AUD/JPY – 1H – SELL
SELL
95%
▲ Bullish 5% (3.91)
▼ Bearish 95% (69.95)
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Signal evolution
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | Falling Wedge | chart_pattern | 2.89 |
| ▼ | KAMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.43 |
| ▼ | Trendline Break Down | trendline | 2.37 |
| ▼ | ALMA Break Down | indicator | 2.33 |
| ▼ | EMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.30 |
| ▼ | MIDPOINT Retreat Down | indicator | 2.27 |
| ▼ | HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down | indicator | 2.24 |
| ▼ | MA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.24 |
| ▼ | SMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.24 |
| ▼ | Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%) | fibonacci | 2.21 |
| ▼ | MIDPRICE Retreat Down | indicator | 2.15 |
| ▼ | MACD Signal Cross Down | indicator | 1.96 |
| ▼ | SUPERTREND Flip Bearish | indicator | 1.92 |
| ▼ | T3 Break Down | indicator | 1.78 |
| ▼ | AROON Cross Down | indicator | 1.42 |
| ▼ | AROONOSC Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.42 |
| ▲ | WILLR OS Entry | indicator | 1.36 |
| ▼ | RSX Midline Cross Down | indicator | 1.34 |
| ▼ | SQUEEZE Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.32 |
| ▼ | HT SINE Cross Down | indicator | 1.24 |
| ▼ | Long Line Bearish | candlestick | 1.16 |
| ▲ | KDJ OS Entry | indicator | 1.08 |
| ▼ | ERI BULL Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.07 |
| ▲ | CTI OS Entry | indicator | 1.02 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNSolid trend
30MDOWNSolid trend
1HDOWNSolid trend
2HDOWNVery strong trend
4HDOWNExtremely strong trend
8HDOWNSolid trend
12HDOWNSolid trend
1DDOWNTrend forming
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- AUD/JPY is in a strong bearish trend across all timeframes, with the 4H showing an extremely strong trend score of 5/5.
- Multiple bearish signals fired simultaneously, including a Trendline Break Down, Falling Wedge breakdown, and MACD cross down, confirming the sell signal.
- The nearest resistance at 112.783 is the key level to watch; a break above it would invalidate the bearish setup.
- The nearest support at 110.269 is the primary downside target, and a break below it could accelerate the decline.
The AUD/JPY 1H chart has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a Trendline Break Down and a Falling Wedge breakdown, both classic continuation patterns that confirm the prevailing downtrend. The AROON Cross Down and AROONOSC Zero Cross Down indicate that bearish momentum is accelerating, while the MACD Signal Cross Down and WILLR OS Entry add further confirmation of selling pressure. The EMA Retreat Down and HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down show that price is pulling back to key moving averages and higher-timeframe trendlines, which are now acting as resistance and offering fresh short entries.
Across timeframes, the bearish alignment is robust: from 15m to 12h all timeframes are bearish, with the 2h and 4h showing very strong to extremely strong trend scores (4/5 and 5/5). The daily is just beginning to turn bearish (2/5), suggesting that this move may be the start of a larger decline. The nearest resistance at 112.783 is a critical level to watch; as long as price remains below it, the bearish bias is intact. The nearest support at 110.269 is the primary downside target, and a break below that would open the door for further losses.
Across timeframes, the bearish alignment is robust: from 15m to 12h all timeframes are bearish, with the 2h and 4h showing very strong to extremely strong trend scores (4/5 and 5/5). The daily is just beginning to turn bearish (2/5), suggesting that this move may be the start of a larger decline. The nearest resistance at 112.783 is a critical level to watch; as long as price remains below it, the bearish bias is intact. The nearest support at 110.269 is the primary downside target, and a break below that would open the door for further losses.
Catalysts
- ▼ Bearish trend alignment across all timeframes, with strong trend scores on the 2H and 4H.
- ▼ Confluence of multiple bearish patterns and indicators, including Trendline Break Down, Falling Wedge, and AROON Cross Down.
- ▼ Price retreating from EMA and higher-timeframe trendlines, indicating rejection at resistance levels.
- ▼ Very strong signal strength (90% probability) based on the high number of confirming signals.
Risk Factors
- ▲ A break above the nearest resistance at 112.783 would invalidate the bearish setup and could trigger a short squeeze.
- ▲ The daily timeframe is only in a forming trend (2/5), so the longer-term bearish momentum is not yet fully established.
- ▲ WILLR OS Entry indicates oversold conditions in the short term, which could lead to a temporary bounce or consolidation before further downside.
- ▲ Watch for any reversal candlestick patterns or a bullish divergence on the RSI or MACD that could signal fading bearish momentum.
Symbol
AUD/JPY
Timeframe
1H
Direction
SELL
Probability
95%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-09-09 02:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 112.78300 | 2026-09-04 |
| R2 | 114.66700 | 2026-09-02 |
| R3 | 114.95600 | 2026-08-28 |
| S1 | 110.26900 | 2026-09-08 |
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