ETH/BTC – 1H – SELL

SELL 3× UPDATED

2026-09-19 18:00 UTC 5 hours ago

35.9 % ↓ −31.2 zur Vorkerze

WEAK Intraday

▲ Bullish 3 % (1.29) ▼ Bearish 97 % (41.04)

6 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

57.4% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 0.0 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Überzeugung · 6 Kerzen

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 9.3 % vs 37.5 % average · stopped out 46.8 % vs 19.8 % (Crypto, 570 closed runs). Not a reason to act — a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (19 Sep 2026, 19:00 UTC, updated 3× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%)break + retest	fibonacci	1.91
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.81
▼	QSTICK Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.65
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.48
▼	CCI Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.44
▼	MOM Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.40
▼	ROC Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.40
▼	ROCR Cross Down	indicator	1.40
▼	BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down	indicator	1.38
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.35
▼	TTM TREND Trend Down	indicator	1.26

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

12H

UPSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bearish momentum signals on 1H suggest a short-term pullback, but the higher-timeframe trend is still bullish.
Watch the 0.03183 support level; a break below could confirm the bearish move.
The 0.03270 resistance is the key level to reclaim for bulls to regain control.
The conflict between 1H bearish momentum and higher-timeframe bullish trend calls for patience.

The 1H ETH/BTC chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including BOP, CCI, MOM, ROC, and ROCR zero-cross downs, a STOCHF KD cross down, and retreats from the upper Bollinger Band and midprice. This indicates a sharp loss of upside momentum and a likely shift to short-term selling pressure. However, the broader trend across all timeframes remains bullish, with solid trends on the 12H and 1D, and trend-forming on the 1H. This creates a conflict: the immediate momentum is bearish, but the higher-timeframe trend is still up.

Key levels to watch are nearest resistance at 0.03270 and nearest support at 0.03183. A break below support would confirm the bearish momentum and could lead to further downside, while a bounce off support would suggest the pullback is just a pause within the larger uptrend. The high probability (100%) and very strong strength of the signals suggest the pullback is real, but traders should be cautious about shorting into a bullish higher-timeframe trend without confirmation of a breakdown.

Catalysts

▼ A dense cluster of bearish indicators (BOP, CCI, MOM, ROC, ROCR, STOCHF) all crossing down simultaneously.
▼ Price retreating from the upper Bollinger Band and midprice, indicating a rejection at higher levels.
▼ Very strong signal strength and 100% probability, suggesting high conviction in the short-term move.
▼ Fibonacci levels may provide additional confluence for a pullback.

Risk Factors

▲ The higher-timeframe trend (12H, 1D) is solidly bullish, which could absorb the 1H bearish pressure.
▲ If the 0.03183 support holds, the pullback may be shallow and reverse quickly.
▲ The 15m to 2h timeframes are bullish (trend forming), which could counter the 1H signal.
▲ If price breaks above 0.03270 resistance, the bearish signal would be invalidated.