USD/JPY – 30M – SELL

The USD/JPY 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, with 18 total triggers spanning trendlines, indicators, candlesticks, Fibonacci, and support/resistance. The primary confluence comes from a Trendline Break Up followed by a Trendline Retreat Down, which often marks a failed upside breakout and a return to the dominant downtrend. Supporting momentum signals include a BOP Zero Cross Down, CCI exiting overbought territory, a STOCHF KD Cross Down, and an AO Zero Cross Up — the latter two suggest waning bullish pressure even as the broader trend remains bearish. The DX Trend Weak signal tempers conviction, indicating the current trend strength is not robust, aligning with the weak probability score of 59%.

Across timeframes, the picture is mixed but leans bearish. The 15-minute and 30-minute charts show nascent bullish attempts, but these are dwarfed by the strong to extremely strong bearish trends on the 2-hour, 4-hour, 8-hour, 12-hour, and daily timeframes. The 4-hour chart shows an extremely strong bearish trend (5/5), providing the dominant directional bias. Key levels to monitor are immediate resistance at 153.79600 and support at 153.10000. A break below support would reinforce the bearish case, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the short-term bearish setup.