EUR/GBP – 4H – BUY
BUY 2× UPDATED
16 hours ago
59.3 %
↑ +24.0 zur Vorkerze
STRONG
Swing
▲ Bullish 86 % (22.14)
▼ Bearish 14 % (3.55)
5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit
45.5% of closed signals in this class ended above zero
model score 86.2 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Überzeugung · 4 Kerzen
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Signal evolution
Conviction, candle by candle
conviction per candle
1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads
Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.
Signals Fired
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened
(18 Sep 2026, 04:00 UTC, updated 2× since).
They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by
candle on this page until it closes.
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | MAMA PRICE Retreat Up | indicator | 2.38 |
| ▲ | ALMA Retreat Up | indicator | 2.32 |
| ▲ | MIDPRICE Retreat Up | indicator | 2.10 |
| ▲ | MIDPOINT Retreat Up | indicator | 2.05 |
| ▲ | HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up | indicator | 1.96 |
| ▲ | DEMA Retreat Up | indicator | 1.92 |
| ▲ | KAMA Retreat Up | indicator | 1.84 |
| ▲ | EMA Retreat Up | indicator | 1.83 |
| ▲ | MA Retreat Up | indicator | 1.78 |
| ▲ | EMA CROSS 20 50 Golden Cross | indicator | 1.74 |
| ▼ | DX Trend Weak | indicator | 1.72 |
| ▲ | BOP Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.42 |
| ▼ | HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down | indicator | 1.37 |
| ▲ | KST Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.27 |
| ▲ | Bullish Meeting Lines | candlestick | 1.24 |
| ▲ | Spinning Top Bullish | candlestick | 0.79 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNChoppy / sideways
30MUPTrend forming
1HUPSolid trend
2HUPTrend forming
4HUPTrend forming
8HUPChoppy / sideways
12HUPChoppy / sideways
1DUPChoppy / sideways
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Strong bullish confluence on the 4H chart: Golden Cross, multiple retreats, and BOP turning positive.
- Trend is bullish across most timeframes, but higher timeframes are choppy—so expect potential resistance at 0.85999.
- Key support at 0.85498 is the invalidation level; a close below it would negate the bullish signal.
- The 1H solid trend (3/5) is the strongest supporting timeframe, while 15M is still bearish—watch for a shift there.
The EUR/GBP 4H signal is overwhelmingly bullish, with a 91% probability and very strong strength. The confluence of multiple indicators—BOP Zero Cross Up, DX Trend Weak, DEMA Retreat Up, EMA Retreat Up, EMA CROSS 20 50 Golden Cross, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up, KAMA Retreat Up, and MA Retreat Up—points to a coordinated shift in momentum and trend structure. The Golden Cross on the 20 and 50 EMAs is a classic bullish signal, while the retreats in DEMA, EMA, HT TRENDLINE, KAMA, and MA suggest that price has pulled back to a level where these dynamic supports are holding, offering a low-risk entry.
Across timeframes, the bullish bias is consistent, though the higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) are choppy and sideways, indicating that the larger trend is not yet firmly established. The 1H timeframe shows a solid trend (3/5), and the 30M, 2H, and 4H are all forming bullish trends. This suggests that the current move is being driven by intermediate-term momentum, and the key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 0.85999 and support at 0.85498. A break above resistance could open the door to further upside, while a loss of support would invalidate the bullish setup.
Across timeframes, the bullish bias is consistent, though the higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) are choppy and sideways, indicating that the larger trend is not yet firmly established. The 1H timeframe shows a solid trend (3/5), and the 30M, 2H, and 4H are all forming bullish trends. This suggests that the current move is being driven by intermediate-term momentum, and the key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 0.85999 and support at 0.85498. A break above resistance could open the door to further upside, while a loss of support would invalidate the bullish setup.
Catalysts
- ▲ Golden Cross on EMA 20/50 is a widely followed bullish signal.
- ▲ Multiple moving averages (DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MA) are retreating upward, indicating that price is bouncing off dynamic support.
- ▲ BOP Zero Cross Up shows buying pressure is increasing.
- ▲ Trend alignment across 30M to 4H timeframes supports the bullish move.
Risk Factors
- ▼ Higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) are choppy and sideways, which could cap upside or lead to a false breakout.
- ▼ The 15M timeframe is still bearish, suggesting short-term pullback risk.
- ▼ Resistance at 0.85999 is nearby; a failure to break above could trigger profit-taking.
- ▼ If price closes below support at 0.85498, the bullish setup is invalidated.
Symbol
EUR/GBP
Timeframe
4H
Direction
BUY
Conviction
86%
Strength
STRONG
Date
2026-09-18 00:05
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 0.85999 | 2026-09-10 |
| R2 | 0.86076 | 2026-09-03 |
| S1 | 0.85498 | 2026-09-15 |
| S2 | 0.85483 | 2026-08-31 |
| S3 | 0.85459 | 2026-08-25 |