EUR/CHF 4H SELL

· 17 hours ago
SELL
89%
▼ SELL
VERY STRONG
Swing
5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit
45.5% of closed signals in this class ended above zero
model score 89.1 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability
▲ Bullish 11% (2.77) ▼ Bearish 89% (22.53)
EUR/CHF  ·  4H
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 5 × 4h 6%
conviction per candle 3× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 3× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (16 Sep 2026, 12:00 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
HMA Retreat Down indicator 1.59
HMA Direction Down indicator 1.12
Inverted Hammer candlestick 1.12
DEMA Retreat Down indicator 1.00
TTM TREND Trend Down indicator 0.89

Trend Context

15M
DOWNTrend forming
30M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
2H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
4H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
8H
UPTrend forming
12H
UPTrend forming
1D
UPTrend forming

Analysis

The EUR/CHF 4H chart is flashing a confluence of bearish signals, with five distinct triggers aligning to suggest downward momentum is building. The DEMA Retreat Down and HMA Retreat Down indicate that both exponential and Hull moving averages are pulling back from recent highs, while the HMA Direction Down confirms the short-term trend has flipped bearish. The TTM TREND indicator has also switched to a down state, and the appearance of an Inverted Hammer candlestick pattern at current levels adds a bearish reversal element. Together, these signals point to a sell setup with strong conviction, though the broader picture shows a tug-of-war: lower timeframes (15m through 4H) are bearish but choppy, while higher timeframes (8H through 1D) remain bullish and trend forming. This divergence suggests the current bearish move may be a corrective pullback within a larger uptrend, but the 4H signal is the operative timeframe for this trade.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 0.94740 and support at 0.93969. A break below support would confirm the bearish momentum and open the path for further downside, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the setup. The choppiness on the 30m through 4H timeframes (all with trend scores of 1/5) suggests the move may not be smooth, but the 85% probability and very strong strength rating indicate the signals are firing in unison. Traders should treat this as a high-conviction short with clear invalidation above resistance, while remaining mindful that the higher-timeframe bullish bias could limit the downside.
Symbol EUR/CHF
Timeframe 4H
Direction SELL
Probability 89%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-09-16 08:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.94740 2026-09-14
S1 0.93969 2026-09-09
S2 0.93722 2026-09-04
S3 0.93506 2026-08-31

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