EUR/JPY – 30M – BUY

2026-09-17 09:30 UTC · 1 hour ago

BUY

92%

▲ BUY

VERY STRONG

Scalping

6 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

56.1% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 91.5 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability

▲ Bullish 92% (19.40) ▼ Bearish 8% (1.79)

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (17 Sep 2026, 07:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	HMA Break Up	indicator	2.89
▲	WILLR OS Exit	indicator	2.14
▲	ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit	indicator	2.08
▲	Fibonacci Break UpTrend (24%)break + retest	fibonacci	1.99
▲	ACCBANDS LOWER Lower Retreat	indicator	1.90
▼	HT SINE Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.79
▲	KELTNER LOWER Lower Retreat	indicator	1.65
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.64
▲	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up	indicator	1.62
▲	KDJ Cross Up	indicator	1.14

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

DOWNVery strong trend

12H

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A strong bullish signal cluster on the 30-minute chart suggests a short-term bounce is likely.
The broader trend is still bearish on higher timeframes, so this is a counter-trend play with limited upside potential.
Key resistance at 179.294 is the immediate target; a break above could signal a deeper correction.
Watch the support at 178.373—a close below it invalidates the bullish setup.

The EUR/JPY 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bullish signals, led by a Stochastic KDJ Cross Up and Williams %R exiting oversold territory. This is reinforced by the HT Phasor Inphase Cross Up and HT Sine Zero Cross Down, which together indicate a shift in the cyclical component of price. The HMA Break Up and the retreat of the lower ACCBANDS and KELTNER bands suggest that downside momentum is exhausting and buyers are stepping in. The confluence of these indicators, spanning oscillators, moving averages, and volatility bands, points to a short-term bounce within a broader bearish context.

However, the trend alignment is mixed. While the 30-minute signal is bullish, the higher timeframes—15m, 30m, and especially the 8h, 12h, and 1d—remain bearish. The 4-hour is the only higher timeframe showing bullish formation. This suggests that the current buy signal may be a counter-trend rally, likely targeting the nearest resistance at 179.294. A break above that level would be needed to confirm a more sustained reversal. Conversely, a drop below the nearest support at 178.373 would invalidate the bullish setup and likely resume the dominant downtrend. Traders should treat this as a tactical long with tight risk management, not a trend-following entry.

Catalysts

▲ High-probability signal (91%) with very strong strength, indicating high confluence among indicators.
▲ Multiple oscillators (Stochastic, KDJ, Williams %R) are turning bullish from oversold conditions.
▲ The HMA Break Up and retreating lower bands (ACCBANDS, KELTNER) confirm upward momentum.
▲ The 4-hour timeframe is showing a bullish trend forming, offering some higher-timeframe support.

Risk Factors

▼ Dominant bearish trends on the 8h, 12h, and 1d timeframes could easily overwhelm a 30-minute bounce.
▼ The 30-minute and 15-minute trends are still bearish, so the signal may be early or fail quickly.
▼ The nearest resistance at 179.294 is close, limiting upside room before strong selling pressure is likely.
▼ A break below support at 178.373 would invalidate the signal and likely trigger a sharp drop.