EUR/USD – 1H – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-09-18 16:00 UTC 18 hours ago

35.3 % – zur Vorkerze

WEAK Intraday

▲ Bullish 6 % (2.28) ▼ Bearish 94 % (34.41)

6 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

57.4% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 8.0 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Überzeugung · 6 Kerzen

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 5× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 5× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (18 Sep 2026, 14:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	BBANDS LOWER Break Down	indicator	2.39
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.00
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	1.99
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.98
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	1.96
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.94
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	1.93
▼	ALMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.93
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.90
▼	APO Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.77
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.51
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.42
▼	HT SINE Cross Down	indicator	1.22
▲	WILLR OS Entry	indicator	1.21
▲	ZSCORE Extreme Low	indicator	1.07
▼	Belt Hold Bearish	candlestick	0.98

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish signal on the 1H timeframe with multiple momentum and trend indicators aligned.
Bearish trend is consistent across all timeframes, with solid trend scores on higher timeframes.
Watch the nearest support at 1.14544; a break below could accelerate the downside.
Resistance at 1.14973 is the immediate level to monitor for any reversal or pullback.

The EUR/USD 1H signal is strongly bearish with a 93% probability and very strong strength, driven by a broad cluster of momentum and trend indicators. The APO, BOP, and STOCHF all show downward zero-line or crossovers, while WILLR is in oversold entry territory, and price has broken below the lower Bollinger Band. Additionally, DEMA, EMA, and HT Trendline are all retreating downward, confirming the bearish momentum. The candlestick group adds further weight to the sell signal.

Across timeframes, the bearish trend is consistent, with solid trend scores on the 4H, 8H, and 12H charts, while the 1H itself is choppy/sideways but still bearish. This alignment across multiple timeframes supports the signal's strength. The nearest resistance at 1.14973 is a key level to watch for a potential pullback, while the nearest support at 1.14544 is the immediate downside target. A break below this support could open the door for further declines.

Catalysts

▼ Trend alignment across multiple timeframes (15m to 1D) all bearish, with higher timeframes showing solid trends.
▼ Multiple momentum indicators (APO, BOP, STOCHF) all crossing down, confirming selling pressure.
▼ Price breaking below the lower Bollinger Band indicates strong downside momentum.
▼ EMA and DEMA retreating down reinforce the bearish trend.

Risk Factors

▲ The 1H timeframe is choppy/sideways, which could lead to false breakouts or whipsaws.
▲ Oversold conditions (WILLR) may trigger a short-term bounce, especially if price approaches support.
▲ If price reclaims the resistance at 1.14973, the bearish signal could be invalidated.
▲ Higher timeframe trends, while bearish, are only 'trend forming' on the daily, so momentum could fade.