AUD/JPY – 12H – BUY

2026-09-14 12:00 UTC · 19 hours ago

BUY

92%

▲ BUY

VERY STRONG

Position

6 of 10 signals like this one reached their target

measured on closed signals of this class · 55.6% hit rate

model score 91.9 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability

⚡ Confluence +5%

▲ Bullish 92% (19.95) ▼ Bearish 8% (1.75)

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (15 Sep 2026, 00:00 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	HMA Break Up	indicator	2.29
▲	ZLMA Break Up	indicator	2.26
▲	CCI OS Exit	indicator	1.70
▲	Northern Doji	candlestick	1.05
▼	Bearish Doji Star	candlestick	0.73
▲	ACCBANDS LOWER Lower Retreat	indicator	0.71

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNExtremely strong trend

DOWNVery strong trend

12H

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bullish signals on 12H are firing against a strong bearish trend on higher timeframes.
Watch the nearest resistance at 114.95600; a break above could signal a trend reversal.
The nearest support at 114.95600 is the invalidation level for this bullish setup.
High probability (92%) but strong trend conflict means caution is advised.

The 12H AUD/JPY signal is strongly bullish (92% probability, very strong strength), driven by a cluster of indicator and candlestick signals. The CCI OS Exit indicates that the prior oversold condition is reversing, while HMA Break Up and ZLMA Break Up confirm a shift in momentum and trend direction. The ACCBANDS LOWER Lower Retreat suggests that the lower band is retracing, which often accompanies a bounce. The presence of both Northern Doji and Bearish Doji Star candlesticks highlights indecision at the lows, but the bullish signals suggest that buyers are stepping in.

However, the higher timeframes are all bearish, with the 4H and 12H trends extremely strong and very strong, respectively. This creates a conflict: the bullish signals on the 12H are firing against the dominant downtrend. The nearest resistance at 114.95600 is a key level to watch; a break above it would strengthen the bullish case, while a failure could see the price resume its downtrend. The nearest support at 114.95600 is also a critical level—if it breaks, the bullish signal would be invalidated. Traders should be cautious and wait for confirmation on the higher timeframes before committing to long positions.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple indicators (CCI, HMA, ZLMA, ACCBANDS) align to suggest a bullish reversal.
▲ Candlestick patterns (Northern Doji, Bearish Doji Star) indicate potential exhaustion of selling pressure.
▲ The 12H signal is very strong and has a high probability, suggesting robust momentum behind the move.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframes (4H, 12H) are strongly bearish, which may overpower the bullish signal.
▼ The nearest resistance at 114.95600 could cap upside and lead to a rejection.
▼ If the price breaks below the nearest support, the bullish signal would be invalidated.
▼ The presence of a Bearish Doji Star could signal that the bounce is losing steam.