EUR/JPY – 1H – SELL

SELL 6× UPDATED

2026-09-18 08:00 UTC 16 hours ago

39.7 % ↓ −19.6 zur Vorkerze

WEAK Intraday

▲ Bullish 15 % (3.36) ▼ Bearish 85 % (19.70)

5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

50.1% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 25.9 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Überzeugung · 14 Kerzen

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 6× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 6× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (18 Sep 2026, 06:00 UTC, updated 6× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	KDJ OB Exit	indicator	2.09
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.68
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.52
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.34
▼	Spinning Top Bearish	candlestick	1.15
▲	Upside Tasuki Gap	candlestick	1.00

Trend Context

15M

UPVery strong trend

30M

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

UPSolid trend

12H

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bearish signals on 1H suggest a short-term pullback, but the lower-timeframe trend is still bullish.
Higher timeframes (12h, 1d) are bearish, creating a conflicting outlook.
Watch the 178.467 support level; a break below could confirm the bearish move.
Signal strength is weak, so caution is advised.

The 1H EUR/JPY signal is bearish, driven by a cluster of momentum and candlestick signals: BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, KDJ OB Exit, HMA Retreat Down, Upside Tasuki Gap, and Spinning Top Bearish. These indicate fading buying pressure and a potential short-term reversal. However, the trend across timeframes is mixed: lower timeframes (15m, 30m, 1h) are bullish, while higher timeframes (12h, 1d) are bearish. The 2h and 4h are choppy/sideways, suggesting a lack of clear direction. The nearest support is at 178.467, which is a key level to watch. If price breaks below this, the bearish signal gains traction; if it holds, the bullish lower-timeframe trend may resume. The signal's probability is 64% with weak strength, indicating a moderate but not high-confidence setup.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple bearish signals fired together on 1H, including momentum and candlestick patterns.
▼ Higher timeframe trend (12h, 1d) is bearish, aligning with the 1H sell signal.
▼ Upside Tasuki Gap and Spinning Top Bearish suggest a potential reversal after an uptrend.
▼ KDJ OB Exit indicates overbought conditions, supporting a pullback.

Risk Factors

▲ Lower timeframes (15m, 30m, 1h) are bullish, which could overpower the 1H bearish signal.
▲ The 2h and 4h are choppy/sideways, indicating indecision.
▲ If price holds above 178.467 support, the bearish signal may fail.
▲ Weak signal strength (64% probability) reduces confidence.