognose: 30% historisch
▲ Bullish 32% (3.14) ▼ Bearish 68% (6.57)
EUR/JPY  ·  4H
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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

Signals Fired Category Weight
Bear Pennant chart_pattern 3.12
SMI Signal Cross Down indicator 2.04
Trendline Break Down trendline 2.01
Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%) fibonacci 2.00
HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down indicator 1.64
BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.44
CTI OS Entry indicator 1.00
Spinning Top Bullish candlestick 0.98
Support Level Retreat Up sr 0.94

Trend Context

15M
DOWNSolid trend
30M
DOWNVery strong trend
1H
DOWNVery strong trend
2H
DOWNExtremely strong trend
4H
DOWNVery strong trend
8H
DOWNSolid trend
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Bearish continuation signals are stacking up on the 4H chart, led by a Trendline Break and a Bear Pennant.
  • The downtrend is strong across multiple timeframes, with the 2H chart showing an extremely strong trend.
  • Watch the 185.74600 resistance as the invalidation level; a break above it would negate the setup.
  • The 179.36400 support is the key downside target; a break below it could open the door to further losses.
The EUR/JPY 4H chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a Trendline Break Down and a Bear Pennant, both classic continuation patterns that suggest the prevailing downtrend is set to resume. The confluence is reinforced by the BOP Zero Cross Up (a short-term momentum pop that often precedes a continuation lower), the HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down, and the CTI OS Entry, which together point to renewed selling pressure. The Fibonacci Break Down of the 24% retracement level further confirms that the recent bounce has stalled and that sellers are regaining control.

Across timeframes, the bearish alignment is broad and consistent: the 30m, 1h, 2h, and 4h charts all show very strong or extremely strong downtrends, while the 8h and 12h remain solidly bearish. Only the daily chart is still forming its trend (2/5), which is typical for a developing move. The nearest resistance at 185.74600 is the key level to watch—a reclaim of that zone would invalidate the bearish setup. Conversely, the nearest support at 179.36400 is the primary downside target, and a break below that level would likely accelerate the decline.
Catalysts
  • High confluence of bearish signals: Trendline Break, Bear Pennant, and multiple indicator crossovers.
  • Strong trend scores across 30m to 4H timeframes, with the 2H chart at 5/5.
  • Fibonacci breakdown of the 24% retracement confirms the pullback is done.
  • Spinning Top Bullish candlestick at the top of the move suggests a potential reversal, but it is being overridden by the overall bearish structure.
Risk Factors
  • A break above the 185.74600 resistance would invalidate the bearish setup and could trigger a short squeeze.
  • The daily chart is only showing a trend forming (2/5), so the higher timeframe is not yet fully aligned.
  • The BOP Zero Cross Up and the Spinning Top Bullish candle hint at short-term buying pressure that could stall the decline.
  • If the price fails to break below the 179.36400 support, the bearish signal may fade into a range.
Symbol EUR/JPY
Timeframe 4H
Direction SELL
Probability 68%
Strength MODERATE
Date 2026-09-07 12:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 185.74600 2026-09-02
R2 185.98100 2026-08-28
R3 186.01500 2026-08-21
S1 179.36400 2026-08-03

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