ETH/BTC – 30M – SELL

SELL 4× UPDATED CLOSED
19 hours ago
ETH/BTC  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 17 × 30m 5%
conviction per candle 10× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 10× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (20 Sep 2026, 14:00 UTC, updated 4× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
Trendline Break Downbreak + retest trendline 1.74
KAMA Retreat Down indicator 1.72
VORTEX Cross Down indicator 1.67
CCI Zero Cross Down indicator 1.65
SMA 200 Retreat Down indicator 1.62
DX Trend Strong indicator 1.61
EMA Retreat Down indicator 1.61
MA Retreat Down indicator 1.59
HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down indicator 1.49
STOCH KD Cross Down indicator 1.30
TTM TREND Trend Down indicator 1.19
BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.15
Belt Hold Bearish candlestick 0.84
Bearish Engulfing candlestick 0.81
Bearish Separating Lines candlestick 0.62

Trend Context

15M
DOWNTrend forming
30M
DOWNSolid trend
1H
DOWNTrend forming
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
UPChoppy / sideways
8H
UPTrend forming
12H
UPSolid trend
1D
UPSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A strong bearish signal cluster has formed on the 30-minute chart, with multiple indicators aligning to the downside.
  • Short-term timeframes (15m to 2h) are all bearish, but the higher timeframes (12h and 1d) remain bullish, suggesting a pullback rather than a reversal.
  • Watch the nearest support at 0.03197; a break below could extend the decline, while a hold may lead to a bounce.
  • Resistance at 0.03259 is the key level to monitor—a reclaim would invalidate the bearish setup.
The ETH/BTC 30-minute chart has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a Trendline Break Down, multiple zero-cross downs in BOP and CCI, a strong DX trend score, and a host of retreat signals from EMA, KAMA, and higher-timeframe trendlines. This confluence points to a decisive rejection at resistance and a shift in short-term momentum to the downside. The bearish alignment across the 15m, 30m, 1h, and 2h timeframes reinforces the signal, with the 30m showing a solid trend (3/5).

However, the higher timeframes remain bullish, with 12h and 1d both showing solid uptrends (3/5). This creates a classic pullback scenario within a larger bullish structure. The immediate focus is on the nearest support at 0.03197; a break below could accelerate the decline, while a hold could lead to a bounce. Resistance at 0.03259 is the key invalidation level for the bearish setup—if price reclaims this, the short-term bearish thesis weakens.
Catalysts
  • Confluence of multiple bearish signals: Trendline Break Down, BOP Zero Cross Down, CCI Zero Cross Down, and STOCH KD Cross Down.
  • Strong trend score on the 30m (3/5) and consistent bearish alignment across four consecutive timeframes.
  • Retreat signals from EMA, KAMA, and higher-timeframe trendlines confirm the rejection from resistance.
  • A very strong probability rating (90%) and strong signal strength increase the likelihood of follow-through.
Risk Factors
  • Higher timeframes (12h and 1d) are solidly bullish, which could limit downside and lead to a bounce.
  • The 4h and 8h timeframes are bullish/choppy, adding uncertainty to the medium-term trend.
  • If price reclaims the 0.03259 resistance, the bearish signal is invalidated and a move higher is likely.
  • Momentum could fade if the price holds above support and forms a higher low, signaling a potential reversal.
Symbol ETH/BTC
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Conviction 5%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-09-20 13:30
cat_ Crypto Crypto

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.03259 2026-09-19
R2 0.03270 2026-09-19
S1 0.03197 2026-09-20
S2 0.03183 2026-09-18

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