EUR/JPY – 30M – BUY

BUY 6× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-09-18 07:30 UTC 16 hours ago

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 4× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 4× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (18 Sep 2026, 05:00 UTC, updated 6× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	ALMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.25
▲	DEMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.15
▲	MAMA PRICE Retreat Up	indicator	2.11
▲	KAMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.91
▲	MIDPOINT Retreat Up	indicator	1.90
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.66
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.57
▼	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down	indicator	1.41

Trend Context

15M

UPVery strong trend

30M

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

UPSolid trend

12H

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bullish momentum is strong on the 30-minute and lower timeframes, with multiple retreat-up signals and a BOP zero cross up.
The 15-minute to 2-hour trends are bullish, but the 12-hour and daily trends are bearish, indicating a counter-trend rally.
Key support at 178.93400 is the critical level to watch; a break below would invalidate the bullish setup.
The high signal probability and strength suggest a strong short-term move, but longer-term bearish pressure remains a risk.

The EUR/JPY 30-minute chart has triggered a cluster of bullish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCHF KD Cross Up, and multiple retreat-up signals from DEMA, KAMA, MAMA PRICE, MIDPOINT, and ALMA. This confluence indicates strong buying momentum and a potential continuation of the uptrend. The bullish alignment across the 15-minute to 2-hour timeframes supports the immediate upside bias, with the 30-minute and 1-hour trends showing solid momentum. However, the longer-term picture is bearish, with the 12-hour and daily timeframes showing strong downtrends, suggesting this is a counter-trend rally within a larger bearish structure.

Key support is identified at 178.93400, which should hold for the bullish scenario to remain valid. A break below this level would invalidate the bullish signals and likely signal a resumption of the broader downtrend. The nearest resistance is not specified, so traders should watch for potential resistance from previous swing highs or psychological levels. The high probability (93%) and very strong strength of the signals suggest a high-confidence setup, but the conflicting higher timeframe trends warrant caution and tight risk management.

Catalysts

▲ Confluence of multiple bullish indicators (BOP, STOCHF, DEMA, KAMA, MAMA, MIDPOINT, ALMA) on the 30-minute chart.
▲ Bullish trend alignment across 15-minute to 2-hour timeframes, with strong trend scores on 15m and 30m.
▲ Holding above the key support at 178.93400 provides a solid foundation for the bullish move.

Risk Factors

▼ The 12-hour and daily timeframes are bearish, which could cap upside or reverse the move.
▼ A break below the nearest support at 178.93400 would invalidate the bullish signals.
▼ Momentum may fade if the price fails to make new highs, given the lack of a defined resistance level.
▼ Choppy/sideways trends on the 2-hour and 4-hour timeframes suggest potential consolidation or whipsaw.