AUD/JPY 1H BUY

· 22 hours ago
BUY
88%
▲ BUY
VERY STRONG
Intraday
Prognose: 46% historisch
⚡ Confluence +60%
▲ Bullish 88% (58.99) ▼ Bearish 12% (7.73)
AUD/JPY  ·  1H
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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

Signals Fired Category Weight
Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%) fibonacci 2.32
ZLMA Break Up indicator 2.02
STOCH KD Cross Up indicator 1.76
ERI BULL Zero Cross Up indicator 1.48
ER Level Cross Down indicator 1.45
CCI OS Exit indicator 1.41
DX Trend Weak indicator 1.20
Trendline Retreat Up trendline 1.04
TTM TREND Trend Up indicator 0.97
HMA Direction Up indicator 0.95
BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up indicator 0.93
Support Level Retreat Up sr 0.90
HMA Retreat Up indicator 0.76

Trend Context

15M
UPSolid trend
30M
DOWNTrend forming
1H
DOWNTrend forming
2H
DOWNSolid trend
4H
DOWNExtremely strong trend
8H
DOWNVery strong trend
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A dense cluster of bullish signals on the 1H suggests a short-term oversold bounce, but the broader trend is bearish.
  • The 4H and 8H timeframes show very strong bearish trends, making this a counter-trend opportunity.
  • Key levels to watch: support at 110.269 and resistance at 111.498.
  • The signal is strong (75% probability) but should be treated as a tactical long within a larger downtrend.
The 1H AUD/JPY chart has fired a dense cluster of bullish signals, including a Trendline Retreat Up, CCI OS Exit, STOCH KD Cross Up, BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up, and HMA Retreat Up, alongside multiple momentum and trend indicators. This suggests a short-term oversold bounce is unfolding within a broader bearish context. The confluence of these signals points to a potential retracement toward the nearest resistance at 111.498, with the nearest support at 110.269 acting as the immediate floor.

However, the higher timeframe trend is firmly bearish, with the 4H showing an extremely strong downtrend (5/5) and the 8H very strong (4/5). The 1H itself is still bearish but only trend forming (2/5), indicating the bullish signals are counter-trend. The 15M is bullish and solid (3/5), suggesting short-term momentum is turning up, but this is likely a corrective move within the larger downtrend. Traders should watch whether price can reclaim the 1H resistance level; a failure to do so would reinforce the bearish bias.
Catalysts
  • Multiple bullish signals fired simultaneously, including Trendline Retreat Up, CCI OS Exit, and STOCH KD Cross Up, indicating strong short-term momentum.
  • The 15M timeframe shows a solid bullish trend (3/5), supporting the idea of a near-term bounce.
  • Price retreated from the lower Bollinger Band, suggesting a potential mean-reversion move upward.
  • The HMA Retreat Up and ERI BULL Zero Cross Up add further confirmation of bullish momentum.
Risk Factors
  • The higher timeframe trend is firmly bearish, especially the 4H (extremely strong) and 8H (very strong), which could overwhelm the 1H bounce.
  • The 1H itself is still bearish (trend forming), so the bullish signals may be a temporary pullback within a downtrend.
  • If price fails to hold above the nearest support at 110.269, the bullish thesis is invalidated and the downtrend likely resumes.
  • Resistance at 111.498 is a nearby barrier that could cap upside, especially if the broader bearish momentum persists.
Symbol AUD/JPY
Timeframe 1H
Direction BUY
Probability 88%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-09-10 19:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 111.49800 2026-09-08
R2 112.78300 2026-09-04
R3 114.66700 2026-09-02
S1 110.26900 2026-09-08

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