EUR/USD – 8H – BUY

BUY 2× UPDATED
1 day ago
61.0 % ↑ +25.7 zur Vorkerze
VERY STRONG Swing
▲ Bullish 100 % (13.15) ▼ Bearish 0 % (0.00)
5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit
50.4% of closed signals in this class ended above zero
model score 100.0 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Überzeugung · 4 Kerzen
Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 4.2 % vs 17.9 % average · stopped out 10.5 % vs 9.0 % (Forex, 95 closed runs). Not a reason to act — a reason to watch.
EUR/USD  ·  8H
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 4 × 8h 100%
conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (17 Sep 2026, 08:00 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.26
Long Legged Doji candlestick 1.10

Trend Context

15M
UPTrend forming
30M
DOWNSolid trend
1H
DOWNSolid trend
2H
DOWNSolid trend
4H
DOWNVery strong trend
8H
DOWNSolid trend
12H
DOWNTrend forming
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Buy signal on 8H with BOP Zero Cross Up and Long Legged Doji, but broader trend is bearish.
  • Momentum may be shifting, but the signal is counter-trend against strong downtrends on 4H and other timeframes.
  • Watch resistance at 1.16538 and support at 1.13529 for confirmation or invalidation.
The EUR/USD 8H chart has fired a BUY signal with a BOP Zero Cross Up and a Long Legged Doji, indicating a potential shift in momentum despite the broader bearish trend across most timeframes. The BOP Zero Cross Up suggests buying pressure is emerging, while the Long Legged Doji reflects indecision and a possible reversal at a key level. However, the signal's strength is rated very strong, which adds weight to the bullish case, but traders should note the conflicting trend structure on lower timeframes.

Across timeframes, the trend is predominantly bearish, with the 4H showing a very strong downtrend (4/5) and the 8H, 2H, 1H, and 30M all solidly bearish. Only the 15M is bullish, and it's still forming. This misalignment suggests the buy signal may be counter-trend, and the Long Legged Doji could mark a temporary pause rather than a full reversal. Key levels to watch are resistance at 1.16538 and support at 1.13529; a break above resistance would strengthen the bullish case, while a drop below support would invalidate it.
Catalysts
  • BOP Zero Cross Up indicates improving buying pressure, a potential leading signal.
  • Long Legged Doji at a possible turning point suggests sellers may be exhausting.
  • Very strong signal strength (100% probability) adds confidence to the bullish setup.
Risk Factors
  • Strong bearish trends on 4H, 8H, and 2H could overpower the counter-trend buy signal.
  • The 15M bullish trend is weak and forming, offering little support for a sustained reversal.
  • A drop below support at 1.13529 would invalidate the signal and confirm continued downtrend.
  • Conflicting timeframes may lead to choppy price action, reducing signal reliability.
Symbol EUR/USD
Timeframe 8H
Direction BUY
Conviction 100%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-09-17 00:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 1.16538 2026-09-09
R2 1.17109 2026-08-21
S1 1.13529 2026-07-28
S2 1.13241 2026-06-24

Tags

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