EUR/JPY – 2H – BUY
BUY 2× UPDATED
16 hours ago
35.3 %
– zur Vorkerze
WEAK
⚡ Confluence +5%
Intraday
▲ Bullish 90 % (31.22)
▼ Bearish 10 % (3.65)
5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit
51.6% of closed signals in this class ended above zero
model score 0.0 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Überzeugung · 7 Kerzen
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Signal evolution
Conviction, candle by candle
conviction per candle
2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads
Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.
Signals Fired
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened
(18 Sep 2026, 06:00 UTC, updated 2× since).
They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by
candle on this page until it closes.
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | ALMA Break Up | indicator | 3.06 |
| ▲ | SMA Retreat Up | indicator | 2.55 |
| ▲ | EMA Retreat Up | indicator | 2.45 |
| ▲ | MAMA PRICE Retreat Up | indicator | 2.43 |
| ▲ | KAMA Retreat Up | indicator | 2.37 |
| ▲ | MIDPOINT Break Up | indicator | 2.35 |
| ▲ | MIDPRICE Break Up | indicator | 2.32 |
| ▲ | DEMA Break Up | indicator | 2.27 |
| ▲ | HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up | indicator | 2.13 |
| ▲ | MA Retreat Up | indicator | 2.03 |
| ▲ | APO Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.29 |
| ▲ | Long Line Bullish | candlestick | 1.25 |
| ▼ | RSX OB Entry | indicator | 1.18 |
| ▼ | KDJ OB Entry | indicator | 1.02 |
Trend Context
15MUPVery strong trend
30MUPSolid trend
1HUPTrend forming
2HUPChoppy / sideways
4HUPChoppy / sideways
8HUPSolid trend
12HDOWNVery strong trend
1DDOWNSolid trend
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- A dense cluster of bullish signals on the 2H chart points to strong short-term upside momentum.
- The nearest resistance at 181.95300 is the immediate target; a break above could accelerate the rally.
- Higher timeframes (12H, 1D) are bearish, so the bullish move may be a counter-trend bounce.
- Watch the support at 178.46700; a break below it invalidates the bullish setup.
The EUR/JPY 2H chart has fired a dense cluster of bullish signals, including APO Zero Cross Up, DEMA Break Up, EMA Retreat Up, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up, KAMA Retreat Up, MA Retreat Up, MAMA PRICE Retreat Up, and MIDPOINT Break Up, along with additional candlestick and indicator confirmations. This confluence suggests strong upward momentum in the short term, with the price likely to challenge the nearest resistance at 181.95300. The bullish alignment across the 15m to 1h timeframes, with very strong to forming trends, supports the immediate upside bias, while the 2H and 4H are still choppy, indicating the move may be in its early stages.
However, the higher timeframes present a warning: the 12H and 1D trends are bearish and strong, which could cap upside or reverse the move. The nearest support at 178.46700 is a critical level to watch; a break below it would invalidate the bullish setup. Traders should monitor whether the 2H and 4H trends strengthen from their current choppy state, as that would confirm the sustainability of the move. The high probability (94%) and very strong strength score suggest a high-confidence signal, but the conflicting higher timeframe trends warrant caution.
However, the higher timeframes present a warning: the 12H and 1D trends are bearish and strong, which could cap upside or reverse the move. The nearest support at 178.46700 is a critical level to watch; a break below it would invalidate the bullish setup. Traders should monitor whether the 2H and 4H trends strengthen from their current choppy state, as that would confirm the sustainability of the move. The high probability (94%) and very strong strength score suggest a high-confidence signal, but the conflicting higher timeframe trends warrant caution.
Catalysts
- ▲ Multiple indicator signals (APO, DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MA, MAMA, MIDPOINT) all fired bullish, showing strong confluence.
- ▲ Bullish trend across 15m, 30m, and 1h timeframes supports the immediate upside bias.
- ▲ The high signal probability (94%) and very strong strength score indicate robust momentum.
Risk Factors
- ▼ The 12H and 1D timeframes are bearish with strong trends, which could limit upside or reverse the move.
- ▼ The 2H and 4H trends are choppy/sideways, suggesting the bullish momentum may lack conviction.
- ▼ A break below the nearest support at 178.46700 would invalidate the bullish setup.
- ▼ The price is approaching resistance at 181.95300, which could stall the advance.
Symbol
EUR/JPY
Timeframe
2H
Direction
BUY
Conviction
0%
Strength
WEAK
Date
2026-09-18 06:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 181.95300 | 2026-09-04 |
| R2 | 185.74600 | 2026-09-02 |
| R3 | 185.98100 | 2026-08-28 |
| S1 | 178.46700 | 2026-09-17 |
| S2 | 177.81800 | 2026-09-14 |