AUD/USD – 30M – SELL
SELL 11× UPDATED CLOSED
16 hours ago
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Signal evolution
Conviction, candle by candle
conviction per candle
8× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads
Dropped below 35% 8× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.
Signals Fired
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (20 Sep 2026, 21:30 UTC, updated 11× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | WILLR OB Exit | indicator | 2.70 |
| ▼ | SUPERTREND Flip Bearish | indicator | 2.30 |
| ▲ | CTI OB Exit | indicator | 2.17 |
| ▼ | ICHIMOKU Cloud Bearish | indicator | 2.16 |
| ▲ | MIDPRICE Retreat Up | indicator | 2.00 |
| ▲ | HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up | indicator | 1.99 |
| ▲ | MIDPOINT Retreat Up | indicator | 1.94 |
| ▲ | DX Trend Strong | indicator | 1.92 |
| ▲ | EMA Retreat Up | indicator | 1.92 |
| ▲ | MA Retreat Up | indicator | 1.92 |
| ▲ | ALMA Retreat Up | indicator | 1.91 |
| ▲ | DEMA Retreat Up | indicator | 1.89 |
| ▲ | KAMA Retreat Up | indicator | 1.87 |
| ▲ | MAMA PRICE Retreat Up | indicator | 1.87 |
| ▼ | SAR Flip Bearish | indicator | 1.86 |
| ▲ | HMA Retreat Up | indicator | 1.82 |
| ▼ | BIAS Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.75 |
| ▲ | STOCHF KD Cross Up | indicator | 1.74 |
| ▼ | CMO Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.70 |
| ▼ | BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down | indicator | 1.70 |
| ▼ | RSI Midline Cross Down | indicator | 1.69 |
| ▲ | BOP Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.63 |
| ▼ | KELTNER MID Cross Down | indicator | 1.62 |
| ▼ | AO Saucer Bearish | indicator | 1.58 |
| ▼ | SMI Signal Cross Down | indicator | 1.56 |
| ▼ | DI CROSS Cross Down | indicator | 1.55 |
| ▼ | MOM Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.46 |
| ▼ | ROC Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.46 |
| ▼ | ROCR Cross Down | indicator | 1.46 |
| ▼ | DPO Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.46 |
| ▼ | ERI BEAR Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.41 |
| ▼ | DM CROSS Cross Down | indicator | 1.36 |
| ▼ | KDJ Cross Down | indicator | 1.35 |
| ▼ | ER Level Cross Down | indicator | 1.30 |
| ▼ | CCI Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.17 |
| ▼ | Three Outside Down | candlestick | 0.73 |
| ▼ | Falling Window | candlestick | 0.60 |
| ▲ | Bullish Meeting Lines | candlestick | 0.51 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNSolid trend
30MDOWNTrend forming
1HUPChoppy / sideways
2HUPChoppy / sideways
4HDOWNTrend forming
8HDOWNSolid trend
12HDOWNTrend forming
1DDOWNTrend forming
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- A dense cluster of bearish momentum signals on the 30-minute chart points to continued short-term downside.
- The trend is bearish across most timeframes, with the 15-minute and 8-hour showing solid trends.
- Immediate support is at 0.71031; a break below opens the door to further declines.
- Resistance at 0.71288 is the key level to watch—a break above would invalidate the sell signal.
The AUD/USD 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Up, CCI Zero Cross Down, CMO Zero Cross Down, DI Cross Down, DM Cross Down, MOM Zero Cross Down, and ROC Zero Cross Down, alongside a DX Trend Strong reading. This broad-based momentum and directional alignment indicates that selling pressure has intensified on the short-term timeframe. The signal probability is 58% with weak strength, suggesting the move is developing rather than mature. The nearest support at 0.71031 is the immediate downside target, while resistance at 0.71288 caps any near-term bounce.
Across timeframes, the picture is mixed but leans bearish. The 15-minute and 8-hour charts show solid bearish trends (3/5), and the 30-minute, 4-hour, 12-hour, and 1-day are all bearish but forming (2/5). The 1-hour and 2-hour charts are bullish but choppy and sideways (1/5), which may offer temporary counter-trend resistance. The confluence of bearish momentum on the lower timeframes with a solid bearish trend on the 8-hour suggests that the short-term sell signal aligns with the medium-term direction. However, the weak signal strength and the conflicting bullish higher timeframes warrant caution. A break below 0.71031 would confirm further downside, while a move above 0.71288 would invalidate the bearish setup.
Across timeframes, the picture is mixed but leans bearish. The 15-minute and 8-hour charts show solid bearish trends (3/5), and the 30-minute, 4-hour, 12-hour, and 1-day are all bearish but forming (2/5). The 1-hour and 2-hour charts are bullish but choppy and sideways (1/5), which may offer temporary counter-trend resistance. The confluence of bearish momentum on the lower timeframes with a solid bearish trend on the 8-hour suggests that the short-term sell signal aligns with the medium-term direction. However, the weak signal strength and the conflicting bullish higher timeframes warrant caution. A break below 0.71031 would confirm further downside, while a move above 0.71288 would invalidate the bearish setup.
Catalysts
- ▼ Broad alignment of multiple momentum oscillators (BOP, CCI, CMO, MOM, ROC) all crossing down.
- ▼ DI and DM crosses confirm a bearish directional move on the 30-minute chart.
- ▼ DX Trend Strong indicates trend strength, supporting the continuation of the bearish move.
- ▼ Solid bearish trends on the 15-minute and 8-hour timeframes reinforce the short-term signal.
Risk Factors
- ▲ Bullish and choppy 1-hour and 2-hour timeframes could provide counter-trend support and stall the decline.
- ▲ Weak signal strength (58%) suggests the move may lack conviction and could reverse quickly.
- ▲ A break above resistance at 0.71288 would invalidate the bearish setup and could trigger a short squeeze.
- ▲ Momentum indicators are already oversold on the short timeframe, risking a bounce or consolidation.
Symbol
AUD/USD
Timeframe
30M
Direction
SELL
Conviction
87%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-09-21 00:20
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 0.71288 | 2026-09-18 |
| R2 | 0.71358 | 2026-09-18 |
| R3 | 0.71364 | 2026-09-16 |
| S1 | 0.71031 | 2026-09-18 |
| S2 | 0.70745 | 2026-09-16 |