AUD/JPY 30M SELL

· 51 minutes ago
SELL
73%
▼ SELL
MODERATE
Scalping
Prognose: 35% historisch
⚡ Confluence +4%
▲ Bullish 27% (14.39) ▼ Bearish 73% (38.00)
AUD/JPY  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

Signals Fired Category Weight
Bear Flag chart_pattern 3.27
KELTNER LOWER Lower Breakout indicator 2.82
Trendline Break Up trendline 2.52
Trendline Break Down trendline 2.50
ACCBANDS LOWER Lower Breakout indicator 2.43
ALMA Retreat Down indicator 2.38
Falling Wedge chart_pattern 2.36
EMA Retreat Down indicator 2.31
HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down indicator 2.22
KAMA Retreat Down indicator 2.21
MA Retreat Down indicator 2.10
WILLR OS Exit indicator 2.03
ULTOSC OS Exit indicator 2.00
MIDPOINT Break Down indicator 1.98
MAMA PRICE Retreat Down indicator 1.95
SMA Retreat Down indicator 1.88
KDJ OS Exit indicator 1.88
STOCHF KD Cross Up indicator 1.75
ER Level Cross Up indicator 1.62
CHOP Trending indicator 1.41
HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up indicator 1.32
RSI OS Entry indicator 1.09
ZSCORE Extreme Low indicator 1.05

Trend Context

15M
DOWNSolid trend
30M
DOWNSolid trend
1H
DOWNVery strong trend
2H
DOWNVery strong trend
4H
DOWNVery strong trend
8H
DOWNSolid trend
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Multiple bearish patterns (Falling Wedge, Bear Flag) and a Trendline Break Down align on the 30m chart.
  • Trend is bearish across all timeframes, with very strong scores on 1h, 2h, and 4h.
  • Nearest resistance at 112.61100 is the key level to watch for a potential bounce or breakdown.
  • Oversold RSI and a short-term stochastic cross suggest a possible brief bounce before further downside.
The AUD/JPY 30-minute chart is flashing a dense cluster of bearish signals, all pointing in the same direction. A Trendline Break Down confirms the prevailing downtrend, while the Falling Wedge and Bear Flag patterns suggest continuation rather than reversal. The RSI is in oversold territory on entry, but the STOCHF KD Cross Up hints at a short-term bounce that could offer a better entry for sellers. The broader picture is firmly bearish, with solid to very strong trend scores across the 15m through 8h timeframes, and the daily chart is just beginning to form a downtrend. This alignment across multiple horizons gives the sell signal strong conviction.

The nearest resistance sits at 112.61100, a level that could act as a ceiling for any corrective bounce. With no immediate support defined, the path of least resistance is lower. The confluence of chart patterns, trendline breaks, and momentum oscillators all exiting oversold/overbought extremes in bearish fashion reinforces the idea that sellers are in control. However, the oversold RSI and the short-term STOCHF cross warn of a possible pullback, so patience may be key. A break back above the trendline or a sustained move above 112.61100 would challenge the bearish thesis.
Catalysts
  • Strong trend alignment across 15m to 8h timeframes, all showing bearish momentum.
  • Confluence of chart patterns (Falling Wedge, Bear Flag) and trendline breaks pointing to continuation.
  • Momentum oscillators (ULTOSC, WILLR) exiting oversold levels in a bearish context, supporting downside.
  • Daily timeframe trend starting to form bearish, suggesting longer-term pressure.
Risk Factors
  • RSI oversold entry could trigger a short-term bounce, stalling immediate downside.
  • STOCHF KD Cross Up indicates a possible counter-trend rally, which may invalidate the entry.
  • No defined support below means a sharp move could be volatile, but also leaves room for a quick reversal.
  • A break above the nearest resistance at 112.61100 would signal a failed pattern and a potential trend shift.
Symbol AUD/JPY
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Probability 73%
Strength MODERATE
Date 2026-09-08 02:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 112.61100 2026-09-04
R2 112.78300 2026-09-04
R3 113.96900 2026-09-02

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