AUD/JPY – 30M – SELL
SELL
73%
▲ Bullish 27% (14.39)
▼ Bearish 73% (38.00)
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Signal evolution
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | Bear Flag | chart_pattern | 3.27 |
| ▼ | KELTNER LOWER Lower Breakout | indicator | 2.82 |
| ▲ | Trendline Break Up | trendline | 2.52 |
| ▼ | Trendline Break Down | trendline | 2.50 |
| ▼ | ACCBANDS LOWER Lower Breakout | indicator | 2.43 |
| ▼ | ALMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.38 |
| ▲ | Falling Wedge | chart_pattern | 2.36 |
| ▼ | EMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.31 |
| ▼ | HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down | indicator | 2.22 |
| ▼ | KAMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.21 |
| ▼ | MA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.10 |
| ▲ | WILLR OS Exit | indicator | 2.03 |
| ▲ | ULTOSC OS Exit | indicator | 2.00 |
| ▼ | MIDPOINT Break Down | indicator | 1.98 |
| ▼ | MAMA PRICE Retreat Down | indicator | 1.95 |
| ▼ | SMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.88 |
| ▲ | KDJ OS Exit | indicator | 1.88 |
| ▲ | STOCHF KD Cross Up | indicator | 1.75 |
| ▲ | ER Level Cross Up | indicator | 1.62 |
| ▲ | CHOP Trending | indicator | 1.41 |
| ▲ | HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up | indicator | 1.32 |
| ▲ | RSI OS Entry | indicator | 1.09 |
| ▲ | ZSCORE Extreme Low | indicator | 1.05 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNSolid trend
30MDOWNSolid trend
1HDOWNVery strong trend
2HDOWNVery strong trend
4HDOWNVery strong trend
8HDOWNSolid trend
12HDOWNSolid trend
1DDOWNTrend forming
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Multiple bearish patterns (Falling Wedge, Bear Flag) and a Trendline Break Down align on the 30m chart.
- Trend is bearish across all timeframes, with very strong scores on 1h, 2h, and 4h.
- Nearest resistance at 112.61100 is the key level to watch for a potential bounce or breakdown.
- Oversold RSI and a short-term stochastic cross suggest a possible brief bounce before further downside.
The AUD/JPY 30-minute chart is flashing a dense cluster of bearish signals, all pointing in the same direction. A Trendline Break Down confirms the prevailing downtrend, while the Falling Wedge and Bear Flag patterns suggest continuation rather than reversal. The RSI is in oversold territory on entry, but the STOCHF KD Cross Up hints at a short-term bounce that could offer a better entry for sellers. The broader picture is firmly bearish, with solid to very strong trend scores across the 15m through 8h timeframes, and the daily chart is just beginning to form a downtrend. This alignment across multiple horizons gives the sell signal strong conviction.
The nearest resistance sits at 112.61100, a level that could act as a ceiling for any corrective bounce. With no immediate support defined, the path of least resistance is lower. The confluence of chart patterns, trendline breaks, and momentum oscillators all exiting oversold/overbought extremes in bearish fashion reinforces the idea that sellers are in control. However, the oversold RSI and the short-term STOCHF cross warn of a possible pullback, so patience may be key. A break back above the trendline or a sustained move above 112.61100 would challenge the bearish thesis.
The nearest resistance sits at 112.61100, a level that could act as a ceiling for any corrective bounce. With no immediate support defined, the path of least resistance is lower. The confluence of chart patterns, trendline breaks, and momentum oscillators all exiting oversold/overbought extremes in bearish fashion reinforces the idea that sellers are in control. However, the oversold RSI and the short-term STOCHF cross warn of a possible pullback, so patience may be key. A break back above the trendline or a sustained move above 112.61100 would challenge the bearish thesis.
Catalysts
- ▼ Strong trend alignment across 15m to 8h timeframes, all showing bearish momentum.
- ▼ Confluence of chart patterns (Falling Wedge, Bear Flag) and trendline breaks pointing to continuation.
- ▼ Momentum oscillators (ULTOSC, WILLR) exiting oversold levels in a bearish context, supporting downside.
- ▼ Daily timeframe trend starting to form bearish, suggesting longer-term pressure.
Risk Factors
- ▲ RSI oversold entry could trigger a short-term bounce, stalling immediate downside.
- ▲ STOCHF KD Cross Up indicates a possible counter-trend rally, which may invalidate the entry.
- ▲ No defined support below means a sharp move could be volatile, but also leaves room for a quick reversal.
- ▲ A break above the nearest resistance at 112.61100 would signal a failed pattern and a potential trend shift.
Symbol
AUD/JPY
Timeframe
30M
Direction
SELL
Probability
73%
Strength
MODERATE
Date
2026-09-08 02:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 112.61100 | 2026-09-04 |
| R2 | 112.78300 | 2026-09-04 |
| R3 | 113.96900 | 2026-09-02 |