AUD/JPY 1H SELL

· 21 hours ago
SELL
95%
▼ SELL
VERY STRONG
Intraday
Prognose: 61% historisch
⚡ Confluence +53%
▲ Bullish 5% (3.91) ▼ Bearish 95% (69.95)
AUD/JPY  ·  1H
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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

Signals Fired Category Weight
Falling Wedge chart_pattern 2.89
KAMA Retreat Down indicator 2.43
Trendline Break Down trendline 2.37
ALMA Break Down indicator 2.33
EMA Retreat Down indicator 2.30
MIDPOINT Retreat Down indicator 2.27
HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down indicator 2.24
MA Retreat Down indicator 2.24
SMA Retreat Down indicator 2.24
Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%) fibonacci 2.21
MIDPRICE Retreat Down indicator 2.15
MACD Signal Cross Down indicator 1.96
SUPERTREND Flip Bearish indicator 1.92
T3 Break Down indicator 1.78
AROON Cross Down indicator 1.42
AROONOSC Zero Cross Down indicator 1.42
WILLR OS Entry indicator 1.36
RSX Midline Cross Down indicator 1.34
SQUEEZE Zero Cross Down indicator 1.32
HT SINE Cross Down indicator 1.24
Long Line Bearish candlestick 1.16
KDJ OS Entry indicator 1.08
ERI BULL Zero Cross Down indicator 1.07
CTI OS Entry indicator 1.02

Trend Context

15M
DOWNSolid trend
30M
DOWNSolid trend
1H
DOWNSolid trend
2H
DOWNVery strong trend
4H
DOWNExtremely strong trend
8H
DOWNSolid trend
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • AUD/JPY is in a strong bearish trend across all timeframes, with the 4H showing an extremely strong trend score of 5/5.
  • Multiple bearish signals fired simultaneously, including a Trendline Break Down, Falling Wedge breakdown, and MACD cross down, confirming the sell signal.
  • The nearest resistance at 112.783 is the key level to watch; a break above it would invalidate the bearish setup.
  • The nearest support at 110.269 is the primary downside target, and a break below it could accelerate the decline.
The AUD/JPY 1H chart has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a Trendline Break Down and a Falling Wedge breakdown, both classic continuation patterns that confirm the prevailing downtrend. The AROON Cross Down and AROONOSC Zero Cross Down indicate that bearish momentum is accelerating, while the MACD Signal Cross Down and WILLR OS Entry add further confirmation of selling pressure. The EMA Retreat Down and HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down show that price is pulling back to key moving averages and higher-timeframe trendlines, which are now acting as resistance and offering fresh short entries.

Across timeframes, the bearish alignment is robust: from 15m to 12h all timeframes are bearish, with the 2h and 4h showing very strong to extremely strong trend scores (4/5 and 5/5). The daily is just beginning to turn bearish (2/5), suggesting that this move may be the start of a larger decline. The nearest resistance at 112.783 is a critical level to watch; as long as price remains below it, the bearish bias is intact. The nearest support at 110.269 is the primary downside target, and a break below that would open the door for further losses.
Catalysts
  • Bearish trend alignment across all timeframes, with strong trend scores on the 2H and 4H.
  • Confluence of multiple bearish patterns and indicators, including Trendline Break Down, Falling Wedge, and AROON Cross Down.
  • Price retreating from EMA and higher-timeframe trendlines, indicating rejection at resistance levels.
  • Very strong signal strength (90% probability) based on the high number of confirming signals.
Risk Factors
  • A break above the nearest resistance at 112.783 would invalidate the bearish setup and could trigger a short squeeze.
  • The daily timeframe is only in a forming trend (2/5), so the longer-term bearish momentum is not yet fully established.
  • WILLR OS Entry indicates oversold conditions in the short term, which could lead to a temporary bounce or consolidation before further downside.
  • Watch for any reversal candlestick patterns or a bullish divergence on the RSI or MACD that could signal fading bearish momentum.
Symbol AUD/JPY
Timeframe 1H
Direction SELL
Probability 95%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-09-09 02:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 112.78300 2026-09-04
R2 114.66700 2026-09-02
R3 114.95600 2026-08-28
S1 110.26900 2026-09-08

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