Bitcoin BTC · Forecast & Analysis
Heads-up: USD CPI m/m is due in 4 h (high impact). The outlook can shift noticeably around it.
Heads-up: USD Core CPI n.s.a. m/m is due in 4 h (high impact). The outlook can shift noticeably around it.
Heads-up: USD Core CPI is due in 4 h (high impact). The outlook can shift noticeably around it.
Heads-up: USD Core CPI y/y is due in 4 h (high impact). The outlook can shift noticeably around it.
Heads-up: USD CPI y/y is due in 4 h (high impact). The outlook can shift noticeably around it.
Heads-up: USD Core CPI m/m is due in 4 h (high impact). The outlook can shift noticeably around it.
Heads-up: USD CPI is due in 4 h (high impact). The outlook can shift noticeably around it.
Bitcoin is in a bearish phase after an unusually steep month-long slide, driven by heavy ETF outflows and a sell signal cluster across nearly every timeframe. Counter-trend bounce signals on the shorter charts have so far only paused the decline.
News situation · 231 items / 30 D
17 of 231 straight from the issuer or regulator
Technicals · trend now
The 2 most recent active signals are bullish (since 09.11.). The signal situation shown, the trend across all timeframes, is still bearish and may be turning.
5 of 8 timeframes down
8 active signals (7 long / 1 short), strongest: 1H at 100 %
BTC chart by timeframe
Trendlines, support and resistance and patterns come from the newest signal of the selected timeframe.
Outlook for Bitcoin
Direction, typical moves and upcoming dates from our own price, news and calendar data, recalculated on every visit. An assessment, not investment advice.
No price statement: our price history does not reach that far. Based on 231 news items.
What drives it
- ETF outflows of about $1.28 billion last week, the largest since late June, drain institutional demand.
- Trend measures point down from the 15-minute to the 12-hour chart, with a dense bearish cluster on the 4H.
- Over $1 billion in leveraged longs were liquidated as price broke below the 74,400-75,000 support area.
- A strong payrolls report lifted odds of a December rate hike, a liquidity headwind for crypto.
What argues against it
- Momentum and oversold-exit signals on the 2H, 12H and daily charts point to a bounce that could extend.
- The daily trend is sideways rather than down, which can limit how deep the move goes.
- A soft CPI print could spark a relief rally, and funds like Fidelity's still took in money last week.
What would change the picture
- A sustained break above the 81,196 resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.
- A daily close below 73,000 could accelerate selling, with 70,000 cited as the next focus.
- High-impact US CPI figures land later today; a softer print could lift Bitcoin, a hotter one add pressure.
Coming up
- US: Consumer prices · expected 2.8%, previous 2.6%
- US: Jobless claims
Economic data for BTC
Full calendarComing up
- TodayUSDCPI m/m●●●Forecast 0.5%Previous 0.6%in 4h
- TodayUSDCore CPI n.s.a. m/m●●●Previous 0.4%in 4h
- TodayUSDCore CPI●●●Forecast 339.796Previous 338.896in 4h
- TodayUSDCore CPI y/y●●●Forecast 2.8%Previous 2.6%in 4h
- TodayUSDCPI y/y●●●Forecast 4.2%Previous 3.7%in 4h
- TodayUSDCore CPI m/m●●●Forecast 0.2%Previous 0.3%in 4h
- TodayUSDCPI●●●Forecast 338.683Previous 336.298in 4h
- November 12, 2026USDInitial Jobless Claims●●●in 2 days
All times UTC. Assessed against the consensus forecast, otherwise against the previous value. Price reaction measured on BTCUSDT.
Trend across all eight timeframes
Every timeframe from 15 minutes to 12 hours trends lower, and the 4H chart carries a dense cluster of fresh bearish signals just hours old. Bounces on shorter charts sit inside that downtrend; the daily picture is sideways, and 81,196 is the level whose break would change the bearish read.
What this means for your trading style
- The scalping verdict is bearish; the strong 30-minute uptrend signals are short-lived counter-trend moves inside the larger decline, capped near 76,249.99.
- The intraday verdict is bearish; momentum crosses on the 1h and 2h describe a tactical bounce that fades unless resistance at 81,196 gives way.
- The swing verdict is bearish; the 4h and 8h charts hold the strongest sell confluence, and the 8h rebound lacks confirmation above 81,971.
- The position verdict is bearish; the 12h and daily charts show oversold rebound attempts, but the broader downtrend stands while 74,967.97 holds.
Both worlds over time
One dot per day and source, 30 days. Technicals: trend across all timeframes at the close of the day. News: net direction of the day.
The 2 most recent active signals are bullish (since 09.11.).
8 active signals for BTC
Last 72 hours
What is being reported about BTC
In-depth analysis of Bitcoin
AI-generated · as of November 10, 2026
The largest cryptocurrency has fallen from above $87,000 in early October to roughly $74,750, an unusually large drop for this asset over the past month, and the past week added a clear further leg lower even though the last 24 hours were little changed.
Read full analysis
The news flow centres on US spot bitcoin ETFs, which shed about $1.28 billion last week, the most since late June, and on more than $1 billion in liquidated leveraged longs after price slipped below the 74,400-75,000 area. A Democratic sweep in Washington, a Binance hack and a strong payrolls report that raised December rate-hike odds added pressure, and BTC now trades below its 50-week average near 75,492 and below the cost basis of recent buyers around 75,691, which may act as a ceiling. On the chart, trend measures point down from the 15-minute to the 12-hour timeframe, and the 4H carries a dense cluster of fresh sell signals. At the same time, oversold-exit and bounce signals on the 2H, 12H and daily charts have produced upward attempts, which is why the news side stops at neutral even though headlines lean negative. Key levels are resistance at 81,196 and support at 74,967.97. High-impact US CPI figures land later today; a softer print could offer relief, a hotter one would likely add pressure.
Frequently asked questions about Bitcoin
Why did Bitcoin fall so sharply over the past month?
The slide from above $87,000 reflects faltering spot ETF demand, with roughly $1.28 billion leaving US funds last week, the largest outflow since late June. Over $1 billion in leveraged longs were liquidated, a strong payrolls report raised December rate-hike odds, and the Democratic election sweep plus a Binance hack dented confidence.
What does today's CPI release mean for BTC?
Several high-impact US inflation figures land later today. Analysts cited expect only fleeting relief from a soft print while ETF flows and Fed policy stay unfriendly, whereas a hotter reading would likely add pressure. Either way, volatility around the release is likely, with 73,000 and 81,196 the levels watchers cite.
What would turn the bearish picture around?
Two things stand out. Technically, a sustained move above the 81,196 resistance would invalidate the bearish setup, while a daily close below 73,000 could accelerate selling toward 70,000. Fundamentally, renewed ETF inflows would be the clearest sign that institutional demand is returning, which analysts call necessary for a lasting rally.
📝 Overview Generated automatically
BTC has been the subject of 3057 signals across 3057 articles in the last 365 days. Sentiment skews Bullish (40%).
Breakdown: 1229 bullish, 1106 bearish, 722 neutral.
Most-cited catalysts: Risk-off sentiment (4×), Institutional adoption narrative reinforced (2×), ETF outflows (2×). Most-cited risk factors: Regulatory crackdowns on crypto (5×), Broader crypto market volatility (5×), Regulatory crackdown on crypto (5×).
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