AUD/JPY – 30M – SELL
SELL
97%
▲ Bullish 3% (2.00)
▼ Bearish 97% (75.37)
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Signal evolution
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | EMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.36 |
| ▼ | Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%) | fibonacci | 2.34 |
| ▼ | KAMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.32 |
| ▼ | HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down | indicator | 2.29 |
| ▼ | ICHIMOKU TK Cross Down | indicator | 2.17 |
| ▼ | MAMA PRICE Retreat Down | indicator | 1.96 |
| ▼ | SMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.94 |
| ▼ | MIDPOINT Retreat Down | indicator | 1.86 |
| ▼ | Trendline Retreat Down | trendline | 1.82 |
| ▼ | DPO Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.74 |
| ▼ | MIDPRICE Retreat Down | indicator | 1.70 |
| ▼ | VORTEX Cross Down | indicator | 1.53 |
| ▼ | STOCHF KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.48 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.38 |
| ▲ | WILLR OS Entry | indicator | 1.35 |
| ▲ | Upside Gap Three Method | candlestick | 1.21 |
| ▼ | TTM TREND Trend Down | indicator | 1.18 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNChoppy / sideways
30MDOWNChoppy / sideways
1HUPChoppy / sideways
2HDOWNSolid trend
4HDOWNExtremely strong trend
8HDOWNVery strong trend
12HDOWNSolid trend
1DDOWNTrend forming
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Strong bearish signal cluster on the 30M chart, with over 15 signals firing simultaneously.
- Higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 2H) all confirm the downtrend, adding weight to the sell signal.
- Key downside level to watch is support at 110.22400; resistance at 111.00500 is the invalidation zone.
- The 1H timeframe shows a mild bullish bias, so watch for choppy price action before the move continues.
The AUD/JPY 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a Trendline Retreat Down and EMA Retreat Down, with additional confirmation from BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, and WILLR OS Entry. The sheer number of signals — over 15 fired — across indicator, trendline, fibonacci, and candlestick groups indicates strong selling pressure at current levels, with sellers defending the descending trendline and momentum aligning to the downside.
Across timeframes, the bearish case is well-supported: the 4H timeframe shows an extremely strong downtrend (5/5), with 8H (4/5), 2H and 12H (3/5) all confirming. The 30M and 15M are bearish but choppy, suggesting some near-term noise, while the 1H is mildly bullish — a potential counter-signal. The immediate downside target is the nearest support at 110.22400, while resistance at 111.00500 caps any bounce. The confluence of higher-timeframe momentum and the 30M signal cluster makes this a high-probability sell setup, but the conflicting 1H bias and choppy lower timeframes warrant caution on entry timing.
Across timeframes, the bearish case is well-supported: the 4H timeframe shows an extremely strong downtrend (5/5), with 8H (4/5), 2H and 12H (3/5) all confirming. The 30M and 15M are bearish but choppy, suggesting some near-term noise, while the 1H is mildly bullish — a potential counter-signal. The immediate downside target is the nearest support at 110.22400, while resistance at 111.00500 caps any bounce. The confluence of higher-timeframe momentum and the 30M signal cluster makes this a high-probability sell setup, but the conflicting 1H bias and choppy lower timeframes warrant caution on entry timing.
Catalysts
- ▼ Overwhelming signal confluence across multiple groups (indicator, trendline, fibonacci, candlestick).
- ▼ Strong trend alignment on 4H (5/5) and 8H (4/5), showing persistent selling pressure.
- ▼ Bearish momentum indicators (BOP, STOCHF, WILLR) all confirm the downside move.
- ▼ Descending trendline retreat on both 30M and higher timeframes suggests sellers are in control.
Risk Factors
- ▲ The 1H timeframe is mildly bullish, which could trigger a short-term bounce against the sell signal.
- ▲ Choppy/sideways conditions on 15M and 30M suggest low trend strength, risking false breakouts.
- ▲ If price breaks above resistance at 111.00500, the bearish setup is invalidated.
- ▲ Momentum oscillators like WILLR are in oversold territory, which could lead to a technical pullback.
Symbol
AUD/JPY
Timeframe
30M
Direction
SELL
Probability
97%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-09-11 08:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 111.00500 | 2026-09-10 |
| R2 | 111.02000 | 2026-09-09 |
| R3 | 111.49800 | 2026-09-08 |
| S1 | 110.22400 | 2026-09-10 |