GBP/JPY – 2H – BUY
BUY 3× UPDATED
16 hours ago
35.3 %
– zur Vorkerze
WEAK
⚡ Confluence +20%
Intraday
▲ Bullish 94 % (69.40)
▼ Bearish 6 % (4.07)
6 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit
55.4% of closed signals in this class ended above zero
model score 0.0 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Überzeugung · 8 Kerzen
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Signal evolution
Conviction, candle by candle
conviction per candle
2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads
Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.
Signals Fired
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened
(18 Sep 2026, 04:00 UTC, updated 3× since).
They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by
candle on this page until it closes.
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | ALMA Break Up | indicator | 3.04 |
| ▲ | MIDPOINT Break Up | indicator | 2.81 |
| ▲ | HT TRENDLINE Break Up | indicator | 2.80 |
| ▲ | MAMA PRICE Break Up | indicator | 2.58 |
| ▲ | DEMA Break Up | indicator | 2.47 |
| ▲ | EMA Break Up | indicator | 2.41 |
| ▲ | BBANDS UPPER Break Up | indicator | 2.11 |
| ▲ | MACD Signal Cross Up | indicator | 1.90 |
| ▲ | HT SINE Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.69 |
| ▲ | TSI Signal Cross Up | indicator | 1.69 |
| ▲ | SUPERTREND Flip Bullish | indicator | 1.66 |
| ▲ | VORTEX Cross Up | indicator | 1.64 |
| ▼ | STOCHF KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.63 |
| ▲ | SAR Flip Bullish | indicator | 1.58 |
| ▲ | MOM Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.55 |
| ▲ | ROC Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.55 |
| ▲ | ROCR Cross Up | indicator | 1.55 |
| ▲ | AROON Cross Up | indicator | 1.45 |
| ▲ | AROONOSC Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.45 |
| ▼ | HT TRENDMODE Mode to Cycle | indicator | 1.44 |
| ▲ | DI CROSS Cross Up | indicator | 1.38 |
| ▲ | DM CROSS Cross Up | indicator | 1.22 |
| ▲ | BIAS Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.16 |
| ▲ | AROON Strong Uptrend | indicator | 1.09 |
| ▲ | DPO Zero Cross Up | indicator | 0.90 |
| ▼ | WILLR OB Entry | indicator | 0.70 |
Trend Context
15MUPSolid trend
30MUPSolid trend
1HUPTrend forming
2HUPTrend forming
4HDOWNTrend forming
8HDOWNSolid trend
12HDOWNVery strong trend
1DDOWNSolid trend
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- A powerful bullish signal cluster on the 2H chart suggests strong short-term upward momentum.
- Short-term timeframes (15m-2H) are aligned bullish, but higher timeframes (4H-1D) remain bearish, creating a conflict.
- Watch the 209.46500 resistance; a break could signal further upside, while 207.29500 support is the key invalidation level.
- This is likely a counter-trend move within a larger downtrend, so caution is warranted.
The 2H GBP/JPY signal has fired a dense cluster of bullish momentum indicators, including AROON Cross Up, DI Cross Up, MACD Signal Cross Up, and MOM/ROC Zero Cross Ups, alongside more than 18 additional signals. This confluence suggests a strong short-term upward push, with the AROON Strong Uptrend and DM Cross Up confirming that buyers are firmly in control on the 2H timeframe. The immediate trend alignment is supportive: the 15m, 30m, and 1h timeframes are all bullish, with the 2H trend forming, which points to a coherent intraday bullish bias. However, the higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H, 1D) remain bearish, with the 12H showing a very strong downtrend, creating a clear conflict between the short-term and long-term trends.
Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 209.46500 and support at 207.29500. A sustained move above resistance would signal that the bullish momentum is overcoming the higher-timeframe bearish pressure, while a break below support would invalidate the short-term bullish setup. Given the very strong signal strength (92% probability) but the conflicting higher-timeframe trends, traders should treat this as a counter-trend bounce within a larger downtrend, requiring careful risk management and confirmation from price action.
Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 209.46500 and support at 207.29500. A sustained move above resistance would signal that the bullish momentum is overcoming the higher-timeframe bearish pressure, while a break below support would invalidate the short-term bullish setup. Given the very strong signal strength (92% probability) but the conflicting higher-timeframe trends, traders should treat this as a counter-trend bounce within a larger downtrend, requiring careful risk management and confirmation from price action.
Catalysts
- ▲ Over 20 bullish indicator signals firing simultaneously on the 2H timeframe, including AROON, DI, MACD, and MOM crossovers.
- ▲ Trend alignment across the 15m, 30m, and 1h timeframes supports a short-term bullish bias.
- ▲ The AROON Strong Uptrend and DM Cross Up confirm strong buyer control on the 2H chart.
- ▲ High signal probability (92%) and very strong strength rating.
Risk Factors
- ▼ Higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H, 1D) are all bearish, with the 12H showing a very strong downtrend, which could cap upside.
- ▼ The nearest resistance at 209.46500 may act as a strong barrier, especially if it aligns with a higher-timeframe trendline or level.
- ▼ A break below the nearest support at 207.29500 would invalidate the bullish signal and likely trigger a swift reversal.
- ▼ Momentum could fade if the price fails to hold above the 2H moving averages or if the higher-timeframe downtrend resumes.
Symbol
GBP/JPY
Timeframe
2H
Direction
BUY
Conviction
0%
Strength
WEAK
Date
2026-09-18 04:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 209.46500 | 2026-09-16 |
| R2 | 211.80800 | 2026-09-04 |
| R3 | 216.82600 | 2026-09-01 |
| S1 | 207.29500 | 2026-09-11 |
| S2 | 207.08700 | 2026-09-08 |