USD/JPY – 30M – SELL
SELL
100%
▲ Bullish 0% (0.00)
▼ Bearish 100% (21.44)
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Signal evolution
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | STOCH OB Exit | indicator | 2.11 |
| ▼ | Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (38%) | fibonacci | 1.70 |
| ▼ | EMA 200 Retreat Down | indicator | 1.69 |
| ▼ | ZSCORE Extreme High Exit | indicator | 1.69 |
| ▼ | ZLMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.68 |
| ▼ | BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down | indicator | 1.65 |
| ▲ | HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up | indicator | 1.64 |
| ▼ | HMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.61 |
| ▼ | Resistance Level Retreat Down | sr | 1.51 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.42 |
| ▼ | RSX OB Entry | indicator | 1.10 |
| ▼ | Spinning Top Bearish | candlestick | 0.80 |
Trend Context
15MUPSolid trend
30MUPTrend forming
1HUPTrend forming
2HDOWNTrend forming
4HDOWNVery strong trend
8HDOWNVery strong trend
12HDOWNVery strong trend
1DDOWNVery strong trend
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Strong bearish alignment on higher timeframes (4h to 1d) supports the sell signal.
- Momentum and moving average indicators all point to a downward reversal from overbought conditions.
- Watch the nearest resistance at 154.48300; a break above it would weaken the bearish case.
- Immediate downside target is the nearest support at 153.36900.
The SELL signal on USD/JPY at the 30-minute timeframe is backed by a confluence of momentum, volatility, and trend-following indicators. The BOP Zero Cross Down indicates selling pressure is overtaking buying pressure, while the STOCH OB Exit and RSX OB Entry both confirm that the pair has moved from overbought conditions into a bearish phase. The BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down, EMA 200 Retreat Down, HMA Retreat Down, and ZLMA Retreat Down all point to a consistent downward push across multiple moving averages, suggesting that the recent rally has stalled and is reversing.
Across higher timeframes, the trend is clearly bearish: the 4h, 8h, 12h, and 1d charts all show very strong downtrends with a trend score of 4/5. This aligns with the 2h bearish signal, while the 15m, 30m, and 1h are still bullish but with weaker scores (2-3/5), indicating that the short-term bounce is likely a pullback within a larger downtrend. The nearest resistance at 154.48300 is a key level to watch; a failure to break above it would reinforce the bearish case. The nearest support at 153.36900 is the immediate downside target, and a break below that could open the door for further declines. The signal groups—candlestick, indicator, sr, and fibonacci—add to the confluence, suggesting that the bearish move is supported by multiple analytical frameworks. However, the mixed short-term bullish trends warrant caution, as a break above resistance could invalidate the signal.
Across higher timeframes, the trend is clearly bearish: the 4h, 8h, 12h, and 1d charts all show very strong downtrends with a trend score of 4/5. This aligns with the 2h bearish signal, while the 15m, 30m, and 1h are still bullish but with weaker scores (2-3/5), indicating that the short-term bounce is likely a pullback within a larger downtrend. The nearest resistance at 154.48300 is a key level to watch; a failure to break above it would reinforce the bearish case. The nearest support at 153.36900 is the immediate downside target, and a break below that could open the door for further declines. The signal groups—candlestick, indicator, sr, and fibonacci—add to the confluence, suggesting that the bearish move is supported by multiple analytical frameworks. However, the mixed short-term bullish trends warrant caution, as a break above resistance could invalidate the signal.
Catalysts
- ▼ Higher timeframe trend alignment: 4h, 8h, 12h, and 1d all show very strong bearish trends.
- ▼ Confluence of multiple signal groups: candlestick, indicator, support/resistance, and Fibonacci all firing bearish.
- ▼ Multiple moving averages (EMA 200, HMA, ZLMA) retreating down, confirming the reversal.
- ▼ Overbought exit signals (STOCH OB Exit, RSX OB Entry) indicate momentum is shifting lower.
Risk Factors
- ▲ Short-term timeframes (15m, 30m, 1h) are still bullish, which could fuel a bounce against the signal.
- ▲ If price breaks above the nearest resistance at 154.48300, the bearish setup is invalidated.
- ▲ The 30m and 1h trends are only forming (2/5), so momentum may not be fully established yet.
- ▲ A strong move up could be a bull trap, especially with the 15m showing a solid uptrend.
Symbol
USD/JPY
Timeframe
30M
Direction
SELL
Probability
100%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-09-14 07:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 154.48300 | 2026-09-11 |
| R2 | 154.61200 | 2026-09-11 |
| R3 | 154.66400 | 2026-09-10 |
| S1 | 153.36900 | 2026-09-14 |
| S2 | 153.23600 | 2026-09-11 |
| S3 | 153.10000 | 2026-09-09 |
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