₿ Crypto · Global

Bitcoin BTC · Forecast & Analysis

Crypto Global
74,573.40
+0.31 %
7 D · BTC/USDT
Updated 11 min ago
Overall assessment · Trend + news, checked against price
▼ Bearish medium Data coverage good
Price +0.31 % 24h · -2.92 % 7d · -10.14 % 30dTrend ▼ 5 of 8 timeframesPossible turn: The 2 most recent active signals are bullish (since 09.11.).News ▬ 231 reports, latest 10.11.

Heads-up: USD CPI m/m is due in 4 h (high impact). The outlook can shift noticeably around it.

Heads-up: USD Core CPI n.s.a. m/m is due in 4 h (high impact). The outlook can shift noticeably around it.

Heads-up: USD Core CPI is due in 4 h (high impact). The outlook can shift noticeably around it.

Heads-up: USD Core CPI y/y is due in 4 h (high impact). The outlook can shift noticeably around it.

Heads-up: USD CPI y/y is due in 4 h (high impact). The outlook can shift noticeably around it.

Heads-up: USD Core CPI m/m is due in 4 h (high impact). The outlook can shift noticeably around it.

Heads-up: USD CPI is due in 4 h (high impact). The outlook can shift noticeably around it.

Bitcoin is in a bearish phase after an unusually steep month-long slide, driven by heavy ETF outflows and a sell signal cluster across nearly every timeframe. Counter-trend bounce signals on the shorter charts have so far only paused the decline.

News situation · 231 items / 30 D
▬ Neutral weak Data coverage good
4.6 Impact / 10
By source type
News 213 Release 8 Earnings 5 Filing 3 IPO 1 Analyst 1

17 of 231 straight from the issuer or regulator

Technicals · trend now
▼ Bearish medium Data coverage good
Possible turn

The 2 most recent active signals are bullish (since 09.11.). The signal situation shown, the trend across all timeframes, is still bearish and may be turning.

5 of 8 timeframes down

8 active signals (7 long / 1 short), strongest: 1H at 100 %

AI-generated · as of November 10, 2026
24 h
+0.31 %
Active signals
8 (7↑ / 1↓)
Technicals
BearishPossible turn: The 2 most recent active signals are bullish (since 09.11.).
News, 30 days
Neutral
Chart

BTC chart by timeframe

Trendlines, support and resistance and patterns come from the newest signal of the selected timeframe.

BTC · 1H
Loading chart

Outlook

Outlook for Bitcoin

Direction, typical moves and upcoming dates from our own price, news and calendar data, recalculated on every visit. An assessment, not investment advice.

Next 7 days · 4h–8h trend and news
▼ Bearish medium
Data coverage good
60 % technicals 40 % news
Next 4 weeks · 12h–1d trend and news
▼ Bearish medium
Data coverage good
30 % technicals 70 % news
Next 3 months · news of the last 30 days only
▬ Neutral weak
Data coverage good

No price statement: our price history does not reach that far. Based on 231 news items.

What drives it
  • ETF outflows of about $1.28 billion last week, the largest since late June, drain institutional demand.
  • Trend measures point down from the 15-minute to the 12-hour chart, with a dense bearish cluster on the 4H.
  • Over $1 billion in leveraged longs were liquidated as price broke below the 74,400-75,000 support area.
  • A strong payrolls report lifted odds of a December rate hike, a liquidity headwind for crypto.
What argues against it
  • Momentum and oversold-exit signals on the 2H, 12H and daily charts point to a bounce that could extend.
  • The daily trend is sideways rather than down, which can limit how deep the move goes.
  • A soft CPI print could spark a relief rally, and funds like Fidelity's still took in money last week.
What would change the picture
  • A sustained break above the 81,196 resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.
  • A daily close below 73,000 could accelerate selling, with 70,000 cited as the next focus.
  • High-impact US CPI figures land later today; a softer print could lift Bitcoin, a hotter one add pressure.
Coming up
  • US: Consumer prices · expected 2.8%, previous 2.6%
  • US: Jobless claims
All dates ↓ All times UTC.
Typical move

7 days: typically ±2.2%, strong from ±4.4%, actual −2.9%

30 days: typically ±4.5%, strong from ±9.1%, actual −10.1%

Economic data for BTC

Full calendar

Coming up

  • TodayUSDCPI m/m●●●Forecast 0.5%Previous 0.6%in 4h
  • TodayUSDCore CPI n.s.a. m/m●●●Previous 0.4%in 4h
  • TodayUSDCore CPI●●●Forecast 339.796Previous 338.896in 4h
  • TodayUSDCore CPI y/y●●●Forecast 2.8%Previous 2.6%in 4h
  • TodayUSDCPI y/y●●●Forecast 4.2%Previous 3.7%in 4h
  • TodayUSDCore CPI m/m●●●Forecast 0.2%Previous 0.3%in 4h
  • TodayUSDCPI●●●Forecast 338.683Previous 336.298in 4h
  • November 12, 2026USDInitial Jobless Claims●●●in 2 days

All times UTC. Assessed against the consensus forecast, otherwise against the previous value. Price reaction measured on BTCUSDT.

Technicals

Trend across all eight timeframes

15M Scalping ▬ Neutral Choppy / sideways ADX 13.9
30M Scalping ▬ Neutral Choppy / sideways ADX 11.9
1H Intraday ▬ Neutral Choppy / sideways ADX 12.2
2H Intraday ▼ Bearish Solid trend ADX 41.5
4H Swing ▼ Bearish Solid trend ADX 42.1
8H Swing ▼ Bearish Solid trend ADX 40.1
12H Position ▼ Bearish Solid trend ADX 38.1
1D Position ▼ Bearish Solid trend ADX 41.0

Every timeframe from 15 minutes to 12 hours trends lower, and the 4H chart carries a dense cluster of fresh bearish signals just hours old. Bounces on shorter charts sit inside that downtrend; the daily picture is sideways, and 81,196 is the level whose break would change the bearish read.

By trading style

What this means for your trading style

Scalping 15m · 30m
▼ Bearish weak Data coverage good
PRO
66 %
historical hit rate · 434 comparable setups
  • The scalping verdict is bearish; the strong 30-minute uptrend signals are short-lived counter-trend moves inside the larger decline, capped near 76,249.99.
EMA Break Up SAR Flip Bullish SMA Retreat Up
Intraday 1h · 2h
▼ Bearish medium Data coverage good
PRO
63 %
historical hit rate · 228 comparable setups
  • The intraday verdict is bearish; momentum crosses on the 1h and 2h describe a tactical bounce that fades unless resistance at 81,196 gives way.
Swing 4h · 8h
▼ Bearish medium Data coverage good
PRO
73 %
historical hit rate · 79 comparable setups
  • The swing verdict is bearish; the 4h and 8h charts hold the strongest sell confluence, and the 8h rebound lacks confirmation above 81,971.
Position 12h · 1d
▼ Bearish medium Data coverage good
PRO
69 %
historical hit rate · 29 comparable setups
  • The position verdict is bearish; the 12h and daily charts show oversold rebound attempts, but the broader downtrend stands while 74,967.97 holds.
Signal history

Both worlds over time

One dot per day and source, 30 days. Technicals: trend across all timeframes at the close of the day. News: net direction of the day.

Bullish ▲Bearish ▼11.10. · Technicals (trend of the day) · Bullish · 6 of 8 timeframes up12.10. · News signal · 412.10. · Technicals (trend of the day) · Bearish · 4 of 8 timeframes down13.10. · News signal · 1013.10. · Technicals (trend of the day) · Bearish · 2 of 8 timeframes down14.10. · News signal · 614.10. · Technicals (trend of the day) · Bearish · 3 of 8 timeframes down15.10. · News signal · 715.10. · Technicals (trend of the day) · Bearish · 3 of 8 timeframes down16.10. · News signal · 816.10. · Technicals (trend of the day) · Bearish · 3 of 8 timeframes down17.10. · News signal · 217.10. · Technicals (trend of the day) · Bearish · 6 of 8 timeframes down18.10. · News signal · 118.10. · Technicals (trend of the day) · Neutral · mixed: 4 up, 2 down of 819.10. · News signal · 819.10. · Technicals (trend of the day) · Neutral · mixed: 1 up, 1 down of 820.10. · News signal · 1020.10. · Technicals (trend of the day) · Bullish · 5 of 8 timeframes up21.10. · News signal · 621.10. · Technicals (trend of the day) · Bullish · 4 of 8 timeframes up22.10. · News signal · 622.10. · Technicals (trend of the day) · Bearish · 4 of 8 timeframes down23.10. · News signal · 823.10. · Technicals (trend of the day) · Bearish · 5 of 8 timeframes down24.10. · News signal · 224.10. · Technicals (trend of the day) · Bearish · 3 of 8 timeframes down25.10. · Technicals (trend of the day) · Bearish · 6 of 8 timeframes down26.10. · News signal · 426.10. · Technicals (trend of the day) · Bearish · 6 of 8 timeframes down27.10. · News signal · 1027.10. · Technicals (trend of the day) · Bullish · 5 of 8 timeframes up28.10. · News signal · 728.10. · Technicals (trend of the day) · Bullish · 5 of 8 timeframes up29.10. · News signal · 1029.10. · Technicals (trend of the day) · Bearish · 6 of 8 timeframes down30.10. · News signal · 1130.10. · Technicals (trend of the day) · Bearish · 6 of 8 timeframes down31.10. · News signal · 831.10. · Technicals (trend of the day) · Bearish · 5 of 8 timeframes down01.11. · News signal · 101.11. · Technicals (trend of the day) · Neutral · mixed: 2 up, 3 down of 802.11. · News signal · 802.11. · Technicals (trend of the day) · Bearish · 7 of 8 timeframes down03.11. · News signal · 703.11. · Technicals (trend of the day) · Neutral · mixed: 2 up, 5 down of 804.11. · News signal · 1604.11. · Technicals (trend of the day) · Bullish · 6 of 8 timeframes up05.11. · News signal · 1005.11. · Technicals (trend of the day) · Bearish · 8 of 8 timeframes down06.11. · News signal · 2506.11. · Technicals (trend of the day) · Bearish · 6 of 8 timeframes down07.11. · News signal · 607.11. · Technicals (trend of the day) · Bearish · 7 of 8 timeframes down08.11. · News signal · 208.11. · Technicals (trend of the day) · Bearish · 8 of 8 timeframes down09.11. · News signal · 2209.11. · Technicals (trend of the day) · Bearish · 5 of 8 timeframes down10.11. · Technicals (trend of the day) · Bearish · 5 of 8 timeframes down · current10.11. · News signal · 6
30 days ago today
Technicals (trend of the day) News signal Size: news = reports that day, technicals = timeframes with data
Possible turn

The 2 most recent active signals are bullish (since 09.11.).

Active signals

8 active signals for BTC

Last 72 hours

Signal BTC/USDT · 30M · BUY 100% VERY STRONG
▲ 100% ▼ 0%
UPDATED Scalping Premium Forecast 56%
EMA Break Up SAR Flip Bullish SMA Retreat Up
15M
30M
1H
2H
4H
8H
12H
1D
News, 30 days

What is being reported about BTC

Release Bullish Impact 3/10
24X Adds Bitcoin and Ethereum to Standard Chartered Prime Brokerage
Bitcoin gains a new institutional access channel: Standard Chartered as central counterparty with Cumberland DRW and Wintermute providing liquidity on…
November 10, 2026
News Bearish Impact 5/10
Bitcoin Slips Below $75,000 as Markets Await October US CPI Data
Bitcoin lost the $80,000 handle, broke below the $76,500 support and the 100- and 200-hour moving averages, and fell to $73,598 before consolidating. …
November 10, 2026
News Neutral Impact 2/10
CertiK Urges Crypto Exchanges to Adopt Hard Dollar Caps on Hot Wallets
The article discusses aftermath of the record Binance hack, with Binance saying it replaced about 98% of affected tokens and analysts seeing no broade…
November 10, 2026
News Bearish Impact 5/10
MARA Holdings Sells 13,597 BTC for $1.1 Billion to Fund AI Expansion
MARA sold 13,597 BTC for $1.1 billion at an average of about $81,039 — six times what it mined in the quarter — and states it intends to keep selling …
November 10, 2026
News Bearish Impact 5/10
Bitcoin Trades Near $74,750 as Analysts Warn of Downside Risks Ahead of CPI
Bitcoin has fallen from above $87,000 in early October to around $74,750, and spot bitcoin ETF demand has faltered. Analysts at BRN and Bitget Wallet …
November 10, 2026
Earnings Bearish Impact 2/10
HIVE Digital Shares Slip 1.7% as Mining Revenue Drops 7.4% to $76 Million
The average Bitcoin price fell to $71,003 in the September quarter from $114,382 a year earlier, and the article cites depressed mining economics, wit…
November 10, 2026
Full analysis

In-depth analysis of Bitcoin

AI-generated · as of November 10, 2026

The largest cryptocurrency has fallen from above $87,000 in early October to roughly $74,750, an unusually large drop for this asset over the past month, and the past week added a clear further leg lower even though the last 24 hours were little changed.

Read full analysis

The news flow centres on US spot bitcoin ETFs, which shed about $1.28 billion last week, the most since late June, and on more than $1 billion in liquidated leveraged longs after price slipped below the 74,400-75,000 area. A Democratic sweep in Washington, a Binance hack and a strong payrolls report that raised December rate-hike odds added pressure, and BTC now trades below its 50-week average near 75,492 and below the cost basis of recent buyers around 75,691, which may act as a ceiling. On the chart, trend measures point down from the 15-minute to the 12-hour timeframe, and the 4H carries a dense cluster of fresh sell signals. At the same time, oversold-exit and bounce signals on the 2H, 12H and daily charts have produced upward attempts, which is why the news side stops at neutral even though headlines lean negative. Key levels are resistance at 81,196 and support at 74,967.97. High-impact US CPI figures land later today; a softer print could offer relief, a hotter one would likely add pressure.

Frequently asked questions about Bitcoin

Why did Bitcoin fall so sharply over the past month?

The slide from above $87,000 reflects faltering spot ETF demand, with roughly $1.28 billion leaving US funds last week, the largest outflow since late June. Over $1 billion in leveraged longs were liquidated, a strong payrolls report raised December rate-hike odds, and the Democratic election sweep plus a Binance hack dented confidence.

What does today's CPI release mean for BTC?

Several high-impact US inflation figures land later today. Analysts cited expect only fleeting relief from a soft print while ETF flows and Fed policy stay unfriendly, whereas a hotter reading would likely add pressure. Either way, volatility around the release is likely, with 73,000 and 81,196 the levels watchers cite.

What would turn the bearish picture around?

Two things stand out. Technically, a sustained move above the 81,196 resistance would invalidate the bearish setup, while a daily close below 73,000 could accelerate selling toward 70,000. Fundamentally, renewed ETF inflows would be the clearest sign that institutional demand is returning, which analysts call necessary for a lasting rally.

Asset Snapshot

📝 Overview Generated automatically

BTC has been the subject of 3057 signals across 3057 articles in the last 365 days. Sentiment skews Bullish (40%).

Breakdown: 1229 bullish, 1106 bearish, 722 neutral.

Most-cited catalysts: Risk-off sentiment (4×), Institutional adoption narrative reinforced (2×), ETF outflows (2×). Most-cited risk factors: Regulatory crackdowns on crypto (5×), Broader crypto market volatility (5×), Regulatory crackdown on crypto (5×).

Keep exploring

Related assets

Same category or comparable signal picture — each card opens the full cockpit.