GBP/JPY – 1H – BUY

BUY 2× UPDATED

2026-09-18 16:00 UTC 19 hours ago

59.3 % ↑ +24.0 zur Vorkerze

STRONG ⚡ Confluence +1% Intraday

▲ Bullish 78 % (20.74) ▼ Bearish 22 % (5.75)

5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

51.8% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 78.3 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Überzeugung · 6 Kerzen

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 3× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 3× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (18 Sep 2026, 14:00 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	SAR Flip Bearish	indicator	2.13
▲	MAMA PRICE Retreat Up	indicator	2.07
▲	MIDPOINT Retreat Up	indicator	2.03
▲	MIDPRICE Retreat Up	indicator	1.87
▲	DEMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.80
▼	AO Saucer Bearish	indicator	1.70
▲	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up	indicator	1.65
▲	STOCHRSI KD Cross Up	indicator	1.55
▼	ACCBANDS UPPER Upper Retreat	indicator	1.54
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.49
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.02
▲	Spinning Top Bullish	candlestick	0.63
▲	SUPERTREND LEG Leg2 Up	indicator3	0.00

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNTrend forming

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

UPSolid trend

12H

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

The 1H signal is bullish with high probability, backed by a wide cluster of indicators (BOP, STOCHRSI, DEMA, MAMA, MIDPOINT, MIDPRICE).
The 1H and 2H timeframes are solidly bullish, but the 12H and 1D are bearish, so the trade is counter-trend on higher timeframes.
Watch the nearest support at 207.864; a break below would invalidate the bullish setup.
The SAR Flip Bearish is a caution flag, but the retreat-up signals suggest it's a pullback, not a reversal.

The 1H GBP/JPY signal is bullish, with a 73% probability and moderate strength. The indicator cluster is broad: BOP Zero Cross Up signals improving buying pressure, STOCHRSI KD Cross Up shows momentum turning higher, and the DEMA Retreat Up, MAMA PRICE Retreat Up, MIDPOINT Retreat Up, and MIDPRICE Retreat Up all confirm price pulling back to rising moving averages and bouncing. The SAR Flip Bearish initially seems contradictory, but in the context of a retreat-up pattern, it can mark a temporary pullback within the larger uptrend, not a reversal. The HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up adds a cyclical bullish component.

The trend across timeframes is mixed but supportive at the trade horizon. The 1H, 2H, 4H, and 8H timeframes are all bullish (with 1H, 2H, and 8H at solid 3/5 strength), aligning with the 1H signal. However, the 15M and 30M are bearish, and the 12H and 1D are bearish (12H very strong at 4/5), creating a conflict. The nearest support is at 207.864; if price holds above this level, the bullish case is reinforced. Resistance is not defined, so upside targets are open. The key is whether the shorter-term bearish pressure fades and the higher-timeframe bullish momentum can override the longer-term bearish trend.

Catalysts

▲ Strong bullish alignment on the 1H, 2H, 4H, and 8H timeframes.
▲ Multiple retreat-up signals (DEMA, MAMA, MIDPOINT, MIDPRICE) indicate price is bouncing off rising averages.
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up and STOCHRSI KD Cross Up confirm improving momentum and buying pressure.
▲ HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up adds a cyclical bullish component.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher-timeframe bearish trends (12H and 1D) could drag price lower.
▼ Shorter-term bearish momentum on 15M and 30M may delay or reverse the bullish move.
▼ The SAR Flip Bearish suggests a potential trend change, and if price breaks below 207.864, the setup is invalidated.
▼ A lack of defined resistance means upside targets are unclear, making risk management more challenging.