USD/JPY 1H BUY

· 22 hours ago
BUY
81%
▲ BUY
STRONG
Intraday
Prognose: 46% historisch
⚡ Confluence +56%
▲ Bullish 81% (23.71) ▼ Bearish 19% (5.40)
USD/JPY  ·  1H
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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

Signals Fired Category Weight
VIDYA Break Up indicator 3.03
MIDPRICE Break Up indicator 2.90
MAMA PRICE Break Up indicator 2.80
Trendline Break Up trendline 2.75
Fibonacci Retreat UpTrend (79%) fibonacci 2.52
HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up indicator 2.50
MIDPOINT Retreat Up indicator 2.46
KAMA Retreat Up indicator 2.45
DEMA Retreat Up indicator 2.36
MA Retreat Up indicator 2.36
EMA Retreat Up indicator 2.32
SMI Signal Cross Up indicator 2.02
ERI BEAR Zero Cross Up indicator 1.94
STOCHF KD Cross Up indicator 1.87
TTM TREND Trend Up indicator 1.53
ZSCORE Extreme High indicator 1.20

Trend Context

15M
UPSolid trend
30M
UPSolid trend
1H
UPTrend forming
2H
UPSolid trend
4H
DOWNVery strong trend
8H
DOWNVery strong trend
12H
DOWNVery strong trend
1D
DOWNVery strong trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A dense cluster of bullish signals fired on the 1H, led by a Trendline Break Up and multiple retreat-based indicators.
  • Short-term timeframes (15m-2h) are bullish, but the 4H and above remain in a very strong downtrend, creating a conflict.
  • Key levels to watch: resistance at 154.415 and support at 153.280; a break of support would invalidate the bullish setup.
  • The signal is very strong with a 97% probability, but traders should be cautious given the higher-timeframe bearish pressure.
The USD/JPY 1H signal has fired a dense cluster of bullish indicators, led by a Trendline Break Up and reinforced by retreat-based signals across DEMA, EMA, HT Trendline, KAMA, and MA, alongside a STOCHF KD Cross Up and a MAMA Price Break Up. This convergence suggests strong short-term buying pressure as price breaks above a key descending trendline, with the momentum likely to carry toward the nearest resistance at 154.415. The bullish case is supported by a solid uptrend on the 15m, 30m, and 2h timeframes, while the 1H is still in a 'trend forming' phase, indicating room for further development.

However, the higher timeframes tell a different story: the 4H, 8H, 12H, and 1D are all in a very strong bearish trend. This creates a clear conflict between the short-term bullish momentum and the longer-term downtrend. The immediate focus is on whether price can hold above the broken trendline and push through the 154.415 resistance. A failure to sustain the breakout could see a retest of the 153.280 support, where a break would invalidate the bullish setup and likely resume the broader downtrend.
Catalysts
  • Confluence of multiple bullish signals (Trendline Break Up, STOCHF KD Cross Up, DEMA/EMA/KAMA/MA Retreat Up) on the 1H.
  • Solid bullish trends on the 15m, 30m, and 2h timeframes support the short-term momentum.
  • Break above a key trendline suggests a potential shift in short-term structure, with momentum indicators aligning.
  • The 'trend forming' status on the 1H implies the bullish move may still have room to develop.
Risk Factors
  • Strong bearish trends on the 4H, 8H, 12H, and 1D timeframes could cap upside and reverse the short-term bounce.
  • A failure to break above the 154.415 resistance would leave the pair vulnerable to a pullback toward the 153.280 support.
  • The 97% probability is based on the 1H signal; higher-timeframe bearish pressure could overwhelm the short-term bullish momentum.
  • Watch for a close below the broken trendline or the 153.280 support as a key invalidation level for the bullish setup.
Symbol USD/JPY
Timeframe 1H
Direction BUY
Probability 81%
Strength STRONG
Date 2026-09-10 19:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 154.41500 2026-09-08
R2 156.74700 2026-09-04
R3 160.38900 2026-09-02
S1 153.28000 2026-09-10
S2 152.94000 2026-09-09
S3 152.88300 2026-09-08

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