USD/JPY 30M SELL

· 1 hour ago
SELL
100%
▼ SELL
VERY STRONG
Scalping
Prognose: 61% historisch
⚡ Confluence +33%
▲ Bullish 0% (0.00) ▼ Bearish 100% (21.44)
USD/JPY  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

Signals Fired Category Weight
STOCH OB Exit indicator 2.11
Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (38%) fibonacci 1.70
EMA 200 Retreat Down indicator 1.69
ZSCORE Extreme High Exit indicator 1.69
ZLMA Retreat Down indicator 1.68
BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down indicator 1.65
HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up indicator 1.64
HMA Retreat Down indicator 1.61
Resistance Level Retreat Down sr 1.51
BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.42
RSX OB Entry indicator 1.10
Spinning Top Bearish candlestick 0.80

Trend Context

15M
UPSolid trend
30M
UPTrend forming
1H
UPTrend forming
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNVery strong trend
8H
DOWNVery strong trend
12H
DOWNVery strong trend
1D
DOWNVery strong trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bearish alignment on higher timeframes (4h to 1d) supports the sell signal.
  • Momentum and moving average indicators all point to a downward reversal from overbought conditions.
  • Watch the nearest resistance at 154.48300; a break above it would weaken the bearish case.
  • Immediate downside target is the nearest support at 153.36900.
The SELL signal on USD/JPY at the 30-minute timeframe is backed by a confluence of momentum, volatility, and trend-following indicators. The BOP Zero Cross Down indicates selling pressure is overtaking buying pressure, while the STOCH OB Exit and RSX OB Entry both confirm that the pair has moved from overbought conditions into a bearish phase. The BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down, EMA 200 Retreat Down, HMA Retreat Down, and ZLMA Retreat Down all point to a consistent downward push across multiple moving averages, suggesting that the recent rally has stalled and is reversing.

Across higher timeframes, the trend is clearly bearish: the 4h, 8h, 12h, and 1d charts all show very strong downtrends with a trend score of 4/5. This aligns with the 2h bearish signal, while the 15m, 30m, and 1h are still bullish but with weaker scores (2-3/5), indicating that the short-term bounce is likely a pullback within a larger downtrend. The nearest resistance at 154.48300 is a key level to watch; a failure to break above it would reinforce the bearish case. The nearest support at 153.36900 is the immediate downside target, and a break below that could open the door for further declines. The signal groups—candlestick, indicator, sr, and fibonacci—add to the confluence, suggesting that the bearish move is supported by multiple analytical frameworks. However, the mixed short-term bullish trends warrant caution, as a break above resistance could invalidate the signal.
Catalysts
  • Higher timeframe trend alignment: 4h, 8h, 12h, and 1d all show very strong bearish trends.
  • Confluence of multiple signal groups: candlestick, indicator, support/resistance, and Fibonacci all firing bearish.
  • Multiple moving averages (EMA 200, HMA, ZLMA) retreating down, confirming the reversal.
  • Overbought exit signals (STOCH OB Exit, RSX OB Entry) indicate momentum is shifting lower.
Risk Factors
  • Short-term timeframes (15m, 30m, 1h) are still bullish, which could fuel a bounce against the signal.
  • If price breaks above the nearest resistance at 154.48300, the bearish setup is invalidated.
  • The 30m and 1h trends are only forming (2/5), so momentum may not be fully established yet.
  • A strong move up could be a bull trap, especially with the 15m showing a solid uptrend.
Symbol USD/JPY
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Probability 100%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-09-14 07:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 154.48300 2026-09-11
R2 154.61200 2026-09-11
R3 154.66400 2026-09-10
S1 153.36900 2026-09-14
S2 153.23600 2026-09-11
S3 153.10000 2026-09-09

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