GBP/JPY – 1D – SELL
SELL
86%
▲ Bullish 14% (2.80)
▼ Bearish 86% (16.74)
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Signal evolution
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | Rectangle | chart_pattern | 3.54 |
| ▼ | T3 Retreat Down | indicator | 2.21 |
| ▼ | MAMA PRICE Break Down | indicator | 2.18 |
| ▼ | ALMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.95 |
| ▼ | Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (24%) | fibonacci | 1.91 |
| ▲ | ADX Trend Strong | indicator | 1.57 |
| ▼ | APO Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.47 |
| ▲ | STOCH KD Cross Up | indicator | 1.23 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNSolid trend
30MDOWNTrend forming
1HDOWNSolid trend
2HDOWNVery strong trend
4HDOWNExtremely strong trend
8HDOWNVery strong trend
12HDOWNSolid trend
1DDOWNTrend forming
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Strong bearish confluence: Rectangle breakdown, ADX strong trend, and multiple moving average retreats all point lower.
- Trend alignment is solid across timeframes, especially on the 4H (extremely strong) and 2H/8H (very strong).
- Watch the 217.46400 resistance level; a daily close above it would invalidate the bearish signal.
- The STOCH KD Cross Up is a short-term counter-signal, but likely just a pullback within the bearish trend.
The GBP/JPY daily chart has triggered a confluence of bearish signals, including a Rectangle pattern breakdown, a strong ADX trend reading, and multiple moving average retreats (T3, ALMA) confirming downside momentum. The MAMA Price Break Down and APO Zero Cross Down further corroborate the bearish bias, while the Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (24%) suggests price is retracing within a larger downtrend, potentially setting up for continued declines. The STOCH KD Cross Up is a counter-signal indicating short-term oversold conditions, but it is likely to be a minor pullback within the broader bearish structure.
Across timeframes, the bearish trend is consistent, with the 4H showing an extremely strong trend (5/5) and the 2H and 8H very strong (4/5), while the 15M, 1H, and 12H are solid (3/5). The daily timeframe itself is only trend forming (2/5), which suggests the larger trend is still developing, but the alignment across multiple timeframes adds weight to the sell signal. The nearest resistance at 217.46400 is a key level to watch; a break above it would invalidate the bearish setup. With no immediate support defined, the downside may be open, but traders should monitor for any signs of reversal or momentum fade.
Across timeframes, the bearish trend is consistent, with the 4H showing an extremely strong trend (5/5) and the 2H and 8H very strong (4/5), while the 15M, 1H, and 12H are solid (3/5). The daily timeframe itself is only trend forming (2/5), which suggests the larger trend is still developing, but the alignment across multiple timeframes adds weight to the sell signal. The nearest resistance at 217.46400 is a key level to watch; a break above it would invalidate the bearish setup. With no immediate support defined, the downside may be open, but traders should monitor for any signs of reversal or momentum fade.
Catalysts
- ▼ Multiple timeframes (15m to 1d) all show bearish trends, with the 4H extremely strong.
- ▼ Confluence of chart pattern (Rectangle), Fibonacci retracement, and indicator signals (ADX, APO, MAMA, T3, ALMA) all bearish.
- ▼ Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend at 24% indicates price is retracing within a larger downtrend, supporting further downside.
- ▼ ADX Trend Strong confirms the strength of the prevailing downtrend.
Risk Factors
- ▲ The daily timeframe trend is only 'forming' (2/5), suggesting the larger trend may not be fully established yet.
- ▲ The STOCH KD Cross Up could signal a short-term bounce, which might temporarily counter the bearish move.
- ▲ A break above the 217.46400 resistance level would invalidate the bearish setup.
- ▲ Momentum could fade if the ADX begins to decline or if price stalls near the resistance level.
Symbol
GBP/JPY
Timeframe
1D
Direction
SELL
Probability
86%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-09-08 00:05
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 217.46400 | 2026-08-25 |
| R2 | 219.60500 | 2026-07-15 |
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