EUR/GBP – 4H – BUY

BUY 2× UPDATED
16 hours ago
59.3 % ↑ +24.0 zur Vorkerze
STRONG Swing
▲ Bullish 86 % (22.14) ▼ Bearish 14 % (3.55)
5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit
45.5% of closed signals in this class ended above zero
model score 86.2 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Überzeugung · 4 Kerzen
EUR/GBP  ·  4H
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 4 × 4h 86%
conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (18 Sep 2026, 04:00 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
MAMA PRICE Retreat Up indicator 2.38
ALMA Retreat Up indicator 2.32
MIDPRICE Retreat Up indicator 2.10
MIDPOINT Retreat Up indicator 2.05
HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up indicator 1.96
DEMA Retreat Up indicator 1.92
KAMA Retreat Up indicator 1.84
EMA Retreat Up indicator 1.83
MA Retreat Up indicator 1.78
EMA CROSS 20 50 Golden Cross indicator 1.74
DX Trend Weak indicator 1.72
BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.42
HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down indicator 1.37
KST Zero Cross Up indicator 1.27
Bullish Meeting Lines candlestick 1.24
Spinning Top Bullish candlestick 0.79

Trend Context

15M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
30M
UPTrend forming
1H
UPSolid trend
2H
UPTrend forming
4H
UPTrend forming
8H
UPChoppy / sideways
12H
UPChoppy / sideways
1D
UPChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bullish confluence on the 4H chart: Golden Cross, multiple retreats, and BOP turning positive.
  • Trend is bullish across most timeframes, but higher timeframes are choppy—so expect potential resistance at 0.85999.
  • Key support at 0.85498 is the invalidation level; a close below it would negate the bullish signal.
  • The 1H solid trend (3/5) is the strongest supporting timeframe, while 15M is still bearish—watch for a shift there.
The EUR/GBP 4H signal is overwhelmingly bullish, with a 91% probability and very strong strength. The confluence of multiple indicators—BOP Zero Cross Up, DX Trend Weak, DEMA Retreat Up, EMA Retreat Up, EMA CROSS 20 50 Golden Cross, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up, KAMA Retreat Up, and MA Retreat Up—points to a coordinated shift in momentum and trend structure. The Golden Cross on the 20 and 50 EMAs is a classic bullish signal, while the retreats in DEMA, EMA, HT TRENDLINE, KAMA, and MA suggest that price has pulled back to a level where these dynamic supports are holding, offering a low-risk entry.

Across timeframes, the bullish bias is consistent, though the higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) are choppy and sideways, indicating that the larger trend is not yet firmly established. The 1H timeframe shows a solid trend (3/5), and the 30M, 2H, and 4H are all forming bullish trends. This suggests that the current move is being driven by intermediate-term momentum, and the key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 0.85999 and support at 0.85498. A break above resistance could open the door to further upside, while a loss of support would invalidate the bullish setup.
Catalysts
  • Golden Cross on EMA 20/50 is a widely followed bullish signal.
  • Multiple moving averages (DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MA) are retreating upward, indicating that price is bouncing off dynamic support.
  • BOP Zero Cross Up shows buying pressure is increasing.
  • Trend alignment across 30M to 4H timeframes supports the bullish move.
Risk Factors
  • Higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) are choppy and sideways, which could cap upside or lead to a false breakout.
  • The 15M timeframe is still bearish, suggesting short-term pullback risk.
  • Resistance at 0.85999 is nearby; a failure to break above could trigger profit-taking.
  • If price closes below support at 0.85498, the bullish setup is invalidated.
Symbol EUR/GBP
Timeframe 4H
Direction BUY
Conviction 86%
Strength STRONG
Date 2026-09-18 00:05
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.85999 2026-09-10
R2 0.86076 2026-09-03
S1 0.85498 2026-09-15
S2 0.85483 2026-08-31
S3 0.85459 2026-08-25

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