GBP/JPY – 2H – BUY

BUY 3× UPDATED
16 hours ago
35.3 % zur Vorkerze
WEAK ⚡ Confluence +20% Intraday
▲ Bullish 94 % (69.40) ▼ Bearish 6 % (4.07)
6 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit
55.4% of closed signals in this class ended above zero
model score 0.0 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Überzeugung · 8 Kerzen
GBP/JPY  ·  2H
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 8 × 2h 0%
conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (18 Sep 2026, 04:00 UTC, updated 3× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
ALMA Break Up indicator 3.04
MIDPOINT Break Up indicator 2.81
HT TRENDLINE Break Up indicator 2.80
MAMA PRICE Break Up indicator 2.58
DEMA Break Up indicator 2.47
EMA Break Up indicator 2.41
BBANDS UPPER Break Up indicator 2.11
MACD Signal Cross Up indicator 1.90
HT SINE Zero Cross Up indicator 1.69
TSI Signal Cross Up indicator 1.69
SUPERTREND Flip Bullish indicator 1.66
VORTEX Cross Up indicator 1.64
STOCHF KD Cross Down indicator 1.63
SAR Flip Bullish indicator 1.58
MOM Zero Cross Up indicator 1.55
ROC Zero Cross Up indicator 1.55
ROCR Cross Up indicator 1.55
AROON Cross Up indicator 1.45
AROONOSC Zero Cross Up indicator 1.45
HT TRENDMODE Mode to Cycle indicator 1.44
DI CROSS Cross Up indicator 1.38
DM CROSS Cross Up indicator 1.22
BIAS Zero Cross Up indicator 1.16
AROON Strong Uptrend indicator 1.09
DPO Zero Cross Up indicator 0.90
WILLR OB Entry indicator 0.70

Trend Context

15M
UPSolid trend
30M
UPSolid trend
1H
UPTrend forming
2H
UPTrend forming
4H
DOWNTrend forming
8H
DOWNSolid trend
12H
DOWNVery strong trend
1D
DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A powerful bullish signal cluster on the 2H chart suggests strong short-term upward momentum.
  • Short-term timeframes (15m-2H) are aligned bullish, but higher timeframes (4H-1D) remain bearish, creating a conflict.
  • Watch the 209.46500 resistance; a break could signal further upside, while 207.29500 support is the key invalidation level.
  • This is likely a counter-trend move within a larger downtrend, so caution is warranted.
The 2H GBP/JPY signal has fired a dense cluster of bullish momentum indicators, including AROON Cross Up, DI Cross Up, MACD Signal Cross Up, and MOM/ROC Zero Cross Ups, alongside more than 18 additional signals. This confluence suggests a strong short-term upward push, with the AROON Strong Uptrend and DM Cross Up confirming that buyers are firmly in control on the 2H timeframe. The immediate trend alignment is supportive: the 15m, 30m, and 1h timeframes are all bullish, with the 2H trend forming, which points to a coherent intraday bullish bias. However, the higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H, 1D) remain bearish, with the 12H showing a very strong downtrend, creating a clear conflict between the short-term and long-term trends.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 209.46500 and support at 207.29500. A sustained move above resistance would signal that the bullish momentum is overcoming the higher-timeframe bearish pressure, while a break below support would invalidate the short-term bullish setup. Given the very strong signal strength (92% probability) but the conflicting higher-timeframe trends, traders should treat this as a counter-trend bounce within a larger downtrend, requiring careful risk management and confirmation from price action.
Catalysts
  • Over 20 bullish indicator signals firing simultaneously on the 2H timeframe, including AROON, DI, MACD, and MOM crossovers.
  • Trend alignment across the 15m, 30m, and 1h timeframes supports a short-term bullish bias.
  • The AROON Strong Uptrend and DM Cross Up confirm strong buyer control on the 2H chart.
  • High signal probability (92%) and very strong strength rating.
Risk Factors
  • Higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H, 1D) are all bearish, with the 12H showing a very strong downtrend, which could cap upside.
  • The nearest resistance at 209.46500 may act as a strong barrier, especially if it aligns with a higher-timeframe trendline or level.
  • A break below the nearest support at 207.29500 would invalidate the bullish signal and likely trigger a swift reversal.
  • Momentum could fade if the price fails to hold above the 2H moving averages or if the higher-timeframe downtrend resumes.
Symbol GBP/JPY
Timeframe 2H
Direction BUY
Conviction 0%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-09-18 04:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 209.46500 2026-09-16
R2 211.80800 2026-09-04
R3 216.82600 2026-09-01
S1 207.29500 2026-09-11
S2 207.08700 2026-09-08

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