EUR/AUD – 1D – SELL
SELL NEW
23 hours ago
59.3 %
– erste Kerze
VERY STRONG
Position
▲ Bullish 10 % (5.07)
▼ Bearish 90 % (44.97)
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Signal evolution
Signals Fired
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened
(22 Sep 2026, 00:00 UTC).
They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by
candle on this page until it closes.
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | Bear Flagbreak + retest | chart_pattern | 2.97 |
| ▼ | ALMA Break Down | indicator | 2.70 |
| ▼ | DEMA Break Down | indicator | 2.58 |
| ▼ | MIDPRICE Break Down | indicator | 2.42 |
| ▼ | MIDPOINT Break Down | indicator | 2.39 |
| ▼ | MAMA PRICE Break Down | indicator | 2.26 |
| ▼ | HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down | indicator | 2.19 |
| ▼ | MA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.13 |
| ▼ | SMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.13 |
| ▼ | HMA Break Down | indicator | 2.09 |
| ▼ | SAR Flip Bearish | indicator | 1.83 |
| ▼ | EMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.74 |
| ▼ | SMI Signal Cross Down | indicator | 1.55 |
| ▲ | HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up | indicator | 1.46 |
| ▼ | ERI BULL Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.38 |
| ▼ | KDJ Cross Down | indicator | 1.38 |
| ▲ | MOM Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.20 |
| ▲ | ROC Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.20 |
| ▲ | ROCR Cross Up | indicator | 1.20 |
| ▼ | Spinning Top Bearish | candlestick | 0.79 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNChoppy / sideways
30MDOWNChoppy / sideways
1HDOWNChoppy / sideways
2HDOWNTrend forming
4HDOWNChoppy / sideways
8HDOWNTrend forming
12HDOWNChoppy / sideways
1DDOWNChoppy / sideways
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Strong bearish confluence: Bear Flag, momentum crossovers, and DEMA breakdown all align for a sell signal.
- Trend is bearish across all timeframes, but most are choppy or sideways—momentum is building, not yet explosive.
- Resistance at 1.64446 is the key invalidation level; support at 1.61104 is the immediate downside target.
- High probability (89%) and very strong strength signal, but lower timeframe chop means watch for false breakouts.
The EUR/AUD daily chart is firing a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a Bear Flag continuation pattern and a series of momentum crossovers (MOM, ROC, ROCR) all turning down, alongside a DEMA breakdown and EMA retreat. The combination of a classic bearish chart pattern with multiple indicator confirmations and a retreat from the higher-timeframe trendline points to a high-probability sell setup. The trend is consistently bearish across all monitored timeframes, though most are choppy or sideways, with only the 2H and 8H showing a forming trend. This suggests the bearish momentum is building but not yet fully established on the lower timeframes.
Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 1.64446, which should hold as new supply, and the nearest support at 1.61104, which is the immediate downside target. A break below this support would open the door for further declines, while a daily close above the resistance would invalidate the bearish setup. The confluence of the Bear Flag, multiple zero-line crossovers, and the DEMA breakdown provides a strong technical case for continued downside, but the choppy nature of most timeframes warrants caution and tight risk management.
Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 1.64446, which should hold as new supply, and the nearest support at 1.61104, which is the immediate downside target. A break below this support would open the door for further declines, while a daily close above the resistance would invalidate the bearish setup. The confluence of the Bear Flag, multiple zero-line crossovers, and the DEMA breakdown provides a strong technical case for continued downside, but the choppy nature of most timeframes warrants caution and tight risk management.
Catalysts
- ▼ Bear Flag pattern is a classic continuation setup, suggesting the prior downtrend will resume.
- ▼ Multiple momentum indicators (MOM, ROC, ROCR) all crossing below zero confirms bearish momentum.
- ▼ DEMA breakdown and EMA retreat signal that the short-term trend has turned down.
- ▼ HT TRENDLINE retreat shows price is respecting the longer-term bearish trendline.
Risk Factors
- ▲ Most timeframes are choppy/sideways (1/5 trend strength), which could lead to range-bound price action and false signals.
- ▲ A daily close above the resistance at 1.64446 would invalidate the bearish setup and could trigger a short squeeze.
- ▲ The 2H and 8H are only 'trend forming' (2/5), so the bearish trend is not yet fully established on those timeframes.
- ▲ Watch for a bounce off the support at 1.61104; if it holds, the sell signal may lose momentum.
Symbol
EUR/AUD
Timeframe
1D
Direction
SELL
Conviction
90%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-09-18 00:05
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 1.64446 | 2026-08-20 |
| R2 | 1.65036 | 2026-08-03 |
| R3 | 1.66183 | 2026-06-30 |
| S1 | 1.61104 | 2026-05-13 |