USD/JPY – 2H – SELL

2026-09-09 06:00 UTC · 21 hours ago

SELL

91%

▼ SELL

VERY STRONG

Intraday

Prognose: 61% historisch

⚡ Confluence +59%

▲ Bullish 9% (4.92) ▼ Bearish 91% (47.30)

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	Bear Flag	chart_pattern	3.31
▲	Falling Wedge	chart_pattern	2.86
▼	MAMA PRICE Break Down	indicator	2.61
▼	Trendline Break Down	trendline	2.48
▼	ALMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.96
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.88
▼	Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%)	fibonacci	1.80
▼	SMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.77
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.73
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	1.53
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.52
▲	CTI OS Entry	indicator	1.46
▼	SMI Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.39
▲	Long Legged Doji	candlestick	0.85

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNExtremely strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNVery strong trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong sell signal on USD/JPY: falling wedge, bear flag, and trendline break down confirm bearish bias.
All timeframes align bearish, from 15m to 1D, with extremely strong 4H trend score.
Resistance at 156.74700 is the key invalidation; support at 152.48300 is the potential downside target.
STOCHF KD cross up gives a brief bullish bounce warning, so entries should wait for a pullback.

The USD/JPY 2H signal stack is heavily bearish, with trendline break down, Falling Wedge, and Bear Flag patterns converging on the downside. The bearish momentum is confirmed by price breaking below MAMA, MIDPOINT, and MIDPRICE, while EMA retreat and the 84% probability underline the strength of the move. The trend alignment is exceptionally strong: all timeframes from 15m to 1d are bearish, with the 4H at extreme strength and the 2H at very strong. This confluence across multiple timeframes and pattern categories suggests a high-confidence short-term downtrend.

Key levels to watch are immediate resistance at 156.74700, which now acts as a ceiling for any pullback, and support at 152.88300, the nearest downside target. A break below support would confirm continuation, while a reclaim of resistance invalidates the bearish setup. Traders should monitor whether the falling wedge and bear flag play out as classic continuation patterns, but be aware that the market is not in overbought territory on lower timeframes (STOCHF KD cross up is only a short-term bounce signal).

Catalysts

▼ Perfect trend alignment: every timeframe from 15m to 1D is bearish, strengthening the signal.
▼ Falling wedge and bear flag chart patterns are classic continuation signals that often resolve downward.
▼ Price broke below MAMA, MIDPOINT, and MIDPRICE, confirming momentum direction.
▼ Strong trend scores (4/5 and 5/5) across key intraday and daily timeframes.

Risk Factors

▲ The upwards STOCHF KD cross indicates short-term buying pressure; a bounce might test resistance at 156.74700.
▲ The signal is from 2H timeframe; if the 4H trend loses strength, momentum could fade.
▲ A daily close above 156.74700 would invalidate the bearish fallout and may trigger a reversal to the upside.
▲ The lower higher-timeframe trend scores (like the 12h at 3/5) show some vulnerability—any deterioration shifts the bias.