EUR/JPY – 4H – BUY

2026-09-14 08:00 UTC · 22 hours ago

BUY

86%

▲ BUY

VERY STRONG

Swing

Prognose: 36% historisch

▲ Bullish 86% (9.21) ▼ Bearish 14% (1.49)

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (14 Sep 2026, 12:00 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	ZLMA Break Up	indicator	2.26
▼	Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%)state only	fibonacci	2.10
▲	DEMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.92
▼	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down	indicator	1.77
▲	HMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.69
▲	Trendline Retreat Upcontinuation	trendline	1.62
▲	Support Level Retreat Upcontinuation	sr	1.59
▲	AO Saucer Bullish	indicator	1.29
▲	WILLR OS Exit	indicator	1.28
▲	TTM TREND Trend Up	indicator	0.68

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

UPTrend forming

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNVery strong trend

12H

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bullish signals on 4H are a counter-trend bounce within a strong bearish higher timeframe.
Multiple indicators align for a long, but the trend is against the trade on 2H and above.
Key levels: resistance at 185.746, support at the nearest support; a break of either defines the next move.
Signal strength is moderate, so position sizing should reflect the higher risk.

The 4H EUR/JPY signal is a bullish confluence of multiple indicators: a Trendline Retreat Up, a Williams %R oversold exit, a DEMA Retreat Up, a bullish AO Saucer, an HMA Retreat Up, a ZLMA Break Up, and a TTM Trend up, alongside a bullish HT Phasor inphase cross. This cluster suggests a short-term counter-trend bounce within a broader bearish structure. The 15m to 1h timeframes are bullish but weak, while the 2h to daily timeframes remain bearish, with the 4H and higher timeframes showing very strong downtrends. The immediate resistance is at 185.746, and support at a nearby level. A break above resistance could signal a deeper correction, but the higher timeframe trend argues for limited upside unless the 4H trend flips.

Traders should treat this as a tactical long within a dominant downtrend. The confluence of multiple indicators at a support zone increases the odds of a bounce, but the strength of the higher timeframe downtrends and the moderate signal strength suggest caution. The key invalidation level is the nearest support; a close below it would negate the bullish setup. Watch for a potential failure at resistance, which could lead to a resumption of the bearish trend.

Catalysts

▲ Confluence of multiple bullish signals (trendline, momentum, moving averages) at a support zone.
▲ Short-term timeframes (15m-1h) are turning bullish, suggesting early momentum shift.
▲ Williams %R oversold exit and bullish AO saucer indicate potential upside momentum.
▲ The signal fires near a support level, increasing the chance of a bounce.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframes (2H, 4H, 8H, 12H, 1D) are all bearish, with very strong trends, which could overwhelm the bounce.
▼ The 2H timeframe is bearish, creating a conflicting intermediate-term view.
▼ A break below the nearest support would invalidate the bullish signal.
▼ Momentum may fade quickly if the price fails to break above the nearest resistance.