AUD/JPY – 1H – BUY
BUY
88%
▲ Bullish 88% (58.99)
▼ Bearish 12% (7.73)
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Signal evolution
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%) | fibonacci | 2.32 |
| ▲ | ZLMA Break Up | indicator | 2.02 |
| ▲ | STOCH KD Cross Up | indicator | 1.76 |
| ▲ | ERI BULL Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.48 |
| ▼ | ER Level Cross Down | indicator | 1.45 |
| ▲ | CCI OS Exit | indicator | 1.41 |
| ▼ | DX Trend Weak | indicator | 1.20 |
| ▲ | Trendline Retreat Up | trendline | 1.04 |
| ▲ | TTM TREND Trend Up | indicator | 0.97 |
| ▲ | HMA Direction Up | indicator | 0.95 |
| ▲ | BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up | indicator | 0.93 |
| ▲ | Support Level Retreat Up | sr | 0.90 |
| ▲ | HMA Retreat Up | indicator | 0.76 |
Trend Context
15MUPSolid trend
30MDOWNTrend forming
1HDOWNTrend forming
2HDOWNSolid trend
4HDOWNExtremely strong trend
8HDOWNVery strong trend
12HDOWNSolid trend
1DDOWNTrend forming
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- A dense cluster of bullish signals on the 1H suggests a short-term oversold bounce, but the broader trend is bearish.
- The 4H and 8H timeframes show very strong bearish trends, making this a counter-trend opportunity.
- Key levels to watch: support at 110.269 and resistance at 111.498.
- The signal is strong (75% probability) but should be treated as a tactical long within a larger downtrend.
The 1H AUD/JPY chart has fired a dense cluster of bullish signals, including a Trendline Retreat Up, CCI OS Exit, STOCH KD Cross Up, BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up, and HMA Retreat Up, alongside multiple momentum and trend indicators. This suggests a short-term oversold bounce is unfolding within a broader bearish context. The confluence of these signals points to a potential retracement toward the nearest resistance at 111.498, with the nearest support at 110.269 acting as the immediate floor.
However, the higher timeframe trend is firmly bearish, with the 4H showing an extremely strong downtrend (5/5) and the 8H very strong (4/5). The 1H itself is still bearish but only trend forming (2/5), indicating the bullish signals are counter-trend. The 15M is bullish and solid (3/5), suggesting short-term momentum is turning up, but this is likely a corrective move within the larger downtrend. Traders should watch whether price can reclaim the 1H resistance level; a failure to do so would reinforce the bearish bias.
However, the higher timeframe trend is firmly bearish, with the 4H showing an extremely strong downtrend (5/5) and the 8H very strong (4/5). The 1H itself is still bearish but only trend forming (2/5), indicating the bullish signals are counter-trend. The 15M is bullish and solid (3/5), suggesting short-term momentum is turning up, but this is likely a corrective move within the larger downtrend. Traders should watch whether price can reclaim the 1H resistance level; a failure to do so would reinforce the bearish bias.
Catalysts
- ▲ Multiple bullish signals fired simultaneously, including Trendline Retreat Up, CCI OS Exit, and STOCH KD Cross Up, indicating strong short-term momentum.
- ▲ The 15M timeframe shows a solid bullish trend (3/5), supporting the idea of a near-term bounce.
- ▲ Price retreated from the lower Bollinger Band, suggesting a potential mean-reversion move upward.
- ▲ The HMA Retreat Up and ERI BULL Zero Cross Up add further confirmation of bullish momentum.
Risk Factors
- ▼ The higher timeframe trend is firmly bearish, especially the 4H (extremely strong) and 8H (very strong), which could overwhelm the 1H bounce.
- ▼ The 1H itself is still bearish (trend forming), so the bullish signals may be a temporary pullback within a downtrend.
- ▼ If price fails to hold above the nearest support at 110.269, the bullish thesis is invalidated and the downtrend likely resumes.
- ▼ Resistance at 111.498 is a nearby barrier that could cap upside, especially if the broader bearish momentum persists.
Symbol
AUD/JPY
Timeframe
1H
Direction
BUY
Probability
88%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-09-10 19:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 111.49800 | 2026-09-08 |
| R2 | 112.78300 | 2026-09-04 |
| R3 | 114.66700 | 2026-09-02 |
| S1 | 110.26900 | 2026-09-08 |
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